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Hobe Sound Absorption Rate Increase a Bump in the Road?

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Paradise Sharks BK3087579


Hobe Sound Absorption Rate up 18%


We continue to see positive news from the local real estate markets with an increase in pending sales and higher median prices reported throughout the region in April. Momentum seems to be gathering steam with interest rates continuing to slide and inventory levels continuing to shrink. But there are still dark clouds out on the horizon and anyone saying we are out of the woods is ignoring the high level of mortgages in foreclosure trouble still on the table. Combined with general economic news that hardly paints a robust business climate we continue to watch the various metrics surrounding the local real estate market to give those interested a peak of what might be heading their way.

 

Each month around this time we bring you updated numbers for the absorption rate in the Northern Palm Beach County area. These numbers, and especially the trend we see in these numbers, are critical when understanding how inventory and demand interact and what role they will have in future price movements. Since the first of the year we have seen significant reductions in the absorption rates and during that time we have seen the highest upside pricing pressure we have seen for over 6 years but will that continue as we head out of the spring buying season into the summer months?

 

This month we actually saw the absorption rates increase in two municipalities while the other three showed continuing improvement. on the front lines a lot of what we deal with is gut feeling and over the past week I have seen some deals that did not draw the activity I thought they would a few weeks earlier. Time will tell but let’s take a deeper look at the absorption rates for May;


 

Juno Beach - 

Jupiter - 

Palm Beach Gardens - 

Hobe Sound - 10.2 months up from 8.62

Tequesta - 11.07 months up from 9.88

 

Hobe Sound weighs in this month as our 4th place finisher with it’s first monthly increase in four months and a move in the wrong direction from the annual low we enjoyed one month ago. A significant decrease in sales coupled with a slight decrease in inventory brought the Hobe Sound absorption rate to 10.2 months an 18% increase from the 8.62 reported one month ago. We did stay well below our 12-month average which currently sits at 13.26 months but slightly behind our year ago numbers when we reported 10.0 months. On it’s own nothing to get too concerned about  especially with strong monthly performances in neighboring communities. But still a reversal in the trend line and something to watch very closely in the coming days and weeks.

 

We are every lucky to live in an area where vacation homes make up a significant percentage of our real estate transactions. With prices still at very attractive levels, inventory levels that continue to shrink and interest rates that continue to amaze the sense or urgency has returned to the market. Being able to clearly identify properties that meet a buyers needs and then being able to react very quickly is more important than ever.  

 

Will the buzz of a market that is heating up continue to resonate............

Florida Tolbert Team Keller Williams Advantage
Keller Williams Advantage III Realty in Lake Nona - Orlando, FL
Keller Williams Land Luxury Division Specialist

Tom,

While it has slowed in volume in Hobe Sound it has improved in sale price and if a client has to hold for a couple of months longer to get 10% more, I think they are willing and thus the higher asking prices are slowing sales.

Jun 02, 2012 10:43 PM
Tom Priester
Paradise Sharks - Jupiter, FL
Paradise Sharks

Kevin,

There is no doubt that inventory levels are having a profound effect on sales. There are so many buyers out there actively looking for the right opportunity that it would appear higher prices are on the way. I must think so as we bought a home a few weeks ago after renting for 6 years. Hobe Sound inventory dropped another 6% in May. Buyers remain price driven and much of the current invntory is in poor condition or priced above where the market will react. Foreclosures will help keep prices down but 2012 will be the first year of rising prices since that big old bubble went KABOOM!

Jun 02, 2012 10:56 PM