What Exactly is Shadow Inventory in the Las Vegas Real Estate Market?Las Vegas Shadow Inventory

Shadow Inventory has been a HUGE boogeyman in the Las Vegas Real Estate Market.  Experts wring their hands and have been telling us for YEARS how we are just going to get a bunch of Las Vegas REOhomes for sale just dumped on us overnight.

I actually feel bad for those that parrot what they hear on the news and pretend that they know what they are talking about.  Some people’s perception of REO shadow inventory is that banks just sit there and hold on to properties that have already been through the foreclosure process.  This could be further from the truth.  Banks (or servicers to lienholders/investors) DO NOT want to hold on to inventory or assets longer than they have to.

They want to get this stuff off their books & quickly!

There are many things that hold up the process to get them listed by a real estate agent on the free market such as bankruptcy, tenants, unwilling occupants, trash outs and even property rehab.  Once those items are taken care of, the home is listed or sold to investors in bulk packages.

Another way shadow inventory is presented is how many homes are in default or at risk of default.  Unfortunately this is not a good indicator for “the big dump” because many real estate market forces will absorb that inventory:  the homeowner could accept a loan modification, the homeowner could short sale the home successfully or an investor could purchase the home at the trustee sale or foreclosure auction and either rehab and resell or rehab and rent out for a long term hold.

Las Vegas Foreclosures will be around for awhile – I am not doubting that.  The only thing I doubt is that the shadow inventory fairy dumps an abundance of inventory on us one day.  I have been hearing about this for two years, I am sure I will be hearing about it for the next two years.  The only way we will see an abundance of inventory GROW is if all the Las Vegas Buyers decided to leave the building all at once.  Doubtful – but I have been wrong before.

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76 Comments on What is Shadow Inventory?

20 Most Recent Comments Displayed Show All

JAN
24
2011
112,540 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

Renee,

The people who have come up with this Shadow Inventory theory must be in charge of the short sales too!  Maybe one day they will all  come on over to the real world with the rest of us!

5:55pm • #59
Outside Blog

Shadow inventory is a big problem and will be for several years in our market also.  the Banks only want to release a little at a time so they don't implode n already bad situation.  In spent 33 years on that side and I undestand what they are dealing with.  It will be with us in certain markets fo a long time. So dig in and work what you can and survive for better times.

6:43pm • #60
575,503 Points 10 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Renee - Me and My Shadow are unafraid of the doom that is "deemed" upon us. I am more worried about Polar Bears that Shadow Markets. Perhaps I'll chill out and get ready for the spring market. The spread from Vegas is that we will have a good year. I'm betting on it

7:34pm • #61

Renee:

These properties know in the industry as "shadow inventory" may be a proverbial time bomb for the real estate market.  For example, what would happen if all of a sudden these inventories flooded the marketplace.  The disaster would result in further depreciation sparked by the existing glut of foreclosures in the marketplace.  So what is the real logic for the banks holding on to all these distressed properties?

First, and probably the most obvious is that the banks are slow to move this inventory because they would have to reflect the losses on their books.  Having to reflect these loses on their balance sheets would put further stress on the banks.   

Secondarily, banks may be holding inventory to allow for a slower free-fall of prices.  Market recovery may also bring about increasing assets!  Still another variable (as you mentioned) may be that it just takes a good deal of time and money to get a foreclosure cleaned up and ready to be marketed.   

8:13pm • #62
1 Featured Post Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Most of the homes I watch have come on the market, but I do believe that they have inventory that they may have to hold for various reasons. 

8:28pm • #63
363,078 Points 4 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp

I  don't claim to have an secret knowledge but I agree that it is unlikely all this "shadow" inventory will suddenly come  the market this year.

8:45pm • #64
Outside Blog

Will deal with it if and when it should ever happen.

10:03pm • #65
145,704 Points 3 Featured Posts

I ask a friend of mine, who happened to be a reporter, why papers and TV only report the "bad" stuff?  His answer was, "Blood Sells!!"  Like it or not, he was right.  Just look to your left or right the next time you are in the checkout line at the grocery.  The rags don't tell the AHHHH stories.....they tell the OHHHHH stories!

10:06pm • #66
1 Featured Post

I like how you think......good job!

11:07pm • #67
1,363,759 Points 42 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

I know many buyers who are hoping to have the "shadow inventory" hit the market and bring down prices.  It hasn't happened yet.

11:27pm • #68
JAN
25
2011
127,709 Points

I wonder what will happen first.  Earth being hit by a comet or all the homes coming out on the same day.  It's the boogeyman in the closet.  I work with investors so I deal with this a lot.  Two years ago people were worried about this so they didn't buy.  I could of sold them houses for 80K that rent for $1,200 a month.  Today those homes are now going for 120K.

LOL.  Maybe they'll drop to 80K when the inventory hits.  No freaking way - morons.

12:37am • #69
163,369 Points 1 Featured Post Attended Rain Camp

Shack Diva,

You are right!  And, investors are buying bulk from the banks and doling them out at their appointed time.

12:49am • #70
678,195 Points 18 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Renee - Love this post!  You are very right about the way statistics are skewed everywhere, and exaggeration on facts is pretty rampant....

7:28am • #71
205,295 Points 11 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

Interesting. I hope your right about the big dump. If you're not there could be another decline one day when the industry least expects it and values could drop accordingly. I don't see a dramatic decline in value but even 10 percent could put a dent in our recovery. Good for the turn and burn short sale flippers bad for buy and hold homeowners desiring to purchase a home to live in.

10:43am • #72
263,973 Points 2 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

hmmm, very interesting Renee

I had always thought shadow inventory were homes that were behind on their payments but not yet in foreclosure.

5:19pm • #73
1,938,981 Points 391 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Renee, reading this post and the many comments is a wonderful education for all of us. 

9:16pm • #74
JAN
26
2011

Good information. I am going to Reblog this because we are very down on the banks in NJ. We can't seem to get any action from them no matter what favorability there is.

Katie the Real Estate Lady

Kate Reilly Lund

http:www/kreillylund.remax-nj.com

1:50pm • #75

Good information. I am going to Reblog this because we are very down on the banks in NJ. We can't seem to get any action from them no matter what favorability there is.

Katie the Real Estate Lady

Kate Reilly Lund

http:www/kreillylund.remax-nj.com

1:50pm • #76
185,299 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp

I don't believe that banks are holding inventory, but I do believe in hundreds of thousands of homeowners are currently in 90 day default and that is scary!!

3:47pm • #77
MAR
01
2011
126,846 Points

BANKS hold inventory because they still get their guaranteed payoff at the end and YES they are working it!

10:33am • #78

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Renee Burrows - Las Vegas Real Estate -  (702-580-1783) www.ShackDiva.com (Savvy Home Strategies Realty, LLC-REALTOR®-Estate-Probate) Ambassador_large

Renee Burrows - Las Vegas Real Estate - (702-580-1783) www.ShackDiva.com

Las Vegas, NV

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Savvy Home Strategies Realty, LLC-REALTOR®-Estate-Probate

Address: 6525 W Warm Springs Rd, Ste 100, Las Vegas, NV, 89119

Office Phone: (702) 966-2494 x 0

Cell Phone: (702) 580-1783

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