Economic Conditions for the Las Vegas Valley September 2007


Housing Conditions:

  • Foreclosure/Short Sale Listings (11/2/2007): Total Listings 26,884; Foreclosures Commenced: 1669, 6.2% of all listings; Short Sales: 3852, 14% of all listings; Bank Owned Listings:  1909, 7% of all listings.
  • New Home Sales (September 2007, units sold): 1153 Year Change -54.2% (excl condo conversions, highrises)
  • New Home Sales (September 2007, median price): $304,790 Year Change -8.4% (excl condo conversions, highrises)
  • Existing Home Sales (September 2007, units sold): 1544 Year Change -49.7%
  • Existing Home Sales (September 2007, median price): $262,377 Year Change: -7.9%
  • Single Family Residential Building Permits (September 2007): 620 Year Change -54.6%
  • Rental Rate (MLS Monthly Average September 2007): $1603/month Year Change +$309/month

My analysis: We are down 1,000 residential resale listings from last month!!!  The rental market has been consistently rising since November 2006.  Fire sale prices remain attractive to long term investors.  Mortgage meltdown has caused many new construction units fall out of escrow.  Much standing inventory available and builders are slashing prices to reduce inventory.  Look for foreclosure list prices to follow suit in October/November as banks will try to reduce inventory by year end.  Rents may rise dramatically next several months.

New Residents/Employment Conditions:

  • New Residents (September 2007): 6142, Year Change -22.1%
  • Total Employment (September 2007): 938,600, Year Change +1.4%
  • Unemployment Rate (September 2007) 5.2%, Year Change +23.8%

My analysis: The rising unemployment rate concerns me.  Availability of jobs will not keep new residents streaming in to town.  Could be tied to convention business dropping, construction jobs lost and lack of home equity money for home improvement services

Tourism/Gaming Conditions:

  • McCarran Airport Total Passengers (August 2007): 4,285,360 Year Change +6%
  • Gaming Revenue (August 2007): $838,032,815, Year Change -5.4%
  • Visitor Volume (August 2007): 3,744,024, Year Change +0%
  • Convention Attendance (August 2007): 739,215, Year Change 21.9%
  • Hotel/Motel Occupancy (August 2007): 91.2% Year Change +0.6%

My analysis: It is great to see convention attendance up from last month and one year ago.  Gaming revenue down for August even though all other indicators are positive.  

Sources: Salestraq, Home Builder's Research, Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors, Nevada State Gaming Control Board, Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles, McCarran International Airport, Las Vegas Convention & Visitor's Authority, Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation

All the Best,
Renee Burrows
Realtor®

Nevada Realty Solutions - Your Dream, Your Investment, You\'re Home!
8942 Spanish Ridge Avenue
Las Vegas, NV 89148
direct: 702-580-1783
fax: 702-995-8237
Renee@ReneeBurrows.com
http://www.ReneeBurrows.com

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6 Comments on Economic Conditions for the Las Vegas Valley October 2007

NOV
02
2007
158,155 Points 4 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Renee,

You still need to let me know when we will hook up.

Convention is just around the corner!

We will be staying at the Hilton Grand Vacations Club.

Thanks,

Lucky :)

11:03pm • #1
NOV
03
2007
You consistently have good stuff on your blogs!  I already see the banks taking the direction you mentioned.  I just closed on 2 bank owned properties and I have clients right now that can't make up thier minds on what they want because there are so many good deals on bank-owned properties out there.  Every time we turn around we find a better deal.  I've started searching on the MLS for two other clients and the REOs keep dropping their prices.  It looks to me like they are finally being proactive with the forecast that their REO protfolios are going to keep getting larger.  I see this trend continuing through next year.
1:50pm • #2
296,026 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
This was a really good, indepth analysis Renee.  If I'm reading your numbers correctly, it looks like one third of your Total current Inventory Volume for your Board right now is Short Sales, Foreclosure and Bank Owned Properties.  With a 50% decline in sales for residential units, that represents an incredible opportunity to invest in real estate. We've been seeing slashes in prices for bank owned homes throughout the year in Michigan.
3:33pm • #3
Wow. Very interesting numbers for an active market.
11:18pm • #4
NOV
05
2007
3 Featured Posts

Renee,

Great info!  The key is tourism seems to be staying steady or growing depending on what stat you look at!  Thanks for the good information.

R O
2:56pm • #5
5 Featured Posts
Wow Renee, that must be one heck of a market to work in.  It looks like there is some real upside for an investor who wants to buy a rental property right now.  And it will be a few years before those with bankrupties can buy again, so there will be a good rental market for a while. 
11:19pm • #6

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