Many of you are in fact on the same level as a Loonie.  Ok, maybe not you, but the money in your wallet is.  So, what is a Loonie?

A Loonie is the Canadian Dollar and it has always (or almost always anyway) been worth less than the US Dollar.  So, it reached the same value as the US Dollar which means our neighbors to the north are really happy.  So happy, in fact, that the Canadian Finance Minister held a press conference Thursday discussing the looming parity.

So why should you care?  Simply put, and as the Canadian Finance Minister stated, there is growing concerns over the US economic weakness. 

So how bad is it?  If we do a comparison with the Euro, going back to when the dollar traded for 88 cents against the euro until today, Americans have lost nearly 60% of their purchasing power in Europe.  Compared to gold, that number is even higher.

And what about housing?  It is not keeping up either, just like at the gas station.  Now, foreigners can come in and "buy the US" at bargain basement prices.

Ok, on to what will happen this week.  There is a host of economic data coming out this week that will help shine a light on how our economy is doing, probably the most important of which is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) due out Friday.  This is the Fed's favorite measure of inflation.

It is important to note that the PCE data will be pre-Fed rate cut data, but it will be a valuable "starting point" to gauge how Americans spending habits changed after the cut. 

Mortgage Rates are still trying to figure out which direction to go at the moment as Mortgage Backed Securities (the driver of rates) keep see-sawing back and forth along their 200-day Moving Average.  Once a "break-away" occurs, we can tell where rates will be heading with some certainty.

 

7 Comments on Are You in Parity with a Loonie, and Should You Care?

SEP
25
2007
126,395 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

that's a very strange title... and a stranger phenomenon!

the prices now for canadians are better...but we have to find more programs for foreign nationals

9:17am • #1
167,280 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Robert, I have friends in Canada they called me last week to inform me that in the news in Canada they where predicting that by the end of this year the exchange will be 1-1... Wow... Great for them .. what does it say about us though?

9:17am • #2
Our Canadian dollar has been over once already this month.  An interesting graph of the value can be found at CBC news.  This might be a time of opportunity to bring Canadians down to buy vacation property when we have more buying power!
9:27am • #3
27 Featured Posts

David...I couldn't resist running with the title.  Yes, there should be more foreign national programs, but there are some that we can work with.

Matt...What does it say about us?  I would change that question to ask those in our business "what does it mean for us?" 

With that, if we market foreign nationals, there are great opportunities available right now.  A weak dollar, combined with decreasing home prices opens the door for foreign investors to buy up properties, expecially here in Florida, at bargain prices. 

I think some will try to "time" the market for the actual bottom, but I think they are wasting their time.  Yes, the dollar is still heading lower, but why risk it when prices are already exceptionally low? 

9:30am • #4
27 Featured Posts
Jon...Perfect time for Canadians to buy up those vacation homes.  David, Matt, or myself can help them get financing in Florida.
9:32am • #5
With the Loonie and Dollar at the same level, for the first time in decades,my Canadian friends are spending like crazy! And the news is reporting that the communities a bit closer to the Border are having a bit of Second Home sell off, to Canadians. Not too surprising though. I bet we will see some buoying of the Dollar soon. Especially with the reduction of the Fed.
10:55pm • #6
OCT
02
2007
4 Featured Posts

Robert

The dollar vs world economy is one of my biggest financial concerns these days. (as if i could do something about it) 

We worry about real estate and mortgage rates but the lowering of the fed rates only hides our depreciation in the dollar.  Only homeowners dont realize this until its too late.  Its just a big shell game.  Sliding home prices may level off with lower rates, but if the dollar has less value what has been accomplished?  Nothing!   The real end result is a weaker dollar and a huge for sale sign in the heartland. 

Sure, exports may benefit but even thats clouded by the true cost of import/exports. 

The Fed needs to keep their focus on the US economy, ie inflation and the value of a dollar and let the real estate markets sort themselves out.

But all this financial mayhem is making me feel a little loonie...

M

2:26am • #7

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Florida's #1 Mortgage Planner

Pembroke Pines, FL

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Robert D. Ashby, CMPS - Solid Rock Mortgage Corporation

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