Sell Now? But Prices Might Go Up! Ah, Timing and the Real Estate Market
Like the buyers of a few months ago who didn't want to make a move until they were sure the market had hit the bottom, home sellers are now having similar thoughts about the timing of their home's sale.
Most of the neighborhoods in Northwest Washington didn't feel the effects of the bubble burst to the extent that it impacted the rest of the country. Prices went down a bit, but they never really nose-dived. But lately we've seen some interesting trends.
Inventory is down and prices are now creeping up, and in many neighborhoods we are seeing the return of the bidding war. At the same time, many sellers are reluctant to put their homes on the market at this time because prices might jump up in the spring.
But wait. Figuring out timing and real estate markets can be difficult.
If you are a seller and decide to wait until spring to sell and buy something else in the area, you are likely to pay proportionately more for your new place if prices do go up.
And if you are counting on the election to rev up the market and help you make a tidy profit on your sale, especially if Mitt Romney wins, don't count on it. Remember that there are usually less than a couple of hundred transactions over the entire Metro area that can be attributed to a presidential election. Many of the people who go to work for a new administration already live here, or they are young kids who can't afford to do more than rent a basement apartment with a couple of roommates.
So, no matter what happens in November, we've learned that it's very, very difficult to predict what will happen in the DC area housing market.
We do know what the market is doing right now. And compared to the last few years, it is a great time to sell. Next year when we make the same comparison, who knows? But if it does heat up, so will the market in which you buy your next home.
We've all heard that the three most important things in real estate are location, location and location. But three other most important things are timing, timing and timing - and timing in real estate is a little trickier to deal with.
16 Comments on Sell Now? But Prices Might Go Up! Ah, Timing and the Real Estate Market
Market timers do not succeed.
Kind of ike waiting to ask the pretty women out for a date.
Maybe manana.
Wouldn't it be nice if we all had a crystal ball to peek into the future?! Real people make decisions based on real facts - thanks for the post, Pat.
Suggested Pat. Timing can be critical in a home purchase or sale, but the only opportune time is when you need to do either. Waiting around for the market to go up for a home sale is like playing Russion Roulette IMO. San Antonio TX has seen the same as your market. It hasn't gone dramatcially up or down, however, buyers are out buying right now.
If you need to sell now, price your home right and get it sold so you can move on...if you don't you are taking a gamble for sure.
What a smart blog! Suggested!
Of course prices will go up. Then they will go down. Then they will go up again!
So, when do you sell? When you sell when prices are down, you buy when they are down too. And vice versa...
The thing about selling your primary residence is you are likely buying one at the same time. So it is sell high, buy high or sell low/buy low. Timing is much less relevant.
We have had a lot of sellers holding out in Silicon Valley waiting for major "buyer events" like the Facebook IPO. Since that was a bust, now people are just listing as they need to.
I hear a familiar tune. This has to be the reason so many potential sellers are sitting on their homes. Sell low, buy low, and vice versa.
Pat This is so interesting as prices in our area have depreciated and the longer folks wait to sell the more it depreciates .It is a Great time to buy here !
Why, Irv! You shouldn't have any problems asking a pretty woman out on a date!
Peggy, if you find a good crystal ball supplyer, let us know!
Excellent point, Brenda.
Patty, Thank you!
Jay, it's sort of like gas prices, isn't it?
Kathryn, this is exactly what I'm trying to say.
Bryan, they can join the buyers who are waiting for the shadow inventory to pop up.
Jane, I agree,
And Hannah, what goes down has to come up sometime.
Love your post, Patricia.
Some sellers do need to get educated on real estate market ...
Have a great week.
I think it's important to consider the overall cost, too. If interest rates go up, the cost for a buyer to own a home goes up, so your pool of buyers gets smaller. Are you willing to take that risk? Great post!
Hi Patricia. All we can do is what you are already doing...educate, educate, educate...one day we will all wake up and everyone will be listening.
It's presently a great time to sell in many areas. Waiting for rising prices might be a big mistake, as their are a number of possible impediments to rising prices on the horizon.
Patricia
What great advice for seller in the DC area to take into account. This is what a good agent can give you and for anyone considering selling, they need to look no further. cheers cvc
Timing is the toughest one of all! One of the things I ask my clients to do is imagine what is the worth of that year they are thinking about delaying before moving towards THEIR new dream home.
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