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Federal Reserve Watch: Little Chance Rates Will Rise Soon, Even Bernanke Says

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Services for Real Estate Pros

If anyone doubted it, Chairman Bernanke said it himself at last week's historic press conference -- rates will stay at their current rock bottom level "for an extended period." Many economists are taking that to mean till the end of the year. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%-0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Jun 22 0%-0.25%
Aug 9 0%-0.25%
Sep 20 0%-0.25%


Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Jun 22      <1%
Aug 9      1%
Sep 20      3%

From my weekly enewsletter INSIDE LENDING for Real Estate Pros, Week of May 2, 2011