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Is it a Buyer’s Market or Seller’s Market? Understanding Murrieta CA Absorption Rates.

How can you determine whether it’s a buyer’s market or a seller’s market? By looking at housing market absorption rates.

The absorption rate refers to the number of months it will take to sell all the homes currently listed for sale. For example, if it will take six months to sell the current inventory of homes, then the absorption rate is six months.

When the absorption rate is less than five months, it’s considered a seller’s market. When the absorption rate is more than seven months, it’s a buyer’s market. And when the absorption rate is between five and seven months, it’s a balanced, or stable market.

The absorption rate refers to the number of months it will take to sell all the homes currently listed for sale. For example, if it will take six months to sell the current inventory of homes, then the absorption rate is six months.  When the absorption rate is less than five months, it's considered a seller's market. When the absorption rate is more than seven months, it's a buyer's market. And when the absorption rate is between five and seven months, it's a balanced, or stable market.

CALCULATING ABSORPTION RATES

The absorption rate is calculated by dividing the number of homes for sale by the number of homes sold. For example, if the number of homes currently for sale is 350 and the number of homes sold on average per month is 100, then the absorption rate is 350 / 100 = 3.5 months.

Absorption rate trends helps buyers and sellers determine a realistic value for the home. When absorption rates are trending upward, then homes are taking longer to sell, which puts downward pressure on housing prices. However, when absorption rates are trending downward, then homes are selling faster, which puts upward pressure on housing prices.ABSORPTION RATE TRENDS

By comparing the three, six, and twelve month values, the absorption rate’s trend is determined. If the three month absorption rate is higher than the six month rate, and the six month rate is higher than the 12 month rate, then the absorption rate is trending upward. But if the three month absorption rate is lower than the six month rate, and the six month rate is lower than the 12 month rate, then the absorption rate is trending downward.

Absorption rate trends help buyers and sellers determine a realistic value for the home. When absorption rates are trending upward, then homes are taking longer to sell, which puts downward pressure on housing prices. However, when absorption rates are trending downward, then homes are selling faster, which puts upward pressure on housing prices.

Here are the latest absorption rates for Murrieta Single Family Homes.
Here are the latest absorption rates for Murrieta Condos & Townhomes.

Copyright ©2011 Bill Burchard

Copyright ©2012 Bill Burchard

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9 Comments on Is it a Buyer’s Market or Seller’s Market? Understanding Murrieta CA Absorption Rates

JUN
28
440,950 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

More about me: I’m Bill Burchard, a real estate broker licensed by the California Department of Real Estate (Lic: 01864774). I specialize in Murrieta homes for sale, including bank foreclosures (REO properties) and short sales. I also specialize in Greer Ranch homes for sale, the community where I live. I serve the real estate needs of both home buyers and home sellers in Greer Ranch and in Murrieta, CA.

If you want more information about buying or selling Murrieta real estate, or if you want more information about my Greer Ranch Community (including properties for sale), please contact me, Bill the Murrieta Broker, by phone or text at (951) 347-3818, or email me at Bill@my3BRealty.com.

12:33pm • #1
440,950 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

More about Murrieta, CA: The City of Murrieta is a young vibrant community cradled in the junction of the 15 and 215 freeways in southwest Riverside County. Murrieta lies on the northern border of Temecula, CA, famous for its Temecula Wine Country.   Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774, Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.comMore about Murrieta, CA: The City of Murrieta is a young vibrant community cradled in the junction of the 15 and 215 freeways in southwest Riverside County. Murrieta lies on the northern border of Temecula, CA, famous for its Temecula Wine Country.
 
Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774,
Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.com

12:33pm • #2
440,950 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

More about Greer Ranch, Murrieta, CA: The Greer Ranch Community is a fully developed, meticulously well-maintained gated neighborhood, with large homes that are just a few years old. Many homes have gorgeous views of the Temecula Valley below. Located in Murrieta, CA, Greer Ranch is a wonderful place to live and to raise a family.  Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774, Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.comMore about Greer Ranch, Murrieta, CA: The Greer Ranch Community is a fully developed, meticulously well-maintained gated neighborhood, with large homes that are just a few years old. Many homes have gorgeous views of the Temecula Valley below. Located in Murrieta, CA, Greer Ranch is a wonderful place to live and to raise a family.

Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774,
Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.com

12:33pm • #3
440,950 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

More about Bear Creek, Murrieta CA: The Bear Creek Community is a fully developed, meticulously well-maintained guard-gated neighborhood, featuring a wide range of homes, from condominiums and villas, to spacious single family homes and magnificent estates. Fashioned around a Jack Nicklaus Signature Golf Course, many homes have gorgeous views of pristine fairways and greens. Located in Murrieta, CA, Bear Creek is a wonderful place to live and play, and to raise a family.  Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774, Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.comMore about Bear Creek, Murrieta CA: The Bear Creek Community is a fully developed, meticulously well-maintained guard-gated neighborhood, featuring a wide range of homes, from condominiums and villas, to spacious single family homes and magnificent estates. Fashioned around a Jack Nicklaus Signature Golf Course, many homes have gorgeous views of pristine fairways and greens. Located in Murrieta, CA, Bear Creek is a wonderful place to live and play, and to raise a family.

Bill the Murrieta Broker: REALTOR®, SFR, CBRS, DRE Lic: 01864774,
Cell: 951-347-3818, Email: Bill@my3BRealty.com

12:33pm • #4
664,664 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Bill, if these trends are local, then they're locally fundamental. Selling prices and market values affecting national averages change the level of the playing field. Otherwise, nationally, it's absolutely a buyer's market in most large metropolitan communities as long as there are foreclosures piling up and interest rates are below gutter level. The downside is that as long as investor confidence is slack in the secondary market all banks will remain less willing to lend; not just for new and existing residential, but much less for new construction start-ups. Thanks for the nice post and something important to examine. It's time to start thinking about creative and safe financing alternatives. Banks need new loan products that restore the confidence on both sides; lender and borrower. For the last seven years it's been cowboys and indians.

1:01pm • #5
751,645 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Good infromation...thank you!

1:12pm • #6
440,950 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Hi David. Thanks for the thoughtful comment... and the compliment!

Thanks Li!

5:22pm • #7
OCT
15
550,500 Points 20 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Called Shot Master

Bill Great explanation of absorption rates!

4:58pm • #8

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Bill Burchard, Broker, REALTOR: Murrieta Homes For Sale, California Real Estate

Murrieta, CA

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3B Realty

Address: Murrieta, CA, 92564

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