Associated Press put the story out yesterday.  Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's, made the statement that the nationwide housing market is "in a free fall".

Zandi pointed to the fact that new home sales are at a twelve-year record low.  The downturn in national new home sales from October to November was nine per cent.  Leading the nation in new home price declines was the Midwest, with a one month drop in sales of over 27%. 

The only exception to the gloomy November statistics was in the West, where new home sales rose by four per cent.

Then Zandi used the "C-word" to describe what's going on.  He stated "I think you can classify what we are seeing in the housing market as a crash".  

Do you buy this or not?  

 

7 Comments on Moody's Chief Economist Says Housing Market is Crashing: What's Your Opinion?

I still think the answer depends on where you are ......I think the economic factors of an area are your answer....our market is stable......some are growing .......some are having their own version of a slump......real estate is local.......economic predictions that they are overwise doesnt work....

12/30/2007 10:27 AM by Julie Chapman Realty Homes Brunswick Georgia


Lets all agree that real estate is a local market.. sometimes from neighborhood to neighborhood in a city.  The media has harped enough on the "crashing" aspect of the housing market and I think the media has added to the buyers not buying, creating more of a crashing aspect.  Fueling the fires so to speak.

12/30/2007 10:31 AM by Gail Tassey (Keller Williams Realty)


Eric, it all depends on what part of the country you are in.  Too many people are taking averages from around the nation and making pronouncements that do not fit the vast majority of local markets.  I think this is going to give real estate professionals an opportunity to be of real service to buyers and sellers at the local level - and even in a given area, there are differences among specific neighborhoods.

12/30/2007 10:40 AM by Patricia Kennedy (Evers & Company)


Julie -- Well the western part of the United States seems to be in better shape, at least as far as new home sales are concerned.  I agree that real estate is local, but it is these national reports and trends that will shape political and economic policy in the months and years to come.

Gail -- Moody's is a pretty credible and powerful source.  Is this merely a media problem or is it a national perception that comes from the financial sector?

Pat -- I was surprised to see the Midwest at the bottom of the pack in new home sales.  We haven't experienced the overbuilding and huge speculation in second homes that you see in Florida or Arizona. 

Again, I agree with the statement that real estate is local.  But I'm troubled to see the financial sector stepping in and pronouncing the patient dead on arrival here.  This isn't mere media hype.  The opinion of Moody's Chief Economist carries a lot of weight.  But on the other hand, I don't care for his use of the word "crash".

12/30/2007 10:47 AM by Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Luxury Homes


I think he is an idiot. At best you can say that certain areas of the country have major issues. But freefall...that is just stupid.

12/30/2007 10:53 AM by Team DiMuria, Katy Texas Realtors (Prudential Gary Greene Realtors)


Jeff & Mona -- Yes, it was pretty blunt and damaging for Zandi to use the terms "free fall" or "crash".  Those comments strike me as sensationalism that is designed to grab headlines.

12/30/2007 10:56 AM by Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Luxury Homes


Economics and common sense. Numbers tell the story but savvy business persons will prevail in any market and any industry.

01/04/2008 03:56 AM by Ryan Trask (3plains LLC)


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Real Estate Brokerage: Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Luxury Homes
Eric Kodner, Lake Minnetonka Homes & Madeline Island Real Estate
Minnetonka, MN
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