During the hot days of the local real estate market, our area had 1400+ agents competing for listings and sales. Now, with the market in a stagnant and unstable place, we have approximately 500 agents. That's a 74% drop in agents. Even still, that's probably 50% more than is necessary.
Building permits for the tri-county area are running at 114 for the year. Last year, they were at 341. The year before that, they ran at 1783. Simple numbers like that demonstrate to those who pay attention that the market is still very fragile in our area. The loss of agents and the lower building permit numbers are good numbers to know when approaching potential listings.
It is a buyer's market. Everyone should know that by now, but some homeowners still think they can demand whatever they want and buyers will magically appear. Unfortunately, it's not 2005 any longer. If a seller wants to get his house sold, he will have to be aware that:
- His home will more than likely not sell anywhere close to
what he paid in the pre-crash market.
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He will also need to understand there is a high volume of properties in competition with his, and some of those properties are short sales and REOs which are priced much lower than his. Just because a house is a short sale or REO does not mean it's trashed. It might be a wonderful house, lost by a great family, that ran up against a terrible time in our nation's financial history.
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He will need to make sure all of his systems are working. He may not be able to discount his price slightly to allow new buyers the funds to make repairs. He needs to be aware that the similar house down the street doesn't need a new furnace. Or, the one across the street doesn't need a new roof. The house needs to be in good to excellent condition.
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He will need to keep the house and the lawn and landscaping in top condition all the time. The house needs to be in showing condition 7 days a week.
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He will need to know that a buyer has no emotional attachment to his house. Don't take any offers personal. They might be all over the map. Make sure he counter-offers. Don't throw an offer away because he is offended. It might be the only one he gets, and the buyer might be checking his tolerance for a lower price.
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He will need to be ready to move. Don't assume the time from
contract to closing will be 30-60 days. I've had multiple contracts that closed in less than two weeks.
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He will need to listen to his Realtor. The professional he hires should be in touch with the local market at all times. He/she should be able to keep him informed of changes. He can't assume his buddy on the other side of town is the real expert on all things "Real Estate."
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He will need drop his emotional attachment to all the labors he put into his house. Buyers don't care, and they shouldn't. There is zero value to emotional ties to a home.
We're in a new time, and buyers and sellers are making adjustments all the time. A seller who is not attuned to the current conditions will likely be sitting in his house a year from now. If he truly wants to sell, he will need to make numerous adjustments along the way.
16 Comments on Sellers Will Likely Need to Adjust If They Want To Sell In This Market
Good morning Mike. Once again a thoughtful post. I always enjoy you and the information you provide. We could lose another 25% of agents and still have too many. Have a great day.
Same here, Sheila. We're definitely loaded with more than necessary. Thanks for you generous words!!
Good morning Mike! I'm with Sheila - another thoughtful and well written post! The reduction in agents has actually been a good thing for the market in my opinion. Suggested!
Thanks, Sherri. It has been good for our market. There were way too many part-timers in the local market. Now, there are very few. Have an awesome Sunday!
THird one in - and I concur - WELL WRITTEN, MIKE! I will keep this one for my next sellers to read! So true !! The most shocking thing to me is the # of building permits - Where do you get that info? Would love to see how we're doing - My assumption is that we're starting to recover during this - as you say - Fragile Market repairs -
The building permits were listed in our local paper last week, but I would imagine you could contact the local building depart for the info. There isn't anything proprietary about the actual numbers. Thanks for the kudos.
Mike; Excellent Information! I agree with all of it and in fact the idea that a seller now needs to be squarely on top of the list of "New", "Like New" or "Perfect Condition" properties in order to hear ANY offers is a truism that needs to be put out there for sellers to read and see....The idea that a house can come on the market just the way it is, is the biggest mistake a seller can make today. When we see brand new construction selling at top dollar that tells me that buyers want to live in new or like new houses and the other ones are sold for land value only!!! The problem here now is that new houses are slow to get started because the builders think that it is a very bad time to build---that is wrong wrong wrong! New houses are the only thing that is selling in real estate here right now and there are so few--I have a developer who does one house at a time and offers a custom built home to buyers. He has not started constuction because he thinks the market is going to tank totally! I have the listing and it is very frustrating to me because he has not even broken ground yet! He wanted to be well underway by September and it is already mid-October. Suggested!
Mike, Great post with lots of invaluable information. Thanks for sharing.
Hi Mike -
A good post as always. I've actually been meaning to run the latest numbers on our area Realtors. The Albuquerque area dropped many that either couldn't hold on or held their Realtor title half hearted. You're right too in the fact there are good homes out there that are in good shape.
Best regards from The Q
Very well said. Agents must provide acurate information regarding pricing. An overpriced listing is not an asset it is a liability.
So true, Paula. Buyers are expecting more than a few years ago, and they know they're in the drivers seat. Thanks for commenting!!
Thanks, Carlotta. Have a great Sunday!!
The numbers are staggering around here, John. You might be surprised at what you find! Have a great day!
You are so right, Richard. Thanks for dropping by!!
Of the 500 that are left how many have sold a property this year. In our world we had about 3400 agents at the max. Down to about 2400 now. Only about 700 have sold a property this year. Pretty sure more will drop out this year. Can't wait. Less is more. Less agents equals more business.
Mike, great advice and, as always, to the point. IMO, "Listen to your Realtor" should have been way up on the post but I'm assuming you listed in no particular order. It is still amazing to me how many houses come on the market that are not in pristine condition - anything less wont do unless the price is way low but, naturally, that is never an option. Bland just doesn't get you very far either ... if my buyers can't remember your house at the end of a home-tour, they wont buy it!
That's a great question, Bill. I'll have to check that out.
That is so true, Andrea. There has to be a hook or the buyers won't even remember it. You're right, no special order. Have a great Sunday. I'm debating on whether I should go shoot myself or actually finish up my taxes. Which would be less painful? 8-)
A great way to go through the steps to selling a home in this market. A little different take on explaining it.
Thanks, Don.