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Subprime Mortgages Are Poised To Make A Come Back

Reblogger Glenn Freezman
Services for Real Estate Pros with Nucazza LLP & Home Buying Evolution, & Family Abstract, Inc

 

I was inspired by this post to re-write the words to the popular Bye Bye Miss American Pie.  Thank you Steven for the thought provoking post.

The Day the Subprime Died. (THE REMIX)
From: Another Dead Deal Production.

 
A long, long time ago...
I can still remember
How that yield spread made me smile.
And I knew if I had my chance
Those mohos I could finance
And I could pay my bills for a while.
 
But February made me shiver
With every good faith I'd deliver.
Bad news on my e-mail;
I just lost one more sale.
 
I can't remember if I cried
When I saw the Fremont slide
But something touched me deep inside
The day the Subprime died.
 
So bye-bye, B\C money supply.
Sent my package to four lenders
But they all asked me why.
And good old boys were on a crack induced high Singin', "This'll be the day
the loans die, This'll be the day the loans die."
 
Did you write some B\C loans,
Did you blow bucks on the iPhone?,
Did that nut Cramer tell you so?
Do you believe in rate control,
Can FHA save your borrower's soul,
Why is underwriting today so damn slow?
 
Well, I know you'll have to cut those fees And you're wondering who has
moved your cheese.
Bernarke's on the news.
You can't afford the MBA dues.
 
I was a semi-rich middle-aged broncin' buck With a master plan and a lot of
pluck, But I knew I was out of luck The day the Subprime died.
 
So bye-bye, B\C money supply.
Sent my package to four lenders
But they all asked me why.
And good old boys were on a crack induced high Singin', "This'll be the day
the loans die."

 

Original content by Stephen Howell

According to an article written by Angela Pruitt at The Wall Street Journal, Lewis Ranieri is back and is preparing to enter the subprime mortgage market with a company call Shellpoint.  Ranieri's company, which acquired New Penn Financial, is poised to enter the subprime mortgage market, but will need to raise millions of dollars in capital to hold mortgages that they may not be able to sell on the secondary mortgage market for some time to come.

"[] there is little doubt that consumer demand for alternative mortgage financing is growing as traditional banks shut out all but the most pristine borrowers."

The article (published on June 23, 2011) states that the pendulum has swung too hard the other way.  Almost four years have passed since the summer of 2008 when the mortgage market all but locked up and no one, not event the squeaky clean, could obtain a mortgage to buy a home.  Today, lenders are lending, but only to the triple-A borrowers.  Borrowers who purchased homes anywhere between 2003 and 2007 will likely be those who will best fit Penn Financial's customer profile since those borrowers where hardest hit by the mortgage crisis, who may have defaulted on adjustable rate mortgages or they simply had no choice but to purchase homes at the peak of the market and can no longer sell them for what they were once worth and have to default in order to get out from under the thumb of their current lenders.

"Shellpoint says it has no plans to bring back the most discredited forms of subprime loans, including the infamous no-documentation mortgages, often dubbed liar loans, which allowed borrowers to obtain loans without proof of income or employment."

Shellpoint will start off on the right foot, but, what's to keep Shellpoint, or any other mortgage originator who enters the subprime market, from lowering the bar again and lowering it again after that?  Just before the big meltdown, if you were breathing and could sign your name, you could qualify for mortgages and home equity loans.  And, many people used the run up in home prices to fuel purchases of second homes, indulge in luxury lifestyles, and pay for expensive kids' college tuitions, and much, much more.  Homeowners used their homes as giant ATM machines to dispense cash in the tens of thousands of dollars.

"The aim is to target borrowers whose credit profiles prevent them from obtaining conventional mortgages in the tight market but who are nevertheless good credit risks and can make a down payment of at least a 15%. The company said a typical borrower could include self-employed contractors and other professionals who have assets and a steady income stream. The self-employed have been the hardest-hit by bank credit-tightening trends."

So, Shellpoint aims to lend to borrowers who are currently under-served by traditional lenders.  Those lenders, including Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citibank, Chase and others have a lot of work to do to absorb the fallout from the prior subprime mortgage meltdown.  It could take years for the traditional lenders to process all the pending short sales and foreclose on defaulting borrowers.

The run up in home prices that fueled greedy lenders to lower standards for loans time and again started at the beginning of the last decade, shortly after we rang in the New Millennium.  It's going to take the rest of this decade, perhaps until 2020, for housing prices to recover and for the system to wash out all the bad loans and defaulting borrowers.  Until then, there will be continued pressure on the rental market while borrowers cannot obtain financing to live out the American dream of home ownership.  Homeowners will continue to be displaced from the homes they own that are either over priced or over financed.  This crisis has scared forever the first ten, and maybe twenty, years of the New Millennium.

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Stephen Howell, Associate Broker, Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage, Annapolis, MarylandIf you are interested in buying or renting a home in Annapolis, Maryland or the surrounding area and want to tour any property currently on the market, or if you have a home to sell or rent in Annapolis, Maryland and want a professional consultation on current market conditions, please contact me at 410-923-3217 or e-mail me at showell@cbmove.com or visit my website at LiveInAnnapolis.com.

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Stephen Howell and Rocky (his lab-mix from the SPCA of Anne Arundel County in Annapolis) live on the www.LiveInAnnapolis.comChesapeake Bay near Annapolis, Maryland. He works in the Annapolis real estate market. His website lets people search the Washington and Baltimore metropolitan area MLS. Buyers can also search for waterfront homes along the Chesapeake Bay. His website has current real estate data on Annapolis, Anne Arundel County, and Maryland.

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Anna "Banana" Kruchten
HomeSmart Real Estate - Phoenix, AZ
602-380-4886

Hmmm Glenn - paused me to ponder where this could all go again. I do think they've swung to far and need to come back somewhere in the middle. It will happen, I'm sure.  And - I like what you've done with the song lyrics - creative.

Jun 24, 2011 10:16 AM
Glenn Freezman
Nucazza LLP & Home Buying Evolution, & Family Abstract, Inc - Fort Washington, PA

Good morning Anna, I think the Pendulum broke and its swinging around and around the top of the bar until it swings to a stop and chokes itself.

Jun 27, 2011 02:38 AM