horse stampedeIf there's one question REALTORS are getting asked more than usual these days, it would be, "Do you think the market is going to continue to decline (or tank as some people put it). 

The level of anxiety in their face is in direct correlation with which way they want the marekt to go.  Buyer's look hopeful that it will continue to fall, and of course, seller's are freaking out that it will.

Not to worry, not to worry.  If you are selling your house and you are going to be buying again, the percentages are in your favor that you will be purchasing a home in a depressed market and getting your new home at a reduced cost.  If you have to get a higher price than the market will bear because you purchased within the last two years and owe more than your home is currently worth, you need to pull it off the market and hang in there if at all possible. Why?

Buyer's are convinced the market is going to continue to decline.  Picture a corral filling up with buyers.  The corral is getting more and more buyers in it everyday because they are all waiting, waiting until the market hits bottom.  They are asking every REALTOR they know to look into that crystal ball we all carry in our pocket and let them know when it's going to hit bottom. 

Well buyers, a buyer in my market purchased a brand new, never lived in, freshly painted, with new everything, home last month for $265,000.  That's a screaming deal in my book and probably any other agents as well.  Bernanke is hinting that another rate cut may be needed to spur on the economy and seller's are freaking out and taking low offers.  My markets list price/sale price ratio of 80.75% for October means seller's are taking hefty price reductions in order to get out of their home. 

What does it all mean?  I would venture to say that after the first of the year, buyer's are going to get tired of being crammed into that corral together and will break free of their need to find the bottom, or, be convinced it's here--with the bonus of an interest rate reduction--and they will WRITE OFFERS.  The warier buyers still sitting in the corral will see that the home they were going to write an offer on when the price finally got reduced to $xx dollars is now gone!  They will jump in before, "All the good ones are gone," and prices will start to go back up. 

If you have identified the home that will meet your needs and make you happy, but you are waiting for the market to hit bottom, you may want to rethink your "waiting it out" philosophy.  In my market, NOW IS A GREAT TIME TO BE A BUYER.

Del Norte County...The Other California
Copyright © 2007 Fran Gatti/Crescent City/Del Norte County...The Other California | All Rights Reserved

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 Fran Gatti Del Norte County Real Estate Agent

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14 Comments on Now Is a Great Time To Be a Buyer! Why...

DEC
01
2007
I agree.
12:43pm • #1

That is what I've been trying to get across!  I devote a large amount of my time educating potential buyers on alot of the same information as you've written about.  I wish you the best of luck with your buyers out your way!

12:45pm • #2
  Now is a great time to be a buyer- especially income property with a positive cash flow, my niche!!
12:46pm • #3
425,584 Points 36 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Fran,

I think your depiction is accurate, and I like your analogy...My take is similar:

Corral= Pent up demand!

Crystal Ball= Mine sold for about a buck and a half at a yard sale and is being used as a paper weight!

Return of stable market= Priceless!

Thanks,   Fran

12:59pm • #4

We need to remember that buyers can be sellers too. Helping people out from their upside down properties and into the home they can obtain now is a niche to be explored, especially in CA.

Here in Pinehurst, NC things have slowed but are still moving.

 Good luck out there on the left coast.

1:04pm • #5
Optimism Fran, thats what we need, more optimism.  Timing the market is frowned upon in stock investing, it is even more foolhardy in real estate investing.  Keep pluggin!
1:06pm • #6
Fran, Beautiful photo of the horses.  Yes, interest rates are SO low that buyers really ought to take advantage of the low rates.  They have to live somewhere.
1:10pm • #7
2 Featured Posts

Fran,

 I have been approached with the same question many times and wrote a blog on it to help educate consumers. Keep up the good work

http://activerain.com/blogsview/289302/Homes-for-sale-in

1:17pm • #8
DEC
02
2007
173,845 Points 17 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Matt - Thank you.

Heather - Thank you for your kind thoughts. 

Karen Ann - Truer words were never spoken.

Fran - Pent up is right.  The flood gates will open however.

Don - Thank you and best of luck to you as well.

William - I'm doing my best at optimism.  It's not my strong suit, but I'm getting better.

Aggie - Interest rates are looking so good that my husband and I are thinking of imbibing.

Jorge - Thank you very much.  You too!

 

12:30am • #9
DEC
03
2007
388,384 Points 28 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

You're right, of course, Fran. Buyers are in the corral -- many are sitting on the fence and will probably fall off. I can't count the number of times I am asked to look into my crystal ball. An associate in my office was telling me about going to a party the other day where a bunch of buyers were talking about the real estate market. One of them mentioned waiting until the market bottomed out. He tapped this individual's shoulder and asked, "Hey, what do you know that I don't? I'm a real estate agent, and I don't know when it's going to bottom."

A writer for Vitek said it succinctly this weekend. When a ball hits the ground it bounces back up. And when the market turns, the ball will already be in the air.


9:51am • #10
173,845 Points 17 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Elizabeth - I like your associates response and may use it in the future.  If a buyer finds a home they like that will meet their needs, my response to them is buy it, or at least try.
11:26am • #11
5 Featured Posts

Hey Fran, pent up demand is going to be the new phrase we will be using after the first of the year...WIth prices dropping. maybe the lenders will have learned a lesson and keep things fairly straight for a while!!

Lets hope......very nice post

11:31am • #12
5 Featured Posts
I did'nt mean to finish yet...In our area, we have less than 2% of the listed homes selling every month.. that means, not counting New Home Sales, there is over 75% of the homes not selling annually, or when you take into accoun the amount of homes entering the market every month, it actually means 90% of the homes are not selling.....These are facts....homes not selling = buyers not buying.......Pent up demand is gonna create its own issues I'm afraid!!!!!!!!!!!
11:35am • #13
DEC
04
2007
173,845 Points 17 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Mike,

I think the dam is going to burst after the 1st of the year.  Keep me posted on the pent up demand in your market.

12:06am • #14

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Fran Gatti - Realtor®, RDCPro®, Crescent City CA Real Estate

Crescent City, CA

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Fran is the Crescent City/Del Norte County Real Estate Connection. Check out Fran's monthly market reports for insight into how the economy is affecting Crescent City/Del Norte County real estate and be sure to click on the link to REO's and Short Sales for some really good deals! Fran is #1 buyers agent in Del Norte County for number of homes sold in 2007 & 2008 and currently has sold more listings for 2009 than any other agent in her market. Put her expertise and enthusiasm to work for you.


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