Special offer

Analysts Tell Us, Historically, Housing Downturns Average 27 Months...

By
Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage

Analysts' information I received from one of my very best informed lenders, Greg Johnson, say we are in the 25th month of the housing downturn, and historically they last 27 months. We may be near the end. He says, although there has been a significant decline in sales volume, home prices are showing some appreciation, although small. To all of my fellow realtors, I encourage you to hang in there. Cycles happen in all walks of life. When we break through this frenzy, we'll be in a stronger position because houses will once again be more affordable and we will have learned so much from this experience. I know I counted too much on the next dollar I would earn and not enough on what I had already had. Looking back, my clients made so much money on their investments that my partner and I found for them...those that I could have purchased and I didn't. I just kept thinking...next time. Well, hallelujah, I have learned my lesson. I'm not going to wait. With my next closing, I will start putting those investment dollars to work. I love hindsight...often it's the only time we learn. Anyway...stay optomistic, fellow realtors, it's just a cycle.

Martinelli Caputi
Martinelli Caputi & Associates, Ltd. - Warwick, RI
& Associates, Ltd.
Great post Sandy!  I hope we hit the average downturn right on the head!   :)
Nov 06, 2007 04:56 AM
Kelle Sparta
Sparta Success Systems - Somerville, MA
Real Estate Trainer and Coach
I totally understand this concept.  I lived through the 1993 bottom of the market and I've been chomping at the bit to get into the investment angle again as I see the pattern repeating itself.  I still kick myself over the places I didn't buy back then.  So I'm out looking now to see what I can get for myself.  See- I knew there would be an advantage to getting older!
Nov 06, 2007 04:59 AM
Jason Smith
DreamDirt Auction - Mondamin, IA
Hindsight is a great teachers and I agree with you Sandy, a place to learn some great lessons that will serve you well next time you see this and there will be a next time.
Nov 06, 2007 05:02 AM
Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services
We needed a correction in the market.  The problem is those funky loans -- that was another element and it has literally left people homeless.  That is not just a cycle~ Unfortunatley, the government has been slow to respond.  I hope that something will be done soon.
Nov 06, 2007 05:16 AM
Tom Plant
WINEormous.com - Murrieta, CA
Sandy - This is great. A positive attitude can go a long way in turning this thing around. Keep sharing the good news!
Nov 10, 2007 01:14 AM