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Looks Like They Found the Crystal Ball!

By
Services for Real Estate Pros with Marte Cliff Copywriting

Today's email brought a selection of articles from Realty Times - and this one really caught my eye, because the author has apparently found a crystal ball.

According to the article, the fiscal cliff is going to slow the housing recovery in Crystal ball2013, but by 2017 homes will be appreciating at 3.3%. One reason for this recovery, they say, is "better job prospects and overall economic growth."

Really? When all predictions say that increased taxes will lead to even more job loss and a slowing of the economy?

You have to wonder about people who write these articles. After he states that things are getting better, and after he says that prices in Miami are up 6.9%, he predicts that 8 markets in Florida will experience further price declines over the next 2 years.

He also says investors are snapping up foreclosures as fast as they come on the market, but that's going to end.

Now, I know that anyone who can put sentences together can write an article. I'm not one to believe everything I read.

What bothers me is that consumers read this stuff! Hopefully most are smart enough to know that no one can predict what's going to happen next.

But you as agents need to be ready for the ones who aren't. They'll pick the parts of this article that they want to believe - and they'll expect it to be true for their market.

 

 

 

 

 

Comments(6)

C. Lloyd McKenzie
Living Albuquerque - Albuquerque, NM
Living Albuquerque

Good Morning Marte,

Excellent title.  These jokers put out so much garbage that I think most intelligent people just tune them out, be it print media or otherwise. I do nt see how they are able to predict with such certainty 5 years ahead of schedule.  There are too many things can happen between now and then.  After all, the world could come to an end before that! 

Dec 05, 2012 04:34 PM
Joe Petrowsky
Mortgage Consultant, Right Trac Financial Group, Inc. NMLS # 2709 - Manchester, CT
Your Mortgage Consultant for Life

Some of the folks that write these various articles, really don't have a clue, but no matter how it turns out, we will have be the effect of the ones that will make the final decisions. I know one thing for sure. I will not allow whatever happens to effect my ability to make a good living.

Dec 05, 2012 06:18 PM
Barbara Todaro
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Happily Retired - Franklin, MA
Previously Affiliated with The Todaro Team

Good morning, Marte..... people who write these articles must realize that when the general public reads them, it has an influence on their decision making....it makes a difference in how they proceed....

 

Dec 05, 2012 08:12 PM
Wallace S. Gibson, CPM
Gibson Management Group, Ltd. - Charlottesville, VA
LandlordWhisperer

Real estate is LOCAL so when the real estate market is described at NATIONAL levels, the last sentence in the article - WHOEVER'S article, should be to consult your local Realtor or Property Manager....HELLO!  We know the LOCAL market!

Dec 05, 2012 08:15 PM
Michelle Francis
Tim Francis Realty LLC - Atlanta, GA
Realtor, Buckhead Atlanta Homes for Sale & Lease

Marte, 

Excellent point.  Not everything you read on the internet is correct.  Real estate is so local and predictions truly are guesses at best.  Find a good local authority.  We have such a crazy low inventory level right now we have a different problem.  

Having said that, with a fiscal cliff and other national problems I have a hard time predicting specifically how our own market will be six months from now.  What impacts your market?  That's what folks need to consider and make the best choices for them.  

All the best, Michelle

PS - Wonder how well the crystal ball was working for them five years ago to predict these last five years:-)?

 

Dec 05, 2012 10:25 PM
Marte Cliff
Marte Cliff Copywriting - Priest River, ID
Your real estate writer

Lloyd - My thought exactly. But it does worry me that some people take anything written on that kind of forum as the truth.

Joe - That's the best attitude. Go with whatever "is" and make the best of it.

Barbara - That's the troubling thing. Real estate professionals and everyone close to the industry knows it's bunk - but crazy predictions can and do influence the general public's decision-making.

Wallace - Absolutely. Two cities just a few miles apart can have very different markets.

Michelle - Anybody have one of their articles from 5 years ago? It would be interesting. I do know one writer who predicted the crash - Mark Forde of Early to Rise kept saying that real estate was in a bubble and it would burst. But... he also recognized that all real estate was local and described how to tell if your particular market was in that bubble.

 

Dec 06, 2012 12:24 AM