OK. So I know that this market is causing many homeowners to suffer. However, I just read a comment by Clark Howard, a "Consumer Advocate" reporter in Atlanta, where he tells buyers to "wait a little longer" to buy a home. I had to look it up for myself after hearing several Real Estate Agents discussing Clark Howard's Real Estate advice lately.  I understand his perspective, but I am concerned about the constant barrage of negative information buyers are receiving these days. I recently read another Active Rain member's blog where they said "without buyers, there is no market." How true is that! The market is only going to get worse if buyers continue to be too afraid to buy.

Being married to a Math Teacher / Real Estate Agent, I am privileged to get a different perspective on the market. Chris tends to see things in numbers. He is constantly running numbers in his head! Recently, he was figuring percentages on how much sellers are actually losing in each price level and realized an undeniable fact. If your family wants or needs to upgrade to a bigger home, this is the perfect market to do so! Yes, it may take longer to sell your current home, and you may lose a percentage of the value you once had. But - the sellers in the next price level are losing that same percentage, and since their house is more expensive, the amount they lose is greater than the amount you lose - which means, you will actually gain. Let me break it down for you: If you sold your home that was valued at $150K last year, and home prices are down %3 in your area this year, then you would have lost $4,500. If you then buy a home that was valued at $250K last year, and prices are also down in that area %3, that seller would have lost $7,500, which means you gain $3,000. Let's look at the opposite scenario: if prices had increased by %3, to upgrade to that same house will cost you an additional $7,500. So you would actually spend $15,000 more to buy that same house in a "good market" than in today's market. (It would be valued at $257,500, instead of $242,500 as it is now.) So you actually get a better deal in today's market! Then, when the market turns, as is inevitably will, you will gain almost instant equity becuase the value will rise above the price you just paid. Of course, this scenario is theoretical, but the numbers don't lie. Any percentage reduction of a larger home means a bigger loss than that same percentage reduction of a smaller home.

Now, I know this is not going to benefit everyone. But it will benefit those who fit into this category. And if some buyers step out and start buying again, more will follow and the market will turn. We just wanted to shed some positive light on an otherwise seemingly dark situation. No market is ever going to be ideal for everybody. But if you learn how to make the most out of every market, success will follow in any market.

Best of luck to all!

Dianne Dunn

 

4 Comments on A Math Teacher's Take on Today's Market

It would be great if buyers would only think so logically but it seems that emotions and a fear of buying and then have values drop further is just fueling this fear.  Homes are not short term investments but somehow people have come to view them as such.

12/04/2007 10:03 PM by Rick Fifer (FLORIDA EXECUTIVE REALTY)


Hello Diane Dunn! I spend so much time teaching people about numbers - check my blog for recent posts - and disputing, with hard facts, Clark Howard's uneducated, inexperienced and fear driven drivel some people accept as reliable advice that I barely have time to work. I just can't wait until February when he is the guest speaker for the Cobb Chamber's monthly breakfast. You should have heard the grumbles when that was announced! By the way, I'm a top performing direct lender and grew up in Acworth - I KNOW your market.

12/04/2007 10:11 PM by Novation Mortgage


Dianne, GREAT post!  Finally someone who thinks like I do!  I have given the same scenario to several Buyers who are on the fence and it is SO refreshing when the light bulb clicks on and they say, "OH, Yeah!"  With interest rates being so low, right now is absolutely the time to BUY, BUY, BUY!

Debe in Charlotte, NC

12/04/2007 10:26 PM by Debe Maxwell (Helen Adams Realty)


Hey Dianne...neat running into you in the rain! I'm a newbie, and have been finding my way around ok so far, with a lot of help. Thanks for your post! I wish more consumers would take the time/effort to understand the numbers behind real estate transactions, and maybe we wouldn't be running into some of the issues we are facing today. I do agree with you; this is a GREAT market for those willing to put forth the effort to make it so. There are challenges, but it's up to the individual in determining how they choose to respond to those challenges. Come visit me in the rain! Bo 

 

03/02/2008 10:28 PM by Bo Hunt, metro-Atlanta Mortgage Professional (First Choice Mortgage Group)


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