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Todays headline!  No it wasn't in the Washington Post or NY Times.  For the most part 2007 would be considered a good year for buyers in many major markets in the US.

This is the headline in today's London newspaper.  The reason?  Housing pricing have risen 34% since 2002.  As a result first time buyers are not able to afford the homes that they could before.   Average prices in London rose 15% in 2007.  These headlines come at the same time that the Bank of England has lowered interest rates to try and increase the buying power for buyers.  

Does this sound familiar?  To anyone in the Northern Virginia area it could mirror the appreciation rates we had between 2001-2005.  The concern for many in London is that they could follow the same pattern as the US.  Today I spent a good deal of time talking to a group of young home buyers in the UK about their market and asking for their thoughts on the US market housing market.  It is interesting to see how savvy these folks are about world markets and economies.  They opinions varied but the concerns were the same.  If they didn't already own a home they didn't see themselves buying one while the market continued to rise. 

In London a single or couple looking to buy their first home are most likely to buy a "flat" somewhere close to an tube station.  Most of them are looking at flats are less than 800 square feet which will run close to 225,000 pounds.  Only one in four buyers area able to buy a terraced home and only one in eight a semi-detached.  In order to buy a home they need to have a deposit of close to 60,000 pounds in the bank which they can use to get an off-set mortgage.  My daughter and her husband decided after two years living in London that they only way they could afford to buy was to leave the city.  They are now 2 hours outside of the city, fortunately they do not have to commute to the city to work but it does show how far families have to go to find "affordable" housing.

This is much the same as Northern Virginia when prices close in became to high families headed towards Stafford and Loudoun County to buy more affordable housing.  The trade off for many of those families is the 1.5-2 hour commute to DC to work.  The biggest difference between the younger set in London and the same age clients I have in Northern Virginia is the expectation of the size of their homes.  Here everyone is quite happy to find a flat with less than 1000 square feet and find that they have plenty of room.  Families live comfortably in much smaller houses than most people in our area would even consider.  The idea of a "McMansion" to them is just "crazy".

For now the rental market is booming and buyers are having to wait out the boom to see if there will be a slow down.  So just a little news from across the pond to break up the usual Northern Virginia market reports.

Blogging from the UK:

A Tale of Christmas

 

 

                No Hassle-No Pressure-Just Straight Talk About The Northern Virginia Real Estate Market

If you are interested in learning more about the Northern Virginia Real Estate market including Alexandria, Arlington, Fairfax and Prince William Counties give Cindy Jones and CJ Realty Group, Inc a call at 703-346-2213. 

Military Relocation Specialist serving military families relocating to and from the Pentagon, Fort Belvoir, Quantico MCB and all of the Military District of Washington installations. 


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10 Comments on 2007 "The Worst Year" for First Time Buyers

DEC
21
2007

I was stationed in Germany and the lifestyle of Europe is way diffrent than here in America, The basement part of the house I was renting belonged to the owners that lived in the middle or street level and they rented the top part to another American soldier. That was the only way they could afford to buy a house in Germany. Funny how prices and needs are diffrent.

 

5:25pm • #1
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I was in London a few years ago, and stayed with a friend in the almost burbs (tube in to town).  I looked at real estate when I was there and was amazed at the prices... and that was before the big increases.  But then I had talked to another friend in NYC, and the London prices weren't looking that bad any more. 

If I was going to live in a city without a car, that would probably be the one.  Plenty of transport, and a lot of slender women in short skirts...

;^ ) 

5:58pm • #2
DEC
22
2007
1,155,677 Points 116 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master
Jeff-When I lived in Germany we had a great "modern" apartment.  It was probably 900 square feet with all kinds of great energy efficiencies.  And this was 1980!  Americans need way more space than almost any other culture.
8:49am • #3
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Lane-Tich, tich! London is a great city for things to do and pubs to enjoy.  Housing prices are insane but what they care about in the way of space is far less than what we do.
8:50am • #4
217,962 Points 13 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Thanks for sharing, it is interesting to hear what is going on in the rest of the world and how it differs from what is going on here!
5:04pm • #5
187,660 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Cindy,

This was true for me last year until this past monnth when I got an early Christmas present.... 3 new first timers....YIPPEE, maybe the wait is over.

Have a great holiday

5:27pm • #6
DEC
23
2007
4 Featured Posts
That is very interesting. I remember our boom years and one contract in particular, a house in Oakton. We competed with 8 other contracts. What are some of the driving factors behind their boom? In your opinion is it just interest rate driven? Do you think they are headed down the same path we went?
3:04pm • #7
DEC
24
2007
1,155,677 Points 116 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master
Craig-in 2004 I had one weekend where I received 17 contracts on a tear down in Annandale and 12 on a nice two level rambler in Springfield.  It was mind boggling.  I'm glad for a more reasonable market.  The problem here is lack of real estate to buy.  Unlike Northern Virginia where there is still plenty of land to build on London has no where else to expand to.  As a result there are fewer houses available to buy.  Add lower interest rates and you have a boom for sellers.  They have concerns about going the same way as the US market but it won't be fueled by sub-prime mortgages as they don't exist!
3:36am • #8
1,155,677 Points 116 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master
Dan-congratulations on new buyers!  Hopefully you will have three new very happy homeowners in the near future.
3:38am • #9
1,155,677 Points 116 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master
Michael-Thanks for stopping by.  Having lived myself on three continents I've found some interesting differences in housing.  I'm going to write another global perspective blog when I get back about one of those differences.
3:40am • #10

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