We have all come across sellers who have, in their opinion, the best house on the block, more improvements than the neighbors, the unique floorplan that will help sell their house.
Some of these may be true, and some may have an impact on the listing price of the their home, but the truth is, part of it really comes down to supply and demand; the number of homes available and the buyers who want them.
There are many variables to supply and demand, but we'll look at Neptune Beach, a small oceanside community in Northeastern Florida as an example for today.
Month/ Months Listings
Year Inventory Active New Sold
Feb-09 |
25 |
75 |
14 |
3 |
Mar-09 |
11.43 |
80 |
19 |
7 |
Apr-09 |
41 |
82 |
8 |
2 |
May-09 |
18.25 |
73 |
11 |
4 |
Jun-09 |
8 |
80 |
20 |
10 |
Jul-09 |
6.9 |
69 |
11 |
10 |
Aug-09 |
9.57 |
67 |
5 |
7 |
Sep-09 |
23 |
69 |
25 |
3 |
Oct-09 |
10 |
70 |
7 |
7 |
Nov-09 |
18.5 |
74 |
11 |
4 |
Dec-09 |
17 |
68 |
8 |
4 |
Jan-10 |
11.67 |
70 |
13 |
6 |
Feb-10 |
14.6 |
73 |
11 |
5 |
Mar-10 |
36.5 |
73 |
18 |
2 |
Apr-10 |
9.63 |
77 |
14 |
8 |
May-10 |
19 |
76 |
13 |
4 |
Jun-10 |
8.1 |
81 |
15 |
10 |
Jul-10 |
20.75 |
83 |
16 |
4 |
Aug-10 |
21.25 |
85 |
11 |
4 |
Sep-10 |
21 |
84 |
8 |
4 |
Oct-10 |
27 |
81 |
12 |
3 |
Nov-10 |
11.14 |
78 |
13 |
7 |
Dec-10 |
10.29 |
72 |
3 |
7 |
Jan-11 |
16 |
64 |
13 |
4 |
I've bolded the months that have the lowest inventory of homes available, so you can see these are June 2009, July 2009, and June 2010.
What's really surprising to me is the months of July 2010-October 2010, where it jumps up to the highest levels in this example with over 20 months (that's 1.6 years by the way).
This table clearly shows that as new listings come on the market, if the buyers do not absorb at least that number of homes in sales, the total inventory level increases, which ultimately will exert downward price pressure on ALL homes on the market.
Anyone looking to sell their home, whether in Neptune Beach, Florida, or elsewhere, need to consider the months of inventory as part of their strategy when determining their pricing range, and how long they want to take the sale to occur.
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