The Fed met yesterday and today to discuss inflation and the economy. They decided to cut the Fed Funds rate (FFR) by .50% to stimulate a slowing economy. There's a lot of debate as to whether we're in a recession or not. Some pundits say that if the Fed starts to talk about a potential recession that usually means we are in one. What does this mean for interest rates? 
For short-term interest rates and rates based on the Prime index, your rates will be declining. The Prime rate is simply the fed funds rate plus a margin of 3%, currently at 6%. Most home equity lines and some credit cards are based on the prime rate. Other short term indexes like the 1 month, 3 month & 6 month LIBOR rates will also likely decrease. The decrease may not necessarily be by the same .50% FFR reduction and not as quickly. The 1 month LIBOR typically follows the FFR over time. For long-term interest rates like the 15 yr. and the 30 yr. fixed rates, these rates will most likely be increasing. The last four rate cuts resulted in higher fixed rates in the subsequent days and weeks. For more information on why this happens read my previous post on Fed Rate cuts. If Goldman Sachs' predictions are correct, then we may see a few more cuts from the Fed to stimulate the economy even more. Interest rates may rise or they may decline, there are so many factors that go into the supply and demand for long term bonds. Make sure you're ready for the next interest rate decline. Stay up to date by subscribing to my blog. The Cashflow Coach |
I see the light but can't see the tunnel! I think the tunnel is around 2004 and speculate another cut to come as its' not quite enough heads turned but the ones looking in the right direction. They need to waive the white flag and the motion will start to come. Great information, as I love charts ! Keep them blogging!