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  I was recently reading an article in Realty Times about the probability of a recession by this Spring.

  I tend to agree with their assessment.

  There are definitely different "pockets" of positive Real Estate values, Sales and even growth which may mean if we do go into Recession...it could be spotty. Or, as we have all experienced during the Bubble phenomenon, perception will affect reality.US

 The North East is experiencing the full effects of the rise in oil prices.

 Here in New Hampshire there have already been announcements of layoffs and future downsizing. As I reluctantly shop for astronomically priced groceries I overhear the clerks complaining about drastic cuts in work hours. Oh, and we just had a notice from our Electric Utility...our rates are going up!

  It is being reported that people have no savings, are maxed out on credit and are fearful of losing their jobs. Manufacturing is down, the Service Industry is growing. Unfortunately a Service Industry need customers.

  These reports on the surface ...are dire. 

  But in Real Estate.....could this mean a bit of a Silver Lining?

  Consumer Spending is a mainstay of our Economy, so in order to attract maxed out Consumers, merchants may need to borrow some tactics from the past......no money down and no interest payments on various Consumer goods, higher interest on savings and lower interest on borrowed money. A Market that is now attractive to Buyers...may become a goldmine. Banks who are tightening the purse strings may again be looking to lend.

  Could it be???? Could Recession bring us to that ever elusive even playing field! sign Or is that too simple an Economic projection?

 

Concord New Hampshire Realtor Area Information

 

 

 

 

 

 

NH's Four Seasons 

                                                                
Joan Mirantz - Joni is a Realtor® with Homequest Real Estate, a locally owned, Customer Service oriented Firm.
Joan Publishes a monthly Newsletter "Food For Thought" under the pen name Realtor Sherpa.
(Joan also answers to Miz Maven and Miss Joni.)

Joan works in Buyer and Seller Representation with concentrations in the Merrimack Valley Area and towns surrounding Concord NH - the Capital City.
"I love what I do, and it shows in how I do it"

Having crossed over to the "other side of Middle Age" herself....Joan is an ongoing source of information about local programs, facilities and issues specific to her peers! 

 
Livin' the Life...and Ridin' the Wave

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This post has been included in New Hampshire Real Estate News

22 Comments on Recession and Real Estate

JAN
06
2008
688,790 Points 117 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Called Shot Master

Joan,

After a very slow October and November, the months of December and now January are much more active for me.  I think we'll do well whether or not we find we're in a recession.

Mike in Tucson

10:02pm • #1
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Mike...aren't you also in one of the least affected areas of the country?

I thought the trying of RE to recession was an interesting premise...and made some sense!

10:26pm • #2
352,326 Points 27 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Joan, I like your theory and could see it happening if things continue the way they are down there.

What saddens me is the empty houses that have been foreclosed on, and meanwhile thousands upon thousands of families with no place to live.  What kind of sense does it make? Something's going to start happening soon to get people back together with the houses....a house deteriorates if it sits empty too long.

Jo 

10:41pm • #3
211,928 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Joan - your theory makes perfect sense to me.  Being in a similar market where factories are closing, entire shifts at 24 hr mfg plants are being eliminated, cutbacks in hours for secretarial personnel in most places and a definite tightening of the retail dollar.  Groceries and utilities are skyrocketing, wages are dropping/static and people are scared to death of failure.  Something has to give soon.
10:55pm • #4
874,998 Points 35 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Joan, I have seen everything today from a deserted, boarded up house around the corner to me to people booking elaborate wedding plans.  I think we've truly lost the middle class and I know what that means for my area...
11:27pm • #5
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Jo...I'm no economist..but thought it made sense!

Believe me I have high hopes for the next election,which is probably very naive. I just wish it weren't a year away...so much time for more to go wrong!

11:37pm • #6
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Carol...I know it's tough where you are and has been for longer than here...you're right...something does have to give
11:39pm • #7
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Hi Carole... Middle Class? What Middle Class?Seems to me I remember being there once but then there was this loooong slide down this looong hill.....
11:41pm • #8
JAN
07
2008
304,169 Points 15 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Hi Joan,
Hmm, sounds reasonable to me but then again economics are not my expertise.  The thing is we can't just sit and wait, we have to continue to work and prepare.
7:34am • #9
194,326 Points 29 Featured Posts Outside Blog
JOAN-  I think it is a wait and see kinda game right now. I'm not holding my breath, but I am hopeful. I do believe that there are good things on the horizon. GBU!
9:56am • #10
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Exactly Cynthia...I am definately laying my groundwork
7:56pm • #11
140,304 Points 5 Featured Posts

I'm on an efficient train line into New York City from NJ, and our market is still seeing deals go along.  That being said, not all of my staged homes this Fall sold - two went to rental, and I'm told that they got more money thanks to the staging.  This I doubt, but find comforting, nonetheless.

Judging by the phone calls already, I'm expecting a robust Spring market.  Prices need to adjust lower, but I think when they do, we'll all be fine.  That level playing field you mention will prevail.

God willing!

8:06pm • #12
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
I do believe hopeful is the operative word Elizabeth! (See I 'm a good listener too!)
8:06pm • #13
JAN
08
2008
257,841 Points 14 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Miss Joanie (I spell it Joanie) --

That's a good blog subject, well-written, and I personally think right on target.  Oil prices are what are going to do the real harm.  It isn't the slow real estate market or the sub-prime rate fiasco.

Someday I'm going to do a blog on how the economics of the global economy were supposed to work, and what messed things up.  It's quite interesting and easily defendable.

My best,

Billycherry

11:56am • #15
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Hi Bill...I love it when you stop by! I think you should go ahead and do that Blog...you have so much experience we could all benefit from it! That's for sure!
1:44pm • #16
2 Featured Posts
We've had a very busy few weeks. I think my market is picking up and we're seeing multiple offers again. Let hope it keeps up and spreads across the State.
3:04pm • #17
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
 Monika...We seem to be a bit busier too...early Spring??
9:32pm • #18
JAN
11
2008
680,542 Points 18 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Attended Rain Camp Called Shot Master
I think that we have been better in New Hampshire than many states.  I have heard that things are definately picking up and buyers ready to buy and sellers are more realistic about pricing.  I think this year is going to be a positive year and will surprise a lot of people
11:07pm • #19
JAN
12
2008
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Joan.I sure hope you're right! We would all welcome it!

Sorry I missed yesterday...I've been sick and have turned into a vegetable!

2:46pm • #20
197,544 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Called Shot Master
It's perfect, Ms Potato! (responding to your last line).  I hope you're feeling better!!!!
6:19pm • #21
217,536 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Laurie...if you believe hard enough, anything can happen!

7:27pm • #22

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Joan Mirantz GRI CBR SRES- Concord New Hampshire Realtor

Concord, NH

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Homequest Real Estate

Address: Concord, NH, 03303

Office Phone: (800) 713-2057 x 8

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