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Just What We Need - Increasing Competition For Our Home Buyers

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Industry Observer with Retired

Just What We Need - Increasing Competition For Our Home Buyers

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Naturally it depends on what side of Real Estate you are on as to whose Ox may be getting gored but for residential resale homes, the rental market is in greater demand for those that could and likely should be becoming home owners and not tenants.

I guess in many ways this is no surprise to anyone since the administrations own White Paper shifted emphasis from Buying to Investment/Tenant transactions. And with all the cash that has been accumulated, little wonder that a larger share of real estate buyers have shifted from future home owners to the investors.

Economists predict that the rental markets are getting so hot, rents are being driven up dramatically at the expense of home sales with dropping inventory. 

I see a time in the not to distant future when rents will have risen so high, that the displacement of those that really need to be renters can't afford the rent. This may sound great for investors and I am sure it is. But if the average working people  are suffering from too few jobs and now with increasing rents, we are setting our selves up for a another real estate and housing nightmare down the road- and not that far down the road, by the way.

Instead of home values increasing the average of 3 to 5 percent a year, it is the rents increasing by that much in many areas. The national home ownership rate is now at 65.4 % and dropping. The home ownership rate  hasn't been that low since 1997. Are the trends actually changing to accommodate the new economy. It would seem so. The home ownership rate for the younger buyers in the under 35 years old bracket is the lowest its been in 17 years. Most of the college graduates in that age bracket are still paying off years worth of tuition debt. 

We need a balance and it appears to me that balance is alluding us and with mortgage writing and qualifications more complex than ever, balance between home ownership and renting is being skewed in favor of the latter. 

So much for the American Dream of Home Ownership. "The times, They are a Changing".

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Comments(56)

Teri Eckholm
Boardman Realty - White Bear Lake, MN
REALTOR Serving Mpls/St Paul North & East Metro

William--Fortunately for us, we are not experiencing a drastic uptick on rents yet...it seems the extremes are saved for the coasts. Rents are up so young people are attempting to buy starter homes with some success but in many cases multiple offers. We do have some affordable, liveable properties in outlying communities but balance across the country still is necessary.

May 19, 2012 12:16 PM
Gene Riemenschneider
Home Point Real Estate - Brentwood, CA
Turning Houses into Homes

I work with a lot of investors.  It is a shame that many people are being shut out when it is a good time to buy, but investors are only doing what investors do - following the profits.

May 19, 2012 03:18 PM
DeeDee Riley
Lyon Real Estate - El Dorado Hills CA - El Dorado Hills, CA
Realtor - El Dorado Hills & the Surrounding Areas

William,

This has been great discussion here and I agree with so many.  It is ironic how many thought their mortgages were too high and now rents are bad.  When they can finally buy again housing prices will be higher as well.  It's like hitting red light after red light. 

By the way, just saw the article featuring you in my Realtor Magazine.  Congratulations!!!!  Well done!

May 19, 2012 04:59 PM
Bob Miller
Keller Williams Cornerstone Realty - Ocala, FL
The Ocala Dream Team

Hi William, thoughtful post.  With all the problems our capital system has, I believe it still has great ability to balance itself out eventually.

May 19, 2012 11:18 PM
Joy Carter & Jeff Booker Brother and Sister Team
Keller Williams Parkland/Coral Springs Realty-GreatFloridaHomes Team - Coral Springs, FL
Trust Your Family's Move To Our Expertise!

We are doing well with our Investor purchases, but are pained for our Home Buyers as the choices are thin and these Buyers are often beat out by the Cash Buying Investor.

We have noticed a lack of rentals in the last 90 days in our area.  Joy

May 20, 2012 12:01 AM
Debbie Walsh
SHAHAR Management - Middletown, NY
Hudson Valley NY Real Estate 845.283-3036

William congrats on the feature.  Here we are seeing a big increase in rents as well and it is making it increasingly harder for people who are losing their homes to foreclosures to find affordable rentals. 

May 20, 2012 02:05 AM
Bob Crane
Woodland Management Service / Woodland Real Estate, KW Diversified - Stevens Point, WI
Forestland Experts! 715-204-9671

William, I dont think that we have that much to worry about.  Many of the larger investor groups are building apartment buildings as fast as they can which will keep overall rents down in the single family rental homes. As this supply of new rental properties comes on the market it will likely drive rents down in other areas such as single family homes, then smaller investors who own single family homes will start to put many of these back on the market in time for homebuyers to start purchasing again as their credit improves.

May 20, 2012 12:28 PM
Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services

William ~  I think that you raise some valid points.  It is a bit too soon to know how things will go... and yes, some will do better than others.. I hope that there is some balance at the end of the day.

May 20, 2012 01:13 PM
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

William,  We have so few rentals available here, it is uncanny!  It has become cheaper for people to buy than to rent now.  I never thought I'd see this turn of events again but, it does make you feel sorry for those who need the cheap rent to even have a place to live.

May 20, 2012 01:59 PM
Irene Durocher
Coldwell Banker BUYERS AGENT - Boca Raton, FL
homesweethome4u@att.net

Hi William, we have the same problem in Boca Raton, Florida area. Rents are going so high

people are going else where to find something less expensive. We do a lot of seasonal rentals

for snowbirds, which causes a dilemma also, since most Homeowners Associations allow

only one rental per year, and since they come January to April or May it creates a problem. They do pay more for a shorter time, so the landlord is happy.

May 21, 2012 09:32 PM
Debb Janes
Nature As Neighbors - Camas, WA
Put My Love of Nature At Work for You

Willliam, well written post and thought provoking - I've enjoyed reading the discussion. I'm also here to wish you a belated Happy Birthday. ( at least I think it's belated...Sunday?)  At any rate, I hope it was a fabulous celebration.

May 22, 2012 02:51 AM
Ron and Alexandra Seigel
Napa Consultants - Carpinteria, CA
Luxury Real Estate Branding, Marketing & Strategy

William,

So glad this post was featured, it deserved it.  HAPPY BIRTHDAY,  A

May 22, 2012 04:44 AM
Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

Good morning, William.  I am watching for your special Memorial Day post.

I always enjoy your photographs.

May 22, 2012 08:54 PM
Bill Gassett
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Hopkinton, MA
Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate

William historically when rental rates get out of site it helps the real estate market because 1st time buyers are more likely to purchase a home than continue renting.

May 23, 2012 10:06 PM
Sharon Paxson
Sharon Paxson, Realtor® EQTY Forbes Global Properties - Newport Beach, CA
Newport Beach Real Estate

Hi William - excellent post about the rental market. The housing inventory in many areas that I work in, for sale are low.

May 24, 2012 11:03 AM
Debra Gould
Staging Diva / Six Elements Inc. - Toronto, ON
The Staging Diva

I bought my first home in 1987 because rent in my city was going up over $1000/month for my tiny apartment. At that point I decided it made more sense to buy and stop pouring money down the drain paying someone else's mortgage.

May 26, 2012 02:13 PM
Evelyn Kennedy
Alain Pinel Realtors - Alameda, CA
Alameda, Real Estate, Alameda, CA

William:

Even though some buyer are reluctant to get into the market, and others are sick of the real estate market, I do think that the American dream of home ownership is still there.  We have to be patient for the market to calm down and short sales and foreclosures to go away.

May 27, 2012 09:21 AM
Barbara-Jo Roberts Berberi, MA, PSA, TRC - Greater Clearwater Florida Residential Real Estate Professional
Charles Rutenberg Realty - Clearwater, FL
Palm Harbor, Dunedin, Clearwater, Safety Harbor

Wishing you a fantastic weekend ahead, William!

Jun 15, 2012 01:06 AM
Wayne B. Pruner
Oregon First - Tigard, OR
Tigard Oregon Homes for Sale, Realtor, GRI

I think that balance will return. People have short memories.

Oct 31, 2012 04:02 PM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired
Hi Tigard, I think so as well, the months have passed and normalization is becoming more likely.
Oct 31, 2012 04:13 PM