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Robert Shiller Predicts a 50% Decline in Housing

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Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker
Robert Shiller is one smart dude. He is an Economics professor at Yale, author of Irrational Exuberance, and co-founder of the Case Shiller Index. He stated in an interview with CNBC's Maria Bartiromo about the Fed's 50/50 rate cut in September that he expects a big chill in the housing market with home prices declining in some markets as much as 50% for the months ahead. He is not surprised that the Fed dropped the Funds Rate by 50 basis points to 4.75% and the Discount Rate by 50 basis points to 5.25% today because he feels the possibility of a recession has increased significantly. The Case Shiller Index is the most relied upon indicator for the state of the real estate market as a whole in the United States and used for futures and options contracts in the Chicago mercantile exchange. Here is the link to the Video of Interview. Here is the link to the Video of Interview.
Susan Trombley
Trombley Real Estate - Wake Forest, NC
Broker/Realtor, Raleigh, Cary, Wake Forest, Youngs
Hum, very interesting. You say a professor has these comments. I guess I will have to check out this index.
Oct 07, 2007 03:11 PM
Barry Shapiro
Broker-Associate - Camarillo, CA
I could not get the link to play:  http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=520798002 Oh well....
Oct 07, 2007 03:33 PM
Hojin Chang
Coldwell Banker - Windermere, FL
He's not just a professor. Robert Shiller is probably one of the most knowledge people on macro real estate trends.
Oct 07, 2007 04:52 PM
Ernie Cabrera
REAL ESTATE AMERICA - Ernie Cabrera - Elk Grove, CA
Real Estate America
I could not play the video either.  It is an interesting post.  I do think the real estate market is in a down turn right now.  How far down is still unknown.  This winter will be telling and it will be hard on sellers.
Oct 07, 2007 05:39 PM