Where' the Bottom of the Burbank Real Estate Market ?

I spoke with Burbank real estate specialist, Ana Connell, today.  Ana's "other life" paralleled mine; she was a manager for a securities brokerage firm before she started her career in real estate brokerage.  We chuckled as we talked about the principles of technical analysis and how it might apply to residential real estate .  I want to share the product of our discussion with you, the Southern California property buyer.

I think that the real test of proper pricing for Southern California real estate is revealed when we analyze properties like a long-term investor may.  We are getting close to parity here.  If a property can create net positive cash flow, with a 20% down payment, and a a current market rate, interest-only loan, the game's over.  Long-term investors will flock to that purchase no matter what the near-term pricing does.

Here's why.  Investors believe in the long-term viability of the Southern California residential market, they just don't like the short-term negative cash-flow.

eg:   The unit can produce $2150/month in rent, what is a "safe" purchase price?

ANSWERS HERE

 

9 Comments on Where' the Bottom of the Burbank Real Estate Market ?

Terrifi post Brian. Could you expand on how you arrive at your cost per thousand figure?

10/10/2007 04:35 PM by Michael Tarabotto (Certified Appraiser) Santa Clarita, San Fernando, Westside (California Appraisal Solutions Corp.)


Thanks for the post.  When investors are ready to return to the market....  They are ready now, at the right price.  Investors are in the market all the time.  The 20% down to buy an investment property is not what the true investor is looking for.  (Just my 2 cents)

 

10/10/2007 05:54 PM by Bradenton Florida Real Estate - Dan Forbes ( Masters Referral Services)


the 20% down to buy an investment property is not what the true investor is looking for.  (Just my 2 cents)

What are they looking for, Dan? 

10/10/2007 06:23 PM by America's #1 Mortgage Broker


I think it depends on where you are looking.. in most of the local Beach Cities.. rentals have never made sense using any type of standard model.  We are certainly well over where we should be.. but we never fit the mold.. Our investors often have a different agenda when dealing in these neighborhoods..It's what makes CA rel estate so interesting

10/10/2007 08:09 PM by Manhattan Beach CA/ e-PRO..... Kaye Thomas... (Real Estate West)


Brian:

I agree with Kay.

I have purchased apartment buildings in Texas using common sense formulas--and made money doing so.

I have purchased properties in Southern California because they took my heart away--and made money doing so.

 Go figure.

 

 

10/10/2007 10:03 PM by Roberta Murphy ~ Carlsbad Real Estate (Villa Sotheby's International Realty)


So, how would you determine that we're close to the bottom, ladies?

10/10/2007 10:42 PM by America's #1 Mortgage Broker


Bunk, BUnk, BUNk, BUNK

I don't believe you can apply the principles of technical analysis to home purchases! Nor do I believe you can apply them to small (1 to 4 unit) investment properties in a tough market.

No one likes to crunch numbers more than I do. Many years ago as an expatriate banker I got to learn from the best. For the rest of the story: Bunk, BUnk, BUNk, BUNK

Bill

William J Archambault Jr

The Real Estate Investment Institute

First National Mortgage Sources

10/10/2007 11:23 PM by William J Archambault Jr (The Real Estate Investment Institute )


Leave a response…

Name:
Notify me of new comments:
Comment:
What does the graphic say?
 
Mortgage Company: America's #1 Mortgage Broker
Brian Brady- America's #1 Mortgage Broker
San Diego, CA
More about me…
America's #1 Mortgage Broker

Office Phone: (858) 777-9751
Email Me

Links

Tags (Tag Cloud)

Archives

RSS 2.0 Feed for this blog
ATOM 1.0 Feed for this blog

Find CA real estate agents and San Diego real estate here on ActiveRain.
Disclaimer: ActiveRain Corp. does not necessarily endorse the real estate agents, loan officers and brokers listed on this site. These real estate profiles, blogs and blog entries are provided here as a courtesy to our visitors to help them make an informed decision when buying or selling a house. ActiveRain Corp. takes no responsibility for the content in these profiles, that are written by the members of this community.
© 2007 ActiveRain Corp. All Rights Reserved