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As early voting begins, mood of Florida electorate is anxious, frustrated

By
Real Estate Sales Representative with 75 FAST OFFER, LLC/ Countrywide Capital Group, LLC / CRP

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 Will riled conservatives and depressed Democrats send a message to President Barack Obama and usher in a Republican sweep up and down Florida's beefy ballot in 2010? Or will the nation's largest battleground state buck the national trend and rebuke GOP-controlled Tallahassee instead?

Is the tea party movement surging or boiling over?

As early voting gets under way today, these and other probing questions were put to two of Florida's best political minds: Republican Brett Doster, who led George W. Bush's successful re-election campaign in Florida in 2004, and Democrat Steve Schale, who was at the helm of Obama's victory here in 2008.

Doster and Schale are currently facing off in one of five statewide races on the ballot, the contest for attorney general. Doster is advising Republican Pam Bondi, while Schale is the point man for Democrat Dan Gelber.

Doster predicts a Republican tidal wave Nov. 2.

"This is the biggest surge that I've ever seen in my 16-plus years in politics," Doster said. "Not only are Democrats going to lose the House and Senate, but I firmly believe we will have a 100 percent Republican Cabinet in Florida and pick up as many as four congressional seats. This will be bigger than the wave that occurred in 1994."

Schale dismissed Doster's doomsday scenario for Democrats, arguing that the party's 600,000-voter advantage in Florida will help cushion a stronger Republican turnout. The state has repeatedly defied national tailwinds, he noted, electing Democrat Lawton Chiles as governor in 1994 when the GOP gained control of Congress and Republican Charlie Crist as governor when Democrats took Congress back in 2006.

"We pride ourselves on bucking the national conventional wisdom," Schale said. "Over the last three decades, whatever political wave washes over the country tends to flow the opposite way in governor's races, a trend that I expect will hold true when Florida elects Alex Sink on Nov. 2."

Doster and Schale don't agree on much. But asked to nominate a handful of counties that will play a pivotal role in the Nov. 2 election, Doster and Schale settled on four hubs: Palm Beach, Orange, Sarasota and Duval. Here are some scenes and voices from those counties:

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