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Fred Thompson on the right track at last? Not so much.

By
Real Estate Technology with Carmody and Associates LLC

Fred Thompson for PresidentFred Thompson has announced today that he has dropped out of the race for the Presidency.

With my Florida primary coming up in a week, the question is where do the Thompson supporters go.

Mike Huckabee is pulling back on expenditures in Florida in order to conserve resources for super Tuesday, February 5. So although many see him as an attractive candidate, Mike seems to think he was not going to be competitive in Florida.  The local commentators feel that Guliani and McCain are unlikely beneficiaries of Fred's departure.  And Dr Ron Paul is still not considered to be aligned with any other candidate. 

So the smart money seems to feel that the campaign of Mitt Romney may get a lift from Fred's decision this afternoon. So far, I have seen no announcement of any endorsement from Thompson.  The timing of Fred's announcement may be significant and may turn the tide in Florida.  A win in Florida with adequate resources for super Tuesday could help Mitt begin to take control of this process.  

We will see on January 29.  Film at 11

 

 

Comments(10)

Brian Schulman
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage, Lancaster PA - Lancaster, PA
Lancaster County PA RealEstate Expert 717-951-5552

Some think that the natural heirs to Fred Thompson's votes would be Huckabee, who attracts the Evangelicals.  I'd be more likely to think that many of his former supporters would be equally inclined to go with the strongest candidate on national defense and immigration.

Of course, this could be somewhat altered if Fred actually endorses another candidate himself.  He has hinted that he would be available now as a vice presidential candidate.

Jan 22, 2008 06:34 AM
Brian Block
RE/MAX Allegiance, Managing Broker/Branch Vice President - McLean, VA
Northern Virginia & D.C. Real Estate
Ted, certainly an interesting new development in this seemingly never-ending campaign season.  I don't think that Fred Thompson's candidacy and campaign was ever full-throttle, so I don't expect that his departure will have that much of an effect overall.
Jan 22, 2008 06:34 AM
Jeffrey DiMuria 321.223.6253 Waves Realty
Waves Realty - Melbourne, FL
Florida Space Coast Homes
I think Huckabee will get a slight boost...in fact he may get both of the voters who had committed to Thompson (sorry...that was a shot).
Jan 22, 2008 06:35 AM
R. B. "Bob" Mitchell - Loan Officer Raleigh/Durham
Bank of England (NMLS#418481) - Raleigh, NC
Bob Mitchell (NMLS#1046286)

Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I don't think that it matters much who the Republicans run this time.  With the war and the recession, it's not looking good for the GOP!

 

Bob Mitchell

ValueList Real Estate Services, Inc. 

Jan 22, 2008 06:42 AM
Danny Garcia
Real Estate Practices Class 3:30-5:55 - Huntington Park, CA
I like Huckabee  for the repulblicans
Jan 22, 2008 06:43 AM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

I have edited my original post as I consider what has occurred. 

I would have thought Mike  Huckabee could have gained from this turn of events - but he is scaling back in Florida and may not capitalize on the availability of now abandoned conservative voters in FLorida. 

The local commentators have  described Senator McCain's reception in Florida as a little bit frosty.  He is respected for his military  service and expertise on foreign affairs, but is not forgiven for voting against Bush tax cuts, siding with the liberals on important issues in the Senate and for McCain-Feingold election reform (incumbent survival act).  John has benefited from crossover votes of independents (and democrats) in New Hampshire and South Carolina - which cannot occur in Florida as we have a closed primary system.  Only registered republicans can vote in the republican primary.

Guliani, despite his excellent record of accomplishment (even before 9/11) in New York City is not viewed favorably by the conservative republicans.  He is too liberal on a number of social issues.  

The Florida primary represents the biggest state so far in the primaries and could give the winner (Romney?) considerable momentum going into super  Tuesday.  

 

Jan 22, 2008 06:46 AM
Bob Southard
Atlas Realty Service, LLC - Kennesaw, GA
e-Pro - Cobb,Cherokee,NorthFulton,Paulding,Bartow

I like Huckabee as well. He hits 2 of my real hot buttons. That is 1.abolish the IRS and implement the Fair tax and 2. privatize social security.

However, Thompson and McCain worked together well in the Senate.  My guess for what its worth is that is where he will throw his support.

Jan 22, 2008 06:50 AM
Don Draughn - Mortgage Professional
High Point, NC
I would like to see Thompson support Huckabee, too.  I just don't know if it will happen.
Jan 22, 2008 07:10 AM
Bruce Davenport
Supreme Lending - Fort Washington, PA
Sr Loan Officer at Supreme Lending NMLS # 2129
Does that mean he'll be on Law and Order again?
Jan 22, 2008 07:12 AM
Broker Nick
South Florida Real Estate & Development, Inc. - Coconut Creek, FL
Broker Nick Relocation Broker Service
Thompson should endorse Huckabee. Sometimes candidates are so selfish.
Jan 22, 2008 07:32 AM