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12 Comments on Countrywide Home Loans - Sailing or Sinking?
From Bloomberg: Countrywide Loses Most Since 1987 on Bankruptcy Bets
From Reuters: Countrywide Financial denies bankruptcy rumorsLeo: It could be only a matter of time. When there's blood in the water, there's trouble. I'm not sure Countrywide has either the liquidity or the borrowing power to survive. The other larger financial institutions (think Citigroup, UBS, Merrill Lynch) can borrow money against their assets. Countrywide is tapped out. I'm not sure even we would lend them money at this point. We'll see what happens. At some point, BofA may get one heckuva buy. The next 30 days or so could be very telling. Have a nice night.
Paul
CW's strength may also be its weakness - that gazillion dollar portfolio can be very profitable, but with defaults at ridiculous levels, just how profitable is it currently? A failing CW is an extremely bad thing for the industry. I know there are plenty who would do a jig if CW went out, but overall the effects would be devastating and would likely lead to swift government oversight.
1 massive loss in 25 years typically won't kill a company - Q4 results are to be released in late January - could it be that traders are bashing the stock in anticipation of a good earnings report, setting themselves up for a hefty profit? It would be interesting to see who is buying big blocks of stock right now.
I see all the same signs that where there when AHM went belly up, I know a bunch of people who worked at AHM here in CT went to Countrywide and if this happens again to them it can be devastating. I worked at AHN for about 3-1/2 yrs and loved the company but am glad I was not caught up when the-ship sunk and people were left without getting their loans funded, I acn't imagine that happening to those LO's again with another company, that does not go over well with referral partners.
Leo,
I agree, I do not want to see Countrywide fail, since they are a correspondent lender, however the rumors flying are pretty scary.