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Watch those rents....

By
Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams NY Realty - 120 Bloomingdale Road #101, White Plains NY 10605

There is yet another reason for first time buyers to get off the fence.  Rising rental rates. 

Since the market for rental agents is small at best, I generally don't spend much time looking at rentals - though I do keep an eye on the prices.  Over the last few months I was noticing that the rates were edging up, but it wasn't until I started working with a tenant that I realized the extent of the jump AND the shortage of units. 

Needle in a haystack... 

Easy enough, I thought. I pulled the appropriate listings - my eyes popped a bit as I saw the pricing...definitely higher than just a few months ago.   I found six appropriate units and started calling.  All but two were already rented and they had only been on the market a week or two!  Checking a little further, compared the rental rates in two popular condominium complexes in White Plains NY.  Trump Tower was up  a whopping 10% from 2010 and Jefferson place was up a more modest 4%.  But given the short time span in which this has happened, it is time for renters to start thinking seriously about buying.

This impacts the bottom line...

Rents are not going to be getting any lower because there is no incentive for this to happen.  When they are flying off the shelf - landlords will be seeking relief since many were  losing money every month with the recessionary rates.  In many cases, rents were not even covering the costs of owning the unit. Since vacancy time is no longer an issue - owners will try to lock-in gains and we may see a rapid rise to pre-recession rates.  For condos like Jefferson Place that means an additional 11% and for Trump that would be an additional 6%.   For a 2 BR at Jefferson Place that would be an additional $325 a month beyond the median $2600 a month we have now (or an extra $3900 a year).

Time to rethink renting and consider buying...

At some point renting will become more problematic.  One of the primary reasons that people buy their first home is to escape the gyrations of increasing rents... It looks like that's where the market is headed now.  Affordability for purchasing is better than it has been for years.  What are you waiting for?

© 2011 - Ruthmarie G. Hicks - http://thewestchesterview.com - All rights reserved.

Comments (11)

Barbara Todaro
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Happily Retired - Franklin, MA
Previously Affiliated with The Todaro Team

Good morning, Ruthmarie.....the rental market here is a very strong market and people are paying top dollar to rent an apartment, condo or home....especially a home rental.....I don't know what they're thinking....they could buy and have a payment of less than what they are paying for rent....and they own it complete with tax deductions!!!

May 25, 2011 10:33 PM
Wallace S. Gibson, CPM
Gibson Management Group, Ltd. - Charlottesville, VA
LandlordWhisperer

...IMHO * it's time to get INVESTOR OWNERS to REenter the real estate market and BUY.  Investor property owners/landlords will get us out of this real estate market and provide rental housing for a population who wants to stay MOBILE!

May 25, 2011 10:57 PM
Debbie Gartner
The Flooring Girl - White Plains, NY
The Flooring Girl & Blog Stylist -Dynamo Marketers

Good to know.  BTW, I do have a potential customer who is trying to rent 2 bedroom in White Plains.  I may end up offering to write a blog abt it.

May 25, 2011 11:28 PM
Marie Graham
Owner, The Refreshed Home White Plains NY - White Plains, NY
Westchester County Interior Decorator, Home Stager

Ruthmarie-good topic! As a Stager, Homwowner, AND a Landlord, I see all sides. To Wallace's point, there will always need to be people who can't-or don't want-to be tied to owning a property...but perhaps if all sides just kept taking teeny tiny steps forward, we might get out of this mess...

May 26, 2011 05:02 AM
Ruthmarie Hicks
Keller Williams NY Realty - 120 Bloomingdale Road #101, White Plains NY 10605 - White Plains, NY

Hi Barbara - The balance is shifting rapidly towards owning.  Right now - with deductions and being conservative - owning is a hair less expensive if you buy the same unit.  But one of the real issues for entry level people is that most rentals are in luxury condos or luxury apartment buildings.  That makes renting really expensive.  They could buy a more modest coop and do MUCH BETTER.  But coops generally do not permit renting - so getting into that type of housing that is nice but generally older with fewer amenities and CHEAPER is much harder as a renter.  So if a buyer was willing to give up the 24 hour doorman and the laundry in the unit and the gym on site....which no one truly NEEDS.  Then buying is now a good deal less expensive.  So if you want the amenities - its a wash - but if you are willing to give up just a little, you have a less expense, tax deductions and a great space and equity... Also - rents aren't going to stay where they are - they are going UP.. while condo prices and coop prices might be edging up - they aren't going to take off like a rocket.  So soon it really will be cheaper to own - ALL THE WAY AROUND.

 

Hi Wallace - there is some of that activity around here - but most of the investors I have worked with are investor wanna-be's who want it all for a song.  We are at or very near the bottom -  the trends are unmistakable.  The upper end is already going up and FINALLY  inventory is starting to be absorbed at the bottom.  But it is still very slow.

Hi Debbie - Why doesn't he list it?  It will be gone faster - yes he has to pay one months rent - not the end of the world.

Hi Marie - People need to get off the fence.  I'm still seeing cold feet everywhere on the buying side - to the point of insanity.  Exactly how affordable does it have to get?  Do we have to go to affordability levels in the 1930's to get us there?  This is now - officially - irrational.  Once those higher rents start to "SINK IN" renters will either be priced out or have to make a move towards ownership.  When I first started, it wasn't just the boom that spurred ownership - it was high rents that were increasing rapidly....

May 26, 2011 06:03 AM
Ann Allen Hoover
RE/MAX Advantage South - Hoover, AL
CDPE SRES ASP e-PRO Realtor - Homes for Sale - AL

We are seeing our rental inventory shrink due to all the people whose homes were destroyed by the tornadoes needing a place to live, at least temporarily.

May 26, 2011 06:18 AM
Ann Hayden 636-399-7544
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Select Properties-St. Louis Missouri - Des Peres, MO
SelectAnn.com

Ruthmarie,

I have noticed rents in some areas are increasing.

Ann Hayden in Wildwood, MO

May 26, 2011 03:40 PM
Ruthmarie Hicks
Keller Williams NY Realty - 120 Bloomingdale Road #101, White Plains NY 10605 - White Plains, NY

Hi Ann  A- that's really sad.  I would hope that landlords are not taking advantage of these poeple ...though I wouldn't count on it.

Hi Ann H - I think its a general trend. It makes sense.  A lot of people sitting out the market.

May 26, 2011 05:02 PM
Laurie Mindnich
Centennial, CO

Ruthmarie, this might shock you, but every now and then I contemplate leaving NY for Co.  I targeted an apt. complex, and saw the rent for one that might be a great temporary starting point go up 28% in a year and a half. Same floorplan; same complex.  Even the word "complex" (coupled with that kind of increase) returns me to "house that I like, knowing that living there for a while is neccessary."  There comes a point where rent is just right with ownership, and those renting OUT have seen the light with increased tenant potential $, due to economic pressure.

May 27, 2011 03:24 PM
Ruthmarie Hicks
Keller Williams NY Realty - 120 Bloomingdale Road #101, White Plains NY 10605 - White Plains, NY

I'm STUNNED Laurie.... I know that your devotion to the way NY practices and Long Island real estate makes moving to CO unthinkable! I do think that this will force the hands of a lot of fence sitters. 

So many buyers will NOT get off the dime. I've been waiting for buyers to make an offer on a house I know they LOVE for a week.  No offer.  I've tried calling, emailing, cajooling. The price was lowered again and it is such a gorgeous deal its killing me. Not something that they can easily duplicate either.  Waiting is accomplishing nothing - all they are doing is losing.  What they aren't understanding is that right now they can live cheaper in that house then they can rent a 2 BR 1050 sf condo a few blocks away.  Yet another buyer with ice cold feet for no good reason.  Getting an offer to stick with these waffling buyers is like trying to nail jello to a wall. 

Frankly - we need something like this to scare them off the fence.  Buyers have become to cocky and unpredictible and this is no longer making any kind of practical sense. They should be taking advantage of this market and instead they are playing games....  At this rate of shortage - payback from Landlords that had been renting out units at  a net LOSS for about 3 years is going to be a bitch.  They are going to be jacking up very fast and furious now. Many will be priced out  of their current rentals - and they could have bought in the wonderful buyers market.... with super low rates...but noooooo.

May 27, 2011 04:12 PM
Laurie Mindnich
Centennial, CO

Ruthmarie, in the current venue of good people with horrible equity/job situation/credit, what landlord wouldn't see opportunity?  It's awful, but it's what is, for renters.  Time for potential buyers to weigh it out- and not because of the time honored NAR rhetoric, "It's a GREAT time to BUY!" with a smiley Realtor face.

May 27, 2011 04:25 PM