One of my first posts on ActiveRain was title, The downfall of the "Lead Generators" and I wanted to revisit the topic. Over the last several months I've heard lots of people question whether companies like Zillow, Trulia, Move and Google will switch to a lead generation model as opposed to advertising once they "corner the online market". The simple answer is, they won't. The people managing these companies are smart enough to realize the model is not viable or sustainable.
And you say, but, but... HouseValues, HomeGain, etc. made a ton of money doing this. Actually they did back when there was little competition for eyeballs in the online space. Several years ago, they could cheaply generate decent quality leads that provided an ROI for their customers (agents/brokers). Guess what happened, the online space become competitive, much more competative. The cost of attracting visitors began to climb, at the same time these companies tried to grow and needed massive numbers of leads to satisify their customers.
Brokers and agents started to become aware that they needed to have an online presense themselves and the increased competition put the squeeze on the lead aggregators. The consumer started to become much more savy, as free information became more available there was less of a need to fill out a form to get to it. The only response these companies had to do one of several things to maintain revenues, be more aggressive in lead capture which reduced lead quality, raise prices of leads, sell the leads to more people (non exclusive).
One thing people don't often factor into to the whole equation is the cost of converting a lead to a closed deal. All of the above significantly reduced the ROI for the lead buyers. As the agents/brokers realized how bad their ROI was they let their contracts expire and these lead aggregators now needed to put massive amounts of money into recruiting new customers. This started a further downward spiral leading to shrinking revenues and profit margins. The lead aggregators are now frantically searching for a new business model and if they don't find one will face extinction.
If anything Zillow, and Trulia have been the final nail in the coffin of the lead aggregation companies by setting the expection with the consumer information should be freely available, not behind a form.