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First Time Buyers: "I Love it But I'm Not Gonna Buy It"

By
Real Estate Agent with Century 21 Commonwealth

Yesterday I was sitting in an open house at a new listing in a great location and in fabulous condition for less than $200,000. That is a real deal in my market area. I remember thinking that a few years back this place would be mobbed. It is perfect for a first-time buyer or a professional couple. Yet I had only a handful of people though and one couple said "I absolutely love it but I'm not gonna buy it."

This seems to be the prevailing attitude that we need to overcome today. It appears as though first-time buyers are more afraid than excited about the prospect of owning a home today.

Really, can you blame them? Yesterday at that same open house I read an article in the Washington Post that said the government is proposing new mortgage finance rules that would make it so that a first-time buyer would need a minimum of 20 percent down to get the best rates for a conventional mortgage and they are proposing more stringent debt-to-income limits. View the article here http://www.washingtonpost.com/realestate/proposed-federal-rules-would-drive-many-out-of-market-for-home-loans/2011/04/04/AFrcop2C_story.html

No wonder first-time buyers are not in a buying mood. As of April 18th FHA loans are going to cost more money as well because mortgage insurance on those loans is increasing. FHA loans now cost more money and buyers can now afford less house. Read more here http://www.walidmrealtor.com/2011/04/07/april-18-2011-fha-insurance-becomes-more-expensive-for-buyers/

I understand the quandary we are in. I have seen buyers take out FHA loans and they don't even have enough money to buy appliances for the new home, never mind face the economic realities of our times. They certainly don't have three to six months of savings in the event that someone loses a job or becomes ill. Then we see defaults in large numbers and we wonder why.

However, there has to be some middle ground and making a first-time buyer have a 20 percent down payment will likely dampen (if not kill) first-time buying even more.

I liked the NAR ad I recently saw on TV. It stated that for every two homes sold a job is created. Home sales are critically important to our economy and yet we are scaring first-time buyers to death and discouraging them from entering the market. Here are some more NAR statistics:

  • Home sales in this country generate more than 2.5 million private-sector jobs in an average year. For every two homes sold, a job is created.
  • Each home sale touches dozens of different professions.
  • Every home purchased pumps up to $60,000 into the economy over time for furniture, home improvements, and related items.
  • Housing accounts for more than 15% of the Gross Domestic Product, making it a key driver in our national economy.
  • Housing has led this country out of six of the last eight recessions.

I must say that I am concerned about the chill I am feeling from first-time buyers. In my eleven years I have never seen a less enthusiastic group of clients.

As realtors we know what our job is. We can show a client that in many cases it costs the same or less to buy a home than to rent. We can tell them that houses are more affordable than ever due to low rates and low prices. And there is always the emotional aspect of owning a home. We feel achievement, pride and a sense that we have made it when we own a home. But the message needs to come from other places as well. Hopefully the government will realize that by keeping first-time buyers out of the market, they are inhibiting our economic recovery.

 

Pocono Luxury Homes The Jeff Rickert Team
RE/MAX Property Specialists - Pocono Lake, PA
Poconos Luxury Homes

Thanks for the post. 

Good luck in your area.

 

Apr 11, 2011 01:21 AM
Karin Lundeen
Keller Williams Realty - Denver Southlands - Centennial, CO
Realtor Centennial Homes For Sale

Miah, You make some great points here!  Requiring 20% doewn is really going to make it hard for first timers!

Apr 11, 2011 01:24 AM
Donald Reich
Madison Specs - New Rochelle, NY
Cost Segregation Specialist

Yes, requiring 20% down will make it harder for first time buyers. HOWEVER, had we required larger down payments 5 to 10 years ago, there would be fewer homeowners underwater today. Fewer foreclosures and short sales, and an overall healthier economy

Apr 11, 2011 01:45 AM
Miah Kattman
Century 21 Commonwealth - Wellesley, MA

I don't disagree, Donald. It is somewhat of a catch 22. If you don't have first-time buyers, you don't have as many trade-up buyers and you don't have people hiring contractors to fix things, buyers going to home depot to buy things for the home, etc. etc. But if you have buyer purchasing homes who are not ready to do so, then you have people foreclosing and bringing the whole housing market down. As I said, I think there needs to be some middle ground. People should buy and have savings but I still think 20 percent down is going to be hard and will take a lot of qualified buyers out of the market entirely.

Apr 11, 2011 01:57 AM
Mike Morrison
Will & Will Real Estate Brokers, The Woodlands, Texas - Houston, TX

Novel idea, I had to SAVE for the 20% down for my 1st house. The interest rate was 16.5%! The VA loans were over 9%. I know so what. And, you're correct.

The only way I see the market clearing all this inventory is through a whole new round of SUB-PRIME LENDING !! What did I just say?? Sub-Prime Lending?? Why not?? All I see lately is agents talk about anything more than 0-5% down will kill the first time buyer market. So the only way to keep the first time buyers in the market is through more Sub-Prime lending. So, let's get to it, stop picking our nose and get some of the $$$ the fed is printing and create some more worthless MBS. A little risk adjustment on the balance sheet and we're back in business. TBTF Baby!!!

See girls, you can't have it both ways. Think it through... 

Apr 11, 2011 06:13 AM
Miah Kattman
Century 21 Commonwealth - Wellesley, MA

No disrespect meant to you, Mike, but when was your first purchase? Times have changed since then! I hear people my parents age discussing needing 20 percent down and paying 16.5 percent interest rates on their first homes back in the day. Yup. And their first homes cost $50,000 or $60,000. Well my parents are still in their first home and now you can't even rent an apartment for what they pay for a mortgage.

I feel like you are blurring the lines a bit. When you say sub-prime, I think you are referring to people who don't have a lot of credit history or poor credit history and are taking out risky loans like ARMS/no doc loans etc. I am not saying we should go back there. I still think there is some middle ground where you can have a buyer put less than 20 percent down and be a responsible buyer with good credit who does not default. . .People say the average family would take 12 years to put this kind of money together today. How is that good for the economy and housing? It's not! Did it take you 12 years to save for your first home? An NAR survery in 2010 said first-time buyers make up half of the homes that were sold! And we're going to take the majority of them out of the market? Not good!

Apr 11, 2011 06:38 AM
Mike Morrison
Will & Will Real Estate Brokers, The Woodlands, Texas - Houston, TX

No offense taken. Don't take offense from what I say. I worked 2 jobs as did my wife. Went without some things. I know that's a foreign idea but, you'll get to live it soon. That said, 1st, if NAR told me the sun was shining I'd have to go to the window to make sure. Their stats are VERY suspect. You know the MSM has caught them skying up the sales numbers from 2000 forward, 20-40% +. Mr. Yan admitted it but, has yet to readjust the numbers. But, lets not confuse folks.

Miah, how in the world are you going to move all the excess inventory ?? 4million + units ?? I know, lets just get it over with & give every person that wants one a FREE House!! Why not ? The fed has printed money out of thin air. What do you call an FHA Loan if not sub-prime ? Lenders make loans and then they are guaranteed by FHA or should I say, the TAXPAYER. NO ADVERSE RISK FOR THE TBTF's.  Better yet, the secondary market is DOA where will the primary market get the $$$ to lend??? No MBS Sales = No Capital for the TBTF's . Before you say from time deposits at banks, better look again. Only thing left; Tax The Rich. If we have to exclude 1st time buyers for a while to clean up this nightmare then let's get to it. There is no middle ground,the housing market won't come back to pre-bubble blow-and-go. Hope you enjoyed it & saved some of the commission dollars as I did. The fed & nar can't solve all the problems of the country. Sometimes things just don't go the way we want them to and the ball gets hit into the long grass. The strong survive.

I worked for the RTC in the early 80's. You may have read about the S&L meltdown.REO disposal was a breeze, this round will be bloody. Hey, you might learn something,just ask your folks. Sometimes making a sale shouldn't be our only thought. That's what old age & time in combat will teach you. 

Apr 11, 2011 09:59 AM
Miah Kattman
Century 21 Commonwealth - Wellesley, MA

I respectfully agree to disagree with you. How are you going to clear up the inventory when first-time buyers need 20 percent down? Can't a first-time buyer with good credit history have 10 percent down and get a good rate? You ask me a question but you have no solution.

I have been in the real estate market for 11 years. Of course the strong survive and I am still here. If you haven't been under a rock you know the last four or five years have been challenging. And if you are a professional your job is not to just make a sale but to believe in the benefits of home ownership and help people acheive their goals in a realistic way. I don't know anyone that I have sold a house to who has defaulted on a mortgage, whether they used an FHA product or other. . .not one!

Not every FHA borrower defaults. You are generalizing. Hate to tell you but I know plenty of people who are not first-time buyers and have defaulted. Even those with 20 percent down!

 

Apr 11, 2011 10:21 AM
Mike Morrison
Will & Will Real Estate Brokers, The Woodlands, Texas - Houston, TX

Yes ma'm you are correct, plenty of FHA first time buyers have not defaulted. But, why is FHA going up on their MI coverage?? You'll see a spike in the mortgage purchase index prior to 4/15, when the higher fees go into effect. What will that tell you & me? Folks that are on the edge of qualifying are rushing to get in under the *wire*

The answer to your 1st question is you don't. Short of giving all the REO and *shadow inventory* away for free. The numbers won't work. I'll use nar's numbers. 2010 solds= 5million +/-. So using 1 job per 2 sold= 2.5 million new jobs in 2010, just from nar's sold numbers, correct? I'll use the Democrats in Congress total number of jobs created in 2010= 500,000.(better than the bls) Where are the other 2,000,000 jobs from home sales?

Miah, short of a total re-set, we can't get there from here. All that has happened since 2009 is professional *can kicking*. First time buyers can't get us out of this,FHA,VA,USDA or even conventional loans can't help us. There is no secondary market to re-capitalize lenders.Want to know why ? The fed intervention in the housing market. Show me 1 fed program that will lead us out of the dark ? HAMP ? The fed's QE 1,2,3, ............ No & No. My solution is to force TBTF's to mark-to-market all RE Loans on the balance sheet. Also, Fannie & Freddie,FHA,VA & USDA. Then, and only then, will we fully understand exactly where the housing market is at. Then, have investors take down inventory,at a huge discount, on a very structured basis. Then have the investors sell inventory at a discount to 1st time buyers first and then to others. Will take time,which is what you have.Great exchange of ideas, thanks so much!!! 

Apr 11, 2011 02:07 PM
Miah Kattman
Century 21 Commonwealth - Wellesley, MA

When I heard the one job for two sold homes figure, I wasn't thinking that would happen the instant the home was sold, but rather over time. Good question though. . .you are right, it is good to question the data that is out there. I don't know but like I said, I do know people who buy houses then hire electricians or plumbers or contractors. We have a buyer who is purchasing a listing of ours that has now employed an architect, contractors etc. He is contributing to job creation for sure.

Hmm. Interesting idea about clearing inventory. I guess that is what we are lacking - real solutions. That is my frustration. I don't think first-time buyers should be teetering on the brink. I agree with responsible buying and having savings. We will see how it all shakes out. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. I appreciate it.

 

Apr 11, 2011 02:25 PM