Background: A couple of days ago I had the pleasure of speaking with Bryant Tutas (Broker Bryant) about HUD's new initative...FHASecure. Broker Bryant wanted to know what my thoughts were on this effort by HUD to implement a program that would help homeowners deal with this so-called "mortgage mess" as it ties to ARM re-sets. We often exchange thoughts about the mortgage and real estate market here locally, among other things.
Broker Bryant's call was more specifically prompted by the circumstances surrounding a mutual client that was refinanced into a 2/28-6 month LIBOR ARM about 2 1/2 years ago. They experienced their first reset in April 2007 ($300+) and now their 2nd reset next month ($100+). They are on a fixed income and the increase has been devestating to them....and it will get worse before it gets better. After meeting with them a couple months back they decided that they were going to try to hold out until the spring of 2008 so that a $6-$8000 prepayment penalty would fall off before refinancing.
I told Broker Bryant that I was familiar with HUD's initative and had read the press release and a few other articles/blogs on the matter but I had decided to wait on HUD's publishling of their Mortgagee Letter which was due out the first part of this week. That evening I went on line to HUDCLIPS to view/print the mortgagee letter (Mortgagee Letter 2007-11, dated 9-5-2007).
As we discussed the FHASecure initiative and how it might serve to benefit the clients need to refinance into a loan with competitive terms as well as remove the financial burden of their pending mortgage payment increase it became apparent to me (IMO) that the FHASecure initiative fell short in its' fanfare! Although the client must meet other criteria to be eligible the "one thing" that was not there was the required mortgage delinquency. The clients have met their mortgage payments right down the line throughout the term of their mortgage......not eligible......what a shame!
This discussion guided my thoughts that the FHASecure initiative was woefully inadequate from a pre-emptive approach. To me it sounds somewhat ridiculous that a program would not have some provisions to head off this problem....before it became a problem.
I do not believe that it would take a financial genius to collect all the pertinent information, i.e., credit history, current income and debt service and a mortgage company's notification of a pending payment increase (reset) to determine that the reset will impose a severe impact on the mortgagor.
As such, it is my opinion that there should be provisions within FHASecure to allow this refinance to qualify without a mortgagor going two payments down (defaulting) on their mortgage. I believe that is possible to establish criteria such as a percentage of increase to housing/debt ratios, disposable income and other factors. When a consumer goes two payments down there is going to be a major hit to their credit scores which may negatively impact other aspects of their credit. Interest rates could increase on existing credit card debt as credit card issuers may increase rates due to perceived risks (they do monitor this). Future credit extensions are impacted and so on.
To require a mortgagors payments to go into default status to be eligible for FHASecure is sending the wrong message to borrowers! I believe that this will ultimately entice more borrowers to default in order to become eligible for FHASecure (government bailout). The governments estimate in the this program will benefit a quarter of a million consumers.......hmm!
I am routinely somewhat skeptical of government estimates/projections in about everything. When you consider the millions of ARM's sub-prime/Alt-A mortgages that are out there that will be reseting in the next 1-2 years this seems to be low. I believe the government projection will be even lower when the consumer catches on or is painted into their financial corner andthey are compelled to go 2 payments down (default) or their mortgage to be able to qualify for the FHASecure program.
Regretfully, there will probably be some percentage of mortgagers that will view the FHASecure Initiative as their "silver bullet" and purposely fall two payments down to meet the qualifying criteria only to learn that they will not qualify for another reason and find themselves even deeper in a hole that cannot begin to crawl out of.
HUD/President Bush don't encourage this to happen! No one, including our government should encourage or promote conumers to miss payments or default on their mortgage, Take the complete and full initiative from the get go and move onto the next initiative that will help us all work through this very trying time.
So is there room for imrovement in the FHASecure Initiative? I say...absolutely! What say ye?
P.S. As I further consider my position and opinions in this subject matter I have decided to delve deeper into my thoughts by reflecting on my actions and experiences in originating sub-prime & Alt-A mortgage loans. To add to this post by on-going comments and observations rather than to have a very lengthy or separate new posting. Will some of my thoughts and perspectives change.....probably so.....let's see where it goes! I would like to achieve a productive dialgoue whether it be mine or whether it be others perspectives.
Graphic courtesy of RodneySagers.com
Ron, I think that there's ALWAYS room for improvement, but I didn't get the same message from the guideline that you did. It reads:
* The mortgagors payment history on the non-FHA ARM must show that, prior to the reset
of the mortgage, the mortgagor was current in making the monthly mortgage payments,
i.e., the homeowners mortgage payment history during the 6 months prior to the reset
showed no instances of making mortgage payments outside the month due.
Is that not stating that they had to be perfect prior to the reset? It doesn't seem to give guidance about the payment history AFTER the reset, although it's obvious that they're allowed to be delinquent.
Can you clarify how you arrived at you and Broker Bryant came to this conclusion? I was thinking that the program would really help a lot of people until I read your blog! =)