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Taking Inventory

By
Managing Real Estate Broker with Riley Jackson Real Estate Inc.

 Our MLS furnishes informative housing market statistics that reveal, among other things, the average sales price of homes, the average amount of time listings stay on the market and the sales price versus list price ratios.

All are very important statistics to know, but another important statistic to keep handy is the amount of housing inventory versus current demand. This is a good indicator whether it's a buyer's market or a seller's market.

This is the formula I use to calculate inventory versus demand:

 1. Perform an MLS search for all current active residential listings in your county, and record the number.

2. Perform an MLS search for all sold residential listings in the past 12 months, and record that number.

3. Divide the number of sold listings in the past 12 months by 12 to get a monthly average.

4. Divide the number of the first search for total active listings by the average monthly number of sold listings.

5. This final number is the amount of months it would take to sell current inventory at the current demand.

Example:

I gauge that any number over 4 months denotes a buyer's market, but I know of other colleagues who deem anything over three months as an indication of a buyer's market.

 

Sandy Nelson
Realtor for Olympia Area Real Estate
www.sandynelsonrealestate.com

 

Lynda Eisenmann
Preferred Home Brokers - Brea, CA
Broker Associate ,CRS,GRI,SRES, Brea,CA, Orange Co

Sandy,

Boy, are you right on this one. "Knowing your numbers" is something I stress among the agents in my own office. It's crucial, it's also a way for a newbie to stand out among seasoned veterans.

Well done.

Nov 10, 2007 12:23 PM
David Spencer
Keller Williams Northland - Kansas City, MO
Show Me real estate in Kansas City
Given the current market, it would be better to also include sales in the past 6 months in order to weight the activity to the current market.
Nov 10, 2007 12:44 PM
Rolo Cuadrado
Colorado Mountain College - Frisco, CO
Handy formulas and good info. Thanks for the reminder to stay up on this stuff.
Nov 10, 2007 12:53 PM
Sandy Nelson
Riley Jackson Real Estate Inc. - Olympia, WA
your Olympia area Realtor

Lynda, You're right, knowing the current statistics helps new agents to prove their market expertise.

David, I agree, in a changing market one can just use the past six month's statistics to reflect a more current state of the market.

Rolando, I do this once a month and it takes only 10 minutes.

Sandy

Nov 10, 2007 01:00 PM
Larry Wright
nwRealty.Com - Tacoma, WA
I guess I'm closer to David's formula ... instead of 6 months I only look 4 months back, searching the "off market date" to include pending sales.  When the market is hot I'll reduce that to 2 or 3 months.
Nov 11, 2007 05:46 AM
Sandy Nelson
Riley Jackson Real Estate Inc. - Olympia, WA
your Olympia area Realtor

Larry, it's definitely smart to adjust the time frame for which you take inventory to the market conditions. The formula can also be adjusted to only take into account certain neighborhoods and communities, rather than the entire county.

Sandy

Nov 11, 2007 07:11 AM
Gary White~Grand Rapids Home Selling Pro Call: 616-821-9375
Flexit Realty "Flexible Home Selling Solutions" - Grand Rapids, MI
Real Estate Services You can Trust!
Hi Sandy, this is a great way to keep sellers and buyers up to date on the market and the trends.  Nice Post.
Nov 11, 2007 10:00 AM
Jo Olson
HOMEFRONT Realty - Kettle Falls, WA
Retired - HOMEFRONT Realty @ LAKE Roosevelt
Sandy, I like this approach very nice! I agree about the 4 months :)
Nov 11, 2007 12:16 PM
Sandy Nelson
Riley Jackson Real Estate Inc. - Olympia, WA
your Olympia area Realtor

Gary, I find that my clients like to be informed about home inventory.

Jo, thanks for your nice comments.

Sandy

Nov 11, 2007 12:35 PM