"The bottom of a real estate market is only visable when it is on it's way back up!"

It's absolutely normal to want to purchase a home at the lowest possible price. 

The challenge is. that it can be very hard to predict what real estate markets will do and where the bottom actually is, ~ as we only know where the bottom was when it is on the way back up!

Everyone wants to believe they made the best possible decision when purchasing a home.

Typically, here in Southwest Riverside County fall is a great time to buy as the kids are back in school and there are simply less buyers competing for the available properties.

In the last four years, Temecula's lowest median price for Temecula Homes, was back in May of 2009, when the median price was $245,000.  Every area is different, but in a growing community like Temecula, it's typical for prices to go down slightly in the fall.

It's gone up a little and then down a little and now the medin price for a Temecula home in July, ended up at $286,500.  

Studying trends and watching the market is on everyone's mind, as consumers wait to see if prices are going to drop further.  Over the last four years there have been little ups and down'\s indicating that the typically busy times when more sales took place in the spring the flurry of sales increased prices a little.  

Since prices really declined dramatically in 2007 the ups and downs have been slight. The fact is that unless a property is really distressed the decline will be only a few percentage points as homes here in Riverside County have already made the largest drop.

 

This chart below, shows Temecula Median home sales and number of Temecula Homes sales over the last four years

  • The highest number of Temecula Home Sales occurred in December of 2007, when there were 442 Temecula home sales, for that month alone!
  • The lowest median price for a Temecula Homes, was May of 2009, when the median price was $245,000.
  • Currently for July/August, 2011, the number of Temecula homes sold are approximately 220 and the median price is $286,500.   






No one really knows what prices will be next spring, but I do know that prices are typically lower in the fall and this fall of 2011 is no different, and it has been this way every year that I have sold homes in Southwest Riverside County.  



The truth is that Real Estate Markets are continually changing!  

  • Buy a home at the best possible price when the time is right for you, by having your Realtor study recent sold comparalbes in the neighborhood you want to be in.

Realtors subscribe to and have access to the most recent sold comparalbes, public sites have property recordings mixed in with actual sales and this can be very misleading

  • Every neighborhood is different, only recent sold comparalbes will show accurate pricing trends and trying to lump a whole county together is only useful for GENERALIZING THE MARKET!!!


Jane Grant Broker of Record for Southwest Real Estate, Toll Free:    866-621-0155

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Temecula Real EstateContact me for information regarding Homes in Riverside County, Real Estate in Southwest Riverside County. My office is in Temecula, and I specialize in selling homes in the Murrieta and Temecula,  Wine County, De Luz, La Cresta, Bear Creek, Murrieta, Wildomar and Menifee, Canyon Lake, Canyon Hills, Lake Elsinore areas! Anywhere in Southwest Riverside County and North San Diego County. 

 

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12 Comments on Chasing A Declining Real Estate Market

AUG
31
2011
201,522 Points 7 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

It is really hard to predict the bottom, like you said, you only know when it goes up, but markets do not go straight up or down, so it will be hard to pinpoint.

11:49pm • #1
121,127 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Jane ... Very comprehensive info about your Temecula, CA Real Estate Market.  Thanks for the post!

11:50pm • #2
133,335 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Thanks for the charts, Jane. Regardless if the market is at bottom or not, the home prices here have really dropped!

11:52pm • #3
1,210,622 Points 118 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Jane - in the elevator a guy asked me about the market. I started answering, and he said, no, he only was asking about the market for the last 2 weeks.

Well, I have no clue. i will see the changes, if any, in 3 months

11:53pm • #4
107,513 Points 1 Featured Post Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Predicting the bottom is like guessing when the top will be the top. Great fortune in this "interesting" market.

11:58pm • #5
SEP
01
2011
376,720 Points 26 Featured Posts Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Jane - I am in the process of shooting a video on this very subject.  I might even use some of your post (with you permission) on that video to drive mypoint home about getting in now instead of waiting for some magical day when we hit bottom.  Great post! - as always : )

12:03am • #6
472,729 Points 12 Featured Posts Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master

Due to decreaing inventory, home prices in many Dallas neighborhoods are rising slightly. The combination of low interest rates and affordable properties makes this a good time to consider buying.

12:15am • #7
593,365 Points 22 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Mary:  We have a disclosure here called, "Market Conditions", that explains how the market can go up and down due to many different economic influences.  I remember when 9/11 happened and the market came to a stand still....Who could have predicted that???

 

Jim:  Thank you for stopping by!!!

 

Steve:  Yes, prices have already done the big drop, and slight ups and downs are normal.

 

Jon:  Two weeks, is a very short time unless you are micro watching a specific area and know that pending sales are going to close that could make an area go up or down.  But to make a broad brush statement about a two week period would only be a guess.

 

Ted:  Very true top and bottom are only seen after the trend is complete, and then it changes again!!!   Thank you and same back to you.

 

Nevin:  You can re-blog the parts you want, via your video!!!  I really like your videos and need to stop by and see what you've been up to...thank you for the compliment!

 

Sharon:  Very true every area is different, and Texas is unique in many ways....happy home selling in that lovely State of Texas!

 

 

12:25am • #8
466,170 Points 50 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

Jane, I like your chart. My crystal ball says we have a ways to go.... 

1:09am • #9
127,312 Points 8 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

Good morning...

Jane, I know what you mean. While there is no sage that can really predict when or where, there are sectors that have bottomed out and are on the rise...

5:42am • #10
561,252 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Jane,

Great post; You bring perspective not just to Temecula and Riverside County's real estate, but to many markets.

When values are inline with utility (rent value) and area incomes they are likely stabilized.

Best,

Steve

11:12am • #12

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Jane Grant - Temecula Home Search, Temecula Homes, Temecula, California

Temecula, CA

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Jane Grant, "Temecula Homes", Southwest Real Estate

Address: 43460 Ridge Park Drive, Suite 200, Temecula, CA, 92590

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