Well I just finished reading my blog on Market Value. If I knew how to use that thing that makes the words blue, I would have linked Market Value to the blog. I don't, so if you want to read it you will have go back and scroll down and locate that tome.

Anyway.

Market value is bandied about quite a bit in our profession. I would like to address one specific place we seem to use it. Listing appointments. Most agents, during a listing presentation, mention that their goal is to sell the house for the highest possible price. They then go on to say that the "market" (market value) will determine that price. It sounds very good and most sellers are elated that their agent is going to get them the most money possible in the sale of their home.

I have a question for any of you. How?

If the home is entered into the MLS, it will be viewed by agents that happen to search using criteria that includes that home's information. (i.e. - price, style, area, beds, baths, etc.). Statistically this is a small portion of the potential market at any given time.

If a sign is placed in the front yard, it is only visible to those that live close by or those that happen to pass the home. This opens the funnel somewhat but it also presents the home to those that may or may not be looking for a home. That may be more people but the increased exposure may not have any impact on the "market".

If the agent holds an open house, a significant portion of those that come by will be the result of signage. There is no guarantee that any of them have the ability to purchase the home much less afford the toaster on the kitchen counter. Again, exposure in general may not have much impact on the "market".

If the home is adverstised in print, the exposure is limited to those that actually read print advertising. Each year the reduction in print impressions is a pretty good indication that print advertising does not have much impact on the "market".

The NAR has done studies that seem to indicate that most consumers begin their search on line. Agents far and wide have jumped on this bandwagon and have made sure that their personal site has idx capability, so any visitor can search for homes from the comfort of their computer screen. There is nothing to show that this exposure has had a great impact on the "market". For every qualified serious search, there are a least ten or twenty folks "just looking". An entire industry has grown around capturing these lookers, selling the information to agents who in turn add them to email campaigns ad infinitum. Often these emails are responded to with "who are you and why are you sending me email?"

It would seem to me that the market value of a home is directly impacted by the number of people that are seeking a home in that range that can be exposed to the existence of that home. I know that sentence is a bit awkward, but it is the best I can do when trying to have my fingers keep up with my brain right now.

The greater the exposure to interested parties that have the ability to pay the price, the more likely a full price, fair market value offer will be generated.

If you peel back the layers of the onion, when you tell a seller that the market will determine the price, you should be prepared to explain how you will create the greatest "true" exposure for the home.

Don't think that entering it in the MLS will do the job. You will be depending on the action of others to expose your home. Don't think that putting that pretty sign in the yard will do the job. The only accurate information on the sign is your name and number. Flashing and hoping does not develop long term relationships. Don't think an open house will do the job. It rarely sells houses and always sells you. Don't think that print advertising will do the job. Most newspapers cost a buck and real estate magazines are free. It will take a bit more financial where with all to make a solid offer. Don't trust the NAR to have any answers. Remember this is the group that continues to claim the real estate market is fine.

What can you do?

Use the information that is available to you and target potential buyers. The more that you reach, the larger the funnel and the more likely you will have a true "market" value on your property.

I have been telling agents for a long time determine who might buy that house and go tell them it is available. This is not brain surgery. If you are selling a home in the $400,000 range, you can reasonably expect that your buyer may be someone that is selling a home in the $250,000 to $300,000 range. Each area of the country will be a little different, but the concept that people sell and move up is not new. Your potential market is advertising their presence even as we speak. The information is available on line.

Now, different associations have different rules about using the MLS for marketing purposes. Well, don't use the MLS. Use any of the other sites that list property for sale (most of them pull the information from the MLS anyway.) Find the homes that are in the "move up" range for your listing. Make a list of each address. Use that list to cross reference a tax record list and get in touch with those people. Every one of them that is exposed to the information regarding your listing increases the possibility that you just might get a market value offer on the home.

I really believe that "market value" is only accurate if you do everything possible to increase the awareness of the potential buying pool. If you just sit and hope it will come to you, you are denying your client the best you have to offer and subsequently reducing your income as well.

 

 

11 Comments on Pardon the interruption.....

SEP
06
2007
174,398 Points Outside Blog
Market value is a combination of many factors including the intangible such as buyer's sentiment.  I find you simply need to have consistent marketing and price the home correctly and it will sell.
11:30am • #1
106,643 Points 12 Featured Posts

Adam - You are correct. The caveat is "price the home correctly". I was hoping to raise the awareness that the price that seems correct for exposure to 100 people may vary greatly from the price that is correct for exposure to 1000 people. The price that seems correct based on recent sales may not be the price that is correct for the sale of the new listing. As far as consistent marketing, you have to actually market a home. You can consistently put a sign in the yard and enter the listing in the MLS and never give your sellers a chance to receive the best market value offer. It is sort of like the old admonition that "practice makes perfect". That is not an absolute. If you are practicing an incomplete plan, you will merely perfect inperfection!

12:19pm • #2
SEP
10
2007
3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Ok - here is how a mortgage guy sees market value.

Drop the price of your home until it sells. In other words,  sales price = market value.

9:59am • #3
2 Featured Posts

I've had similar questions, John, tugging at the back of my little mind.  As a stager, if I can EITHER help you sell your house MORE QUICKLY (cold market), or for MORE MONEY (hot market).  Both may be possible, but are not probable.  But here's MY question:  these are judgements made based on area statistics, not your individual property, because only one outcome can be achieved:  staged or not staged.  I suppose one could put the house on the market unstaged, have it not sell, and then stage it and have it sell, but there's a time lapse, perhaps a different Realtor in the picture, and certainly a different set of comps in the neighborhood.  Tug tug tug.

You bring up good points, as usual.  I enjoy reading your posts.  If you'd like me to walk you through the hyperlink process, I'd be glad to so do.  It's really fairly easy.  Holler back through an AR email, and we can set this up.

Cheers, from (Kensington) DC...

   Jaynee

11:49am • #4
106,643 Points 12 Featured Posts

Lewis - It is a good thing your focus is on mortgages. Price reductions can be made until the home sells and technically speaking that is the market value. The problem with that thought process is that it does not address exposure. Putting price reductions in the MLS only guarantees that those that use it as a search engine will be aware of the current price. Some, but not all, follow pricing and track homes that seem to be going down. Your hypothesis would be accurate if everyone interested in a particular home, regardless of price, decided to make what they considered a fair market offer. The largest offer might be considered the market value.

The intent of the post was to have agents rethink the marketing process and endeavor to target all potential buyers rather than hope that potential buyers will stumble across the information.

1:20pm • #5
106,643 Points 12 Featured Posts
Jaynee - Thanks for the offer. I will be in touch. Maybe our paths will cross at Continental.
1:21pm • #6
3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

John -   All I can say is I am glad to be on the financing side of the fence now. I really feel for real estate agents in todays market. I suppose the real pros will rise to the top and stay successful in this climate just like mortgage bankers will.

I always enjoy reading your blogs. 

 Go Skins!

Lewis Poretz


4:30pm • #7
106,643 Points 12 Featured Posts

Lewis - I am grateful that there are folks like you holding up the mortgage end of things. Thanks for reading and sharing. There are only 15 opportunities between a perfect season and the Skins.

 

8:15pm • #8
SEP
11
2007

Hi John, Too many realtors and loan officers got into the housing market when all they had to do was take orders.  They have no concept of the exposure needed to sell a home in this market. 

Too many houses on the market, all of them shouting "Price Reduced", leads to buyers taking much longer to decide.  They all think that the prices will continue to drop and the rates might go down....Almost every house is the perfect house for someone, they just have to know it's available, and they have to be able to get the financing!

What are your thoughts on partnering with lenders to increase the exposure for your properties? More web exposure, mortgage options to set the home apart from others in the area, etc. 

6:21pm • #9
SEP
14
2007
4 Featured Posts
How about the former Kennedy Mansion in McLean - easy commuting to the downown party scene and shopping...in the beautiful McLean area.  Marked down from $20 million + to merely $12 million.
10:49pm • #10
106,643 Points 12 Featured Posts
Yvette - I recall playing ball against Bobby's boys. I remember visiting the home prior to his run for the Presidency. I remember the funeral. When my father died, they told the story of his first meeting with Ethel. When introduced, she said "It is wonderful to meet the man that has made me laugh." If I had to price the home......it would be priceless. Everything I thought this country could become had it's genisus in discussions that occured there. Bobby Kennedy was adamant that his children grew up with an understanding that all people were equal and that their priviledged place in society demanded that they live to a higher moral standard. The naysayers will take potshots and mention stories and rumours. Those that know the truth and understand will always view the house in McLean with the same reverence others give Mt. Vernon.
10:57pm • #11

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John MacArthur

Olney, MD

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