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It was "an accident waiting to happen:" scolds Alan Greenspan

By
Mortgage and Lending with Diverse Solutions

PhotoAmidst the the ever so popular credit crisis "blame game" our former Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan shares his insights with new Chairman Ben Bernanke...

From Reuters: Crisis Was "Accident Waiting to Happen:" Greenspan 

    "The financial crisis that erupted on August 9 was an accident waiting to happen," Greenspan said in a speech on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings. "Credit spreads across all global asset classes had become suppressed to clearly unsustainable levels."

"Something had to give." (Reuters)

 

I remember the date like it was yesterday! One week you had proud Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke proclaiming to the world that the credit crisis is confined to the Subprime market...and the following Monday you have American Home Mortgage filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy! Whoops!!!

Like the shot heard around the world, investors fled the bond market not wanting anything to do with less than perfect credit.

(Photo by REUTERS/James Reed) 

 

Since then... 

The Lender death toll is currently at 173 per the Mortgage Implode-O-Meter.  

 

In order to help ease the credit markets, the Fed has...

Cut the Discount Rate

Cut the Fed Funds Rate 

The question raining on everyone's mind now is whether or not the Fed will once again cut the Fed Funds Rate on Halloween!

    While advocates like Jim Cramer are screaming "cut rates...Cut Rates....CUT RATES!!!"

The Fed might be a bit more conservative with only a 25 basis point cut, if at all. 

 

And others have proposed...

$80 Billion Dollar Fund to Revive Asset-Backed Commercial Market - Proposed by Citigroup, Bank of America, JPMorgan and Wachovia

        Only to have Greenspan Issue A Sharp WARNING On the Superfund!

 

At the end of the day, one thing is for sure about the outlook ahead...

The turmoils in the credit market have created price elasticities for certain markets... Homes sit stale on the market because borrowers don't qualify and are therefore resigned to a reduction in price. The higher-end markets are a bit more inelastic to the turmoil because here you often have a down-payment buyer with excellent credit. 

Either way, if you're a buyer and are wondering about the market, here are some facts:  

Pin the Tail On the Bottom of the Market by Tracey Thomas

Jumbo Stated Income Loans  

The HOME POSSIBLE Financing Program

Weekly Mortgage Update - October 22nd - Long-term mortgage rates held steady in light of mixed economic reports. As you can see however, short-term rates have rallied downward as the bond market has improved through increased demand. We can expect yet lower interest rates today but we'll be monitoring the market closely as earnings and credit reports will continue to influence the market.

Rob Arnold
Sand Dollar Realty Group, Inc. - Altamonte Springs, FL
Metro Orlando Full Service - Investor Friendly & F
Hopefully the Fed will cut rates.  Something drastic needs to be done to get things jump started.  Maybe its a little too late now though.
Oct 23, 2007 01:06 PM
Randal Keberlein
Weichert Realtors, Precision - Kenosha, WI
hiis a very well written blg.  Well done
Oct 23, 2007 01:10 PM
Karen Kruschka
RE/MAX Executives - Woodbridge, VA
- "My Experience Isn't Expensive - It's PRICELESS"
Ricardo, Alan Greenspan sought to repair the damaged economy after 9/11.  It was his plan to build the real estate market which would bring along the rest of the businesses that rely on real estate - he kept lowering the rate and the buying frenzy and ridiculous price escalation began,  Shame on you, Alan Greenspan.
Oct 23, 2007 01:15 PM
Ricardo Bueno
Diverse Solutions - Los Angeles, CA

Karen: you say, "Shame on you, Alan Greenspan."

I say shame on everybody! He's often criticized for being the sole driving force behind our constricted credit market when really it was a problem perpetuated by everyone!    

Pointing the Finger At Who's to Blame

Oct 23, 2007 01:37 PM
Tracey Thomas
BrokerInTrust Real Estate - Calabasas, CA
CA Real Estate Broker
Hey Ricardo - Thanks so much for the mention.  Hope you are OK.
Oct 23, 2007 02:45 PM
Marlene Bridges
Village Real Estate Services, Inc. - Laguna Hills, CA
Laguna Homes|Laguna Condos|Laguna Real Estate
Ricardo - Great blog.  So many great links!  It will be interesting to see what happens on Oct. 31.  I also am hoping for another rate cut. But, we shall see.
Oct 23, 2007 05:43 PM
Ricardo Bueno
Diverse Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
Rob: thanks for stopping by. You mention that "something drastic needs to be done to get things jump started." I too feel that well qualified buyers are sitting on the fence waiting for rates to move lower or prices to fall. Fortunately they don't realize rates are doing great and they're playing a losing game of trying to time the market. They just need a little nudge is all!
Oct 23, 2007 06:07 PM
Ricardo Bueno
Diverse Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
Randal: thanks for stopping by and thanks for the compliment. 
Oct 23, 2007 06:07 PM
Ricardo Bueno
Diverse Solutions - Los Angeles, CA

Tracey: it's my pleasure for the mention! It's a great post and hits on some very important points! 

And thank you for earlier!  

Oct 23, 2007 06:09 PM
Ricardo Bueno
Diverse Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
Marlene: hey there! It was great speaking with you the other day :)  I think the majority of people are pending a rate cut on October 31st. Not sure it will be a whole half-point but like you said, we shall see.
Oct 23, 2007 06:10 PM