Our MLS furnishes informative housing market statistics that reveal, among other things, the average sales price of homes, the average amount of time listings stay on the market and the sales price versus list price ratios.

All are very important statistics to know, but another important statistic to keep handy is the amount of housing inventory versus current demand. This is a good indicator whether it's a buyer's market or a seller's market.

This is the formula I use to calculate inventory versus demand:

 1. Perform an MLS search for all current active residential listings in your county, and record the number.

2. Perform an MLS search for all sold residential listings in the past 12 months, and record that number.

3. Divide the number of sold listings in the past 12 months by 12 to get a monthly average.

4. Divide the number of the first search for total active listings by the average monthly number of sold listings.

5. This final number is the amount of months it would take to sell current inventory at the current demand.

Example:

I gauge that any number over 4 months denotes a buyer's market, but I know of other colleagues who deem anything over three months as an indication of a buyer's market.

 

Sandy Nelson
Realtor for Olympia Area Real Estate
www.sandynelsonrealestate.com

 

 

9 Comments on Taking Inventory

NOV
10
2007
298,697 Points 12 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Sandy,

Boy, are you right on this one. "Knowing your numbers" is something I stress among the agents in my own office. It's crucial, it's also a way for a newbie to stand out among seasoned veterans.

Well done.

8:23pm • #1
245,807 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Given the current market, it would be better to also include sales in the past 6 months in order to weight the activity to the current market.
8:44pm • #2
Handy formulas and good info. Thanks for the reminder to stay up on this stuff.
8:53pm • #3
1 Featured Post

Lynda, You're right, knowing the current statistics helps new agents to prove their market expertise.

David, I agree, in a changing market one can just use the past six month's statistics to reflect a more current state of the market.

Rolando, I do this once a month and it takes only 10 minutes.

Sandy

9:00pm • #4
NOV
11
2007
I guess I'm closer to David's formula ... instead of 6 months I only look 4 months back, searching the "off market date" to include pending sales.  When the market is hot I'll reduce that to 2 or 3 months.
1:46pm • #5
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Larry, it's definitely smart to adjust the time frame for which you take inventory to the market conditions. The formula can also be adjusted to only take into account certain neighborhoods and communities, rather than the entire county.

Sandy

3:11pm • #6
566,030 Points 47 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Hi Sandy, this is a great way to keep sellers and buyers up to date on the market and the trends.  Nice Post.
6:00pm • #7
237,114 Points 11 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router
Sandy, I like this approach very nice! I agree about the 4 months :)
8:16pm • #8
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Gary, I find that my clients like to be informed about home inventory.

Jo, thanks for your nice comments.

Sandy

8:35pm • #9

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Sandy Nelson Realtor® Olympia Real Estate

Olympia, WA

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Riley Jackson Real Estate Inc.

Address: 1910 Black Lake Blvd. SW, Olympia, WA, 98512

Office Phone: (360) 789-7505

Cell Phone: (360) 789-7505

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