As we turn the page on a year many real estate professionals would prefer to forget, let's remember the lessons we learned in 2007 and carry them forward into 2008.

Goodbye Retail, Hello Barter

Sellers who thought they could slap a price on their property and wait for a buyer to meet that price got a rude awakening in 2007. In 2008, the listing price is a starting point for negotiation. Sellers need to be prepared for offers below their price. Selling agents can overcome the fear of short term depreciation by offering to write offers below listing price. This will actually help generate more sales.

Goodbye White Knight, Hello Negotiator

Listing agents need to be prepared to present offers below the listing price. All offers should at least be countered, even if the counter is at full listing price. Agents who arrogantly dismissed offers on behalf of their clients were part of the problem. In 2008, be part of the solution by working to facilitate negotiation between sellers and buyers. The low number of transactions in 2007 indicates a fundamental failure of the market to negotiate with the objective of closing deals.

Goodbye Lottery Ticket Listings, Hello Motivated Sellers

Listing agents need to stop outbidding other agents for listings and then hoping for the best. Overpriced listings are a waste of an agent's valuable time and marketing dollars. If the seller is serious, the listing price should be set with the objective of getting one or more offers within thirty days. The days of treating listings as lottery tickets are over because those agents will go broke in this market.

Goodbye Referral Only, Hello Farming

Brokers and agents have long dreamed of working by referral only, but the lower number of transactions has exposed how dangerous that model can be. Real estate professionals who want to succeed in 2008 need to get back into farming to increase their potential for transactions. If you don't know where to start, talk to your title rep. Title companies don't make money unless you close escrow, so they have a vested interest in helping you generate leads and successfully complete transactions.

Goodbye Listings Only, Hello Selling Side Commission Checks

Working listings only was a viable business model during the boom when there were plenty of listings and they closed relatively quickly. In 2007, listings cost more to market, took longer to close, and were harder to get despite record inventory. Brokers and agents can't afford to turn their back on 50% of the commissions in 2008. They need to be willing to work with buyers. Those who are concerned about wasting time should get back to basics by having buyer prospects prequalify and sign a Buyer Representation Agreement. Someone will get those buy side commission checks, usually for a full 3% of the sale price. Why not you?

Goodbye Expenses, Hello Value

The boom years created a culture of expensive industry events at hotel meeting rooms and upscale restaurants. Often these events were more social gatherings than business development meetings. The key to survival in 2008 will be eliminating needless expenses and focusing on opportunities to get information that generates business. Industry groups need to adapt if they want to remain relevant in 2008.

All signs point to 2008 being a challenging year for the real estate industry. Many good people have already been pushed out of the industry, including brokers, agents, title reps, stagers, inspectors, and assistants. We may lose more good people in 2008, not just the "order takers" and "rain catchers", but the experienced professionals who fell into bad habits during the boom years and failed to learn the lessons of 2007.

Goodbye Complacency, Hello Persistence

If we pull together and work hard, we can make 2008 a better year!

Frank Jewett
 

12 Comments on Industry: Goodbye 2007, Hello 2008

JAN
01
2008
101,742 Points
This one will be much better, Have a great and prosperous year Frank!

If you ever need anything in coastal North Carolina make sure to let me know!

11:28pm • #1
275,630 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Frank, basically what we have to do is to be competitive as agents, and help our clients be competitive as sellers!
11:34pm • #2
213,891 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Good bye referral - Hello Farming - You nailed it with that one.  We need to go back to basics of getting business in real estate. A lender from Countrywide Loans who I believe is going to be the key to not my success in Real Estate in 2008 but beyond had a hour and a half talk with me giving me some good information. Like he said,we need to farm like our lives depended on it. Farm like a politician is trying to get people to vote him. And we need to do more cold calling and stop spending money on advertising/marketing if you are making less than $200,000 in commission every year. Great post.
11:43pm • #3
343,704 Points Outside Blog
All good stuff. Thanks for posting this - well done. All the best for a good 2008.
11:59pm • #4
JAN
02
2008
199,167 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router
Good bye doing nothing ~ hello working on the basics.  Great post as usual.  Bookmarked for later reminder.
5:29am • #5
Great Post!
6:04am • #6
109,021 Points 11 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Frank, Your post has something for everybody.

However, I would take exception with your assertion that listers need to become selling agents. When I sold retail real estate I was a lister. I went through several cycles like this in my 32 years in the business. Listers can make it in any type of market if they are good at what they do. Listing is an artform. Taking over-priced listings is not a service to anybody, but properly priced listings sell in any type of market.

When a market changes from being a seller's market to being a buyer's market, the transistion is difficult and as a consequence sales slow down. But historically (in California at least) 20% of all homes change hands each year. There is no reason to suspect that this won't continue to be true.

Here's to a very good 2008 for all of us.

Bill Roberts

10:56am • #7
1 Featured Post

Bill, I appreciate what you are saying.  I need to run some numbers so that I can expand on the impact of working with buyers during 2007.

Thanks to everyone who responded.  I wish you all the best in 2008!

Frank Jewett

12:30pm • #8
1 Featured Post
Great points Frank! Especially the negotiator!  I have seen too many agents blow off offers because they thought they were too low.  That was last spring and those homes are still on the market.  Now, how is that really working for your sellers?
12:45pm • #9
1 Featured Post

Jen, I think some agents overcommit to get the listing.  After promising that their "marketing expertise" will bring in full price offers, their ego is threatened by offers below the listing price.  They are afraid their client will see a lowball offer as a failure on the part of the listing agent to demonstrate the value of the property.

Thanks!

Frank Jewett

4:59pm • #10
1 Featured Post

Bill, I checked and the top lister in our area actually increased the number of closed transactions by 40% (100 to 140) in 2007 while working with fewer buyers, so what you are saying is reasonable.  Unfortunately most brokers and agents in Santa Clara County closed less than five transactions in 2007.  They could have used a few more commission checks from representing buyers.  At that level of activity, they had free time.

Thanks!

Frank Jewett

5:36pm • #11
JAN
03
2008
146,287 Points 2 Featured Posts
I, too, can relate to the "Goodbye Referral Only". That was probably the toughest lesson for me to learn in 2007.  Thanks for the post, Frank.
2:31pm • #12

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Frank Jewett

San Jose, CA

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