According to the Wall Street Journal, the presidents Deficit Reduction Panel will target the elimination of the home mortgage interest deduction as one of its recommendations to help balance the federal budget. According to the Obama administration, this, along with Child Tax Credits and other credits and exemptions cost the federal government over $1 Trillion a year.
In my opinion, this will not bode well for either home ownership or the real estate market. It will certainly lower the price that the majority of the home buyers will be able to afford resulting in further erosian of home prices. It will also reduce the appeal of home ownership vs renting by increasing the already higher cost to own a home vs renting. When this gets coupled with the inflationary policies the the federal reserve is likely to implement, interest rates will increase and certainly have an even deeper negative impact on the market.
I contend that this mortgage interest deduction costs the federal government nothing. First, it is not the government's money but that of the taxpayers from whom the income taxes are collected. Second, the only cost (i.e. the value of money that has been used up to produce something, and is no longer available for use) is when the money is spent.
While I am not generally in support of government subsidies, and I admit that the mortgage interest deduction could be considered a subsidy, this is not one that the government should take away, unless it is willing to totally rewrite the tax system and implement a system such as the Fair Tax, or even a flat tax system. But certainly not a VAT which is just another regressive tax system that imposes the most hardship on lower and middle income people and families. Individuals are already unfairly treated by the tax code. We are unable to take the same deductions that corporations are allowed, even though, by law, corporations enjoy the same rights as individuals.
Pay attention, regardless of who wins this, and future elections. Remind them that it is not the government's money that thye are spending but yours. Hold these lawmakers, at all levels of government, to the same expectations of fiduciary responsibility that is expected of us in the real estate profession.
The full story can be found here.
Disclaimer: I am not a beneficiary of the mortgage interest deduction, nor do I expect to be in the future.
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