9 Comments on Top 4 things about Bank of America buying Countrywide...what will happen next?
JAN
11
2008
Christina--I don't have any answers but you do raise some interesting points. One thing is for certain, it was an attention getting headline first thing this morning!
Christina.... you bring up some quick points to ponder. I do see many jobs lost. Especially in middle management and the support staff. I added to some of what you mentioned in a blog that I wrote earlier.
Christina, a lot of people think BoA buying Countrywide is just about a fire sale, that they are getting them for their loan processing and not the loans on the cheap. Yes, more people will lose their jobs, it always happens with a merger.
Bank of America buying Countrywide may be better than the alternative of Countrywide closing down completely. At least some jobs will be saved with continuity for those employees that make it through.
Do YOU all realize YOU helped Fund the Deal with Bank of America and Countryide?
Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) is able to use some of Countrywide's losses to offset its own taxable income.
The tax break could total about half a billion dollars over the first five years, according to an estimate by tax guru Robert Willens, who left Lehman Brothers Friday after a 20-year run and will be in business as Robert Willens LLC starting next week.
Bank of America can use a total of $1.35 billion of Countrywide's losses to shelter its income. (That's five years of $270 million annual losses.) If Countrywide's embedded losses when Bank of America buys it exceed $1.35 billion, Willens says, the bank will be able to deduct the rest of the losses, without limit, starting in the sixth year. The losses could be worth considerably more to Bank of America starting in the sixth year, depending on how big Countrywide's losses are when Bank of America formally acquires it.
As part of the deal, the government likely agreed to guarantee BofA against Countrywide-related losses. (There was nothing in the press release about that, so let’s give them the benefit of the doubt and say BofA is shouldering all of the risk and at this price it believes the risk is worth the reward.)
There has been wide speculation for the last several months that the government is behind the scene to urge BAC to rescue CFC. The government would not allow CFC to fail, since it would create a domino effect much worse than the S&L crisis and LTCM. The failure of CFC would have triggered many counterparties conducting OTC derivative trades with CFC to fail, which would have brought the whole OTC derivative market including all large investment banks into their knees, similar to the LTCM situation in 1998.
The failure of CFC would also transfer all the credit risks to semi-government agencies of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which would force Fed and federal government to bail them out by using taxpayer's money, similar to the S&L crisis in the late 1980s - except this time the amount is probably 10 times larger. I don't even need to mention what that would do to other fixed income products, the general credit market, equity market and the US economy.
Great news for many people at the other side of the trade with CFC and all levels of government, with BAC now catching the falling knife, and holding the bag for many years to come until the deep pocket becomes much shallower.
What does it mean-"catch a falling knife"?
It's meaning should be obvious...This is the phrase used to describe the habit of buying stocks that are in “freefall”, and If you are not very, very careful you could get cut. Don't get me wrong, there's money to be made from catching falling knives. The challenge is doing it without losing a finger or more!
Countrywide faces numerous borrower lawsuits, and is under investigation by federal and state regulators for alleged lending abuses, issues which are normally assumed by the acquiring company in a takeover.
The bulk of the actions against Countrywide are individual claims connected to foreclosure cases across the country, with assertions ranging from violations of federal lending laws during loan origination to duping elderly borrowers into taking out high-interest loans to mishandling loan payments, according to Ira Rheingold, executive director of the National Association for Consumer Advocates, whose members represent homeowners facing foreclosure lawsuits.
There are a number of other suits that could blossom into costly headaches for the company. In California, shareholders filed six suits this past fall against the company, Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo and other executives in federal court, claiming they issued false and misleading statements about the company's health. The suits have been consolidated, and the company hasn't responded.
Furthermore, the company faces at least 12 class-action suits alleging borrower abuse. B of A must also take care that plaintiffs don't try and bilk its deep pockets.
In the end do you think the BAC will have been a good one for them?
You raise some good points...only time will tell. I'm sure we will see some job losses. Employees at Countrywide have been discontent for some time..I'm not sure if this is a morale booster or not. I once worked for a company that was "bought out". We were all nervous when the rumors were flying around, felt better when it finally happened and we still had jobs. Then the "reorganization" started. Jobs and departments were changing so fast that we lost a lot of consumer confidence..they didn't know who was going to get laid off next.
Poor morale=bad service and turnover...not a good thing when we need the best and brightest to see os through this.
You raise some good points...only time will tell. I'm sure we will see some job losses. Employees at Countrywide have been discontent for some time..I'm not sure if this is a morale booster or not. I once worked for a company that was "bought out". We were all nervous when the rumors were flying around, felt better when it finally happened and we still had jobs. Then the "reorganization" started. Jobs and departments were changing so fast that we lost a lot of consumer confidence..they didn't know who was going to get laid off next.
Poor morale=bad service and turnover...not a good thing when we need the best and brightest to see os through this.
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Tracy real estate, where the market is & how she lives in Ripon yet primarily works in Tracy. She has three boys & enjoys giving back to the world.
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