As 2008 has begun we (anyone interested in Real Estate) keep hearing doom and gloom when we tune into the news channels...OR we hear of a fruitful year if we listen to the NAR or any other advocates of THE Industry.  It depends on who you listen to, but always think for yourselves and do some of your own research, knowing that both sides have an agenda.  The Real Estate Industry is going to admit that 2007 was tough, but there are many signs that 2008 is a recovery year and many agents are going to post record numbers....AND vendors of the industry are going to try to pump up sales saying "you need us" to make this year better.  The media is going to say the sky is falling and many people will lose their homes (which may be true) and agents will starve and firms will go out of business and rates will be higher than ever and homes will start to depreciate and so on and so on (run on sentence). 

Here's the deal.  The NAR reports the facts as they gather it to keep a positive light on the situation for it's members.  The media seems to only report bad news, just look at your local news web page and count the positive headlines versus the negative...amazing isn't it?  Fear sells!!  Who is to blame...not the media, it's human nature to blame.  For some reason we love to hear bad news as we think it warns and prepares us at the same time.  The fact of the matter is that Real Estate is local and when people in my market read the headlines of other (bubble) markets, they automatically think we are doomed.  Some markets have had it rough, but things will get better.  The Raleigh/Durham market is actually very good, not as good as it has been, but a lot better than it has been.....get it.....things change and you have to roll with it whether you are an agent, homeowner and/or investor. 

The only real problem our market has had in the past year or so is clients are having a hard time selling their homes in certain other markets.  Other than that, rates are still low and the appreciation rate is a safe 4-6%.  Our market has experienced healthy appreciation compared to others, but we have not and will not be facing depreciation like some media outlets have suggested.  Real Estate is still one of the safest investments you can make so don't let anyone tell you different.  For more information visit us here.

 

7 Comments on 2008 Forecast... Is The Media Correct?

JAN
10
2008
394,567 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
I have been blogging about this issue and to me the big snake in the woodpile is the government deficit spending and the consequent devaluation of the dollar which has caused prices to go up . Interest rate cuts not withstanding
9:12am • #1

Avoid the national media in regards to REAL ESTATE!  The simply DO NOT get it! 

Here's to a GREAT '08!

Be of service! The rewards will come!

www.mattcrow.com

 

9:13am • #2

Stu,

Your absolutely right; I've done a couple of blogs on the same phenomena re the news media. Va Beach seems like your area in North Carolina; back to a historical consistency of a 4-7% appreciation (in2007).

 

9:17am • #3
The market is what it is . . . from locale to locale.  The challenge for most agents is client education.  They need better training on how to confront the reality of their own market and convey the facts to their clients in the proper manner.  I'm finding too many agents unwilling or unable to simply have that conversation with their clients.
9:19am • #4
133,815 Points 10 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Great points!  The other thing ofr folks to remember is that Real Estate typically follows the JOB MARKET!  We are blessed to be in an area with over 15 colleges and universities, state government AND the Research Triangle Park!  WE NEED qualified workers - which is shy so many people are relocating here!  The housing market is alive and strong in Raleigh!
9:58am • #5
JAN
26
2008
255,467 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Even the 1/26/08 edition of the News and Observer admits that the only area the Raleigh housing market is struggling in is above the $500K price point, where there is an abundance of inventory.  Throughout the Triangle, supply is actually pretty tight for price points under $500K.  The December 2007 Triangle Area Residential Realty report, which looks in depth at 70 different price and geographic points, shows that homes under $300K have a 4 month or less supply in every area except Wake Forest, which has a 6 month supply.  A balanced market has a 5-6 month supply, so this may mean a pretty tight inventory situation as we head into the busier spring months. 

Overall supply in the Triangle is at 4 months, versus 10.3 months US average. 

 

1:13pm • #6
MAR
21
2008

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Stu Barnes

Fuquay Varina, NC

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Barnes McQuade Realty

Office Phone: (919) 803-4129

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My blog consists of common questions and concerns dealing with buying and selling real estate. Covering all of Wake County which is the home of Raleigh, Cary, Fuquay Varina and Holly Springs just to name a few...you can always count on an informative ...not so boring opinion. It's a STEW of information dealing with all aspects of Real Estate.


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