full armorWithin the past 24 hours, I came across two very interesting bits of information.  The first was an informal survey conducted by Ramit Sethi, a recent graduate of Stanford University and co-founder of a Silicon Valley Start-Up.  He was asking people what they were doing to respond to the looming "threat" of an economic recession.  It was fascinating window of insight to the various coping mechanisms for belt tightening when times get tough. Here's the Slideshare show. Update: Unfortunately, the link is not working properly for the embeded show, so here are links to watch it on a different site:

My Real Estate Blog:

Slide Share Site: 

Later, I was reading the book Microtrends, by Mark Penn which dishes up wonderful nuggets of insight about our society and how little things are making a huge impact in all of our lives.  This statement struck me:

"In 1992 when Bill Clinton won the presidency based on worries about the economy, the statistics that came out after the election showed that the period leading up to November had actually been a period of record growth.  Attitudes had been most negative at a time the economy was actually turning around."

Remember those words from James CarvilleITS THE ECONOMY STUPID...well, it turns out that it's a little more than that. This is more like it actually is: IT'S YOUR ATTITUDE!  And...I refuse to call you Stupid.  I think that when people actually LOOK at the FACTS, they arrive at the right conclusions.  What's unfortunate is that most of us depend on others to look at the facts and interpret them to us. 

If you're in real estate, depending on other people to sift through and interpret information for you will consistently place you behind the curve. It is only when you are armed with the facts about your local market and know what is really happening, you can refute the misguided notions which trap people in a haze of negative assumptions and biased thinking.  Just like the scenario that preceded the 1992 elections, the turn-around in the real estate industry will NOT be readily reported on the nightly news.  It will only be observed by careful, intelligent analysis of real estate sales in local communities.

Tracking your statistics has never been more important.  Where do people find out about your services?  How many parties come to your Open Houses?  How often are homes being shown?  How often are they pre-viewed on line at different sites? It will be about touching base with your mortgage reps to see if their application rates are up or down and keeping in touch with your appraisers to ask if they are appraising more or less bank foreclosed properties. 

shoot straight with the factsThe most potent defense our industry can offer against a barrage of negative economic news is to call it like it is.  If your area is not doing well...don't sugar coat things and hide your head in the sand.  Learn to take aim and shoot to hit the target dead center with the facts!

Tell people what they will need to do to sell their homes or frankly let them know that they should wait. Give them the raw numbers so they can see for themselves.  The point is...become the Local Expert.  Every area will be affected differently.  Specialization is your most valued asset.

Counsel buyers intelligently about the fact that home owners will not be rolling out the red welcoming mat to give away their homes...even if the new owner is the bank.  These are simply naked realities of life.  They're the facts. 

If you choose to engage this challenge by hiding, distorting, manipulating or faking it...you won't last.  It's about the FACTS...They make true professionals, armed and dangerous to the changing whims of tide & circumstance.

 

Copyright 2008  Audu Real Estate  All Rights Reserved

Visit this Link to read more about Grand Rapids, Michigan and the real estate climate in West Michigan.

 

Lola Audu, CRS, GRI e-Pro ~ Audu Real Estate

Lola Audu, is the Designated Broker & Owner of Audu Real Estate.  Our company specializes in helping people buy and sell homes in the greater Grand Rapids, West Michigan area.  We've had the privilege of helping hundreds of clients succeed in their goals of purchasing and selling property including demonstrated success in the negotiation of Short Sale Transactions. You can contact us via e-mail @ info@auduhomes.com or by phone at 616-791-0511. 

Twitter feed for Lola Audu     Auduhomes on Facebook     Lola Audu's photostream on Flickr 

 

51 Comments on Becoming Armed & Dangerous...The Antidote to the Slippery Slope of Recession Anxieties!

FEB
05
2008
147,538 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Excellent post.......I think that you're right regarding your premise to be forthright with your clients...it will serve you well in the long run.

Bob Mitchell

ValueList Real Estate Services, Inc. 

11:45am • #1
284,306 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog
You really covered a lot of good points here. Yes, it is all about attitude and having facts...and using those facts.
11:59am • #2
2 Featured Posts
So to put in a nut shell, honesty, honesty to yourself and others!  Very good post!
12:30pm • #3
108,954 Points 8 Featured Posts

I agree with you Lola. I'm fortunate that my market is still solid and home values continue to be on the increase. We are still encountering bidding wars and yet with each new client, I discover that they 'believe' the market is bad. It just isn't! But whatever it IS, I will always be brutally honest and have a strategy to succeed within it. 

Good agents succeed in ANY market! 

12:32pm • #4
Bottom line:  know your market.  Great post!
12:36pm • #5
1 Featured Post
Great post, Lola! But who gave that security guard a rifle?? :)
12:36pm • #6
114,537 Points 9 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Just the FACTS, Ma'm. Well done Lola...you are indeed a sharp shooter. A good policy is the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth except maybe a box of chocolate.
12:52pm • #7
278,235 Points 29 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Lola, great insight and so true!  I analyze our sales numbers constantly and find that most agents, not to mention news articles, are a few months behind what is actually happening NOW in our market.  Don't depend on others for information or direction!
1:17pm • #8
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Hi Everyone, Thanks for responding.  For a time, I've been unable to post a comment...must be a glitch on the system 
1:24pm • #9
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Thanks for stopping by to read and comment Bob.
1:25pm • #10
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Absolutely Gary, So often we allow someone else's opinions determine our course of action or response.  Each of us needs to take responsibility for digging to find the truth for ourselves...and this will differ in your market vs. mine.  The lazy agent approach to business has never worked very well...it will be an absolute disaster in these times.

1:29pm • #11
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Amen...Michelle. Thanks for stopping by. Great to see you on Active Rain. :)
1:30pm • #12
Outside Blog
Great info. Being straight forward & truthful is always the way to go.
1:30pm • #13
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Jennifer...This is a truism...Good Agents Succeed in ANY Market.  Just like good lawyers, accountants, dentists, artists, musicians, teachers, etc.  The key is becoming better and knowing your profession inside out.  True professionalism will always be in demand.  Thanks for stopping by to read and comment.
1:33pm • #14
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Jodie, Thanks for your comment. Audrey...Your're too funny! :)
1:34pm • #15
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Hi Joey...LOL...A box of chocolates will cure a lot of things, but unfortunately this mess. Not even if they're Godivas! :)
2:23pm • #16
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Diane...Truer words were never spoken.  As real estate agents, we have to understand that statistical research is NOT optional.  It's essential to supporting the work that we do.  Agents who were on the ball knew there was a downturn in pricing long before the media started calling it.  The same will be true for the upswing in the market.
2:26pm • #17
Hi Lola:  Statistics ARE the truth.  If we arm ourselves with that knowledge than not only are we better educating ourselves but our clients as well.  You can't argue with the truth.
3:58pm • #18
208,044 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Hi Lola,  I think our customers expect us to know our market in great detail and be able to compare it to the larger national scene.
4:28pm • #19
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Thanks for your comment Ed.  We can't force choice...but we can provide knowledge and information. 
4:37pm • #20
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Hi Dee Dee, I missed your comment earlier.  Thank you for stopping by to read and comment.
4:59pm • #21
320,619 Points 40 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Lola--I think you have something here...Being a Local expert for a Local business...after all all real estate is LOCAL..Who would have thought that? :) Get to know your market and you will stay in business. So simple! Good post!
5:06pm • #22
104,986 Points 8 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Hit Router
Lola, you are so correct.  I just finished up comparing 3 factors from 2006 to 2007 year end, and I will admit that I was a little surprised to see such a positive overall real estate market in my area after hearing so much moaning and groaning from agents last year. Having the facts at hand and learning how to present them is critical in this business!
5:28pm • #23
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
It is simple Teri, however it's not easy. However, I think that there are few things more rewarding professionally than becoming a true expert in one's chosen field.
5:40pm • #24
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Michelle, you make an excellent point.  Not only do we need to have the facts, it's important to know how to present them with confidence and competence.  Thanks for your comment.
5:41pm • #25
413,561 Points 17 Featured Posts Outside Blog
It's all in the attitude. I'm sticking my little phrase that I've coined for this year in every place I can find to put it. "Real estate is great in 2008!"  =D
5:47pm • #26
4 Featured Posts
Lola, I wish you could see me now.  I am standing up behind my desk clapping my hands for you.  Excellent post and you told it like IS!!!
5:54pm • #27
166,187 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Lola,  I agree with you.  If you're waiting for someone to recant the facts and figures to you, well then...  My newsletter went out last week (a previous post) and I received a call from another realtor who happened to be on my list (not anymore) and he thanked me for what I wrote.  I had facts and figures.  I didn't lie about the market, but was honest and realistic.
6:13pm • #28
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Love the Phrase Lisa!  There are going to be lots of opportunities.  We just have to make sure we are giving accurate information which reflects the high standards espoused within our Code of Ethics. 
6:14pm • #29
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Ray...I do wish I could see you clapping. :)  Thank you for your compliment.
6:16pm • #30
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Marc, you know, I had the same response just a little while ago.  That type of thinking is quite foreign to me.  I don't understand why an agent would want to give his/her clients some else's opinion when they claim to be their expert.
6:20pm • #31
2 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Bravo Lola! I am ready to repeat to everyone your words "...the turn-around in the real estate industry will NOT be readily reported on the nightly news.  It will only be observed by careful, intelligent analysis of real estate sales in local communities." The bad thing is that many of the sellers and the buyers are not fortunate to work with the real local experts. So, maybe when the other agents accept our analysis and interpretation of statistics and share it with their clients, it may be at least more beneficial for their clients than not having any idea of what's happening on the market.
6:47pm • #32
Localism Sponsor Hit Router
Excellent post, thanks for sharing.  Very thought provoking and well written!
7:02pm • #33
1 Featured Post

Your so right.. Lola.. In my area I have a Realtor that is over pricing the homes and they are not selling and when he has an open house ...I'm so tempted to tell him that he has over priced the home. I think he's not from this area...but what can we do.. we have to just do our part and hope that the seller will wake up soon and move on...

My views are if your selling a home to move on to the next home in the neighborhood you are gaining too from buying that home. You lower your price to sell.. and when you buy your  making a low offer.... It's a win win situation, but not for the home owner who has used all his equity before selling.....

We have to just prepare ourselves for the future and remember that trouble don't last always.

7:07pm • #34
3 Featured Posts
Great post on a hot topic.  Just shoot straight with us and we will figure out what's going on!
8:38pm • #35

The most potent defense our industry can offer against a barrage of negative economic news is to call it like it is.  If your area is not doing well...don't sugar coat things and hide your head in the sand.  Learn to take aim and shoot to hit the target dead center with the facts!

 

With all due respect, Lola, the real estate industry hasn't been "calling it like it is" since sometime in 2005. 2006 was the year of denial. 2007 was the year of monthly "we've hit bottom" and "The worst is behind us now!" and 2008 is shaping up to be the year of the lie - Yun is predicting an up year? Someone needs to drug test him.

You want the facts? Real estate is dead and getting deader every quarter. We're maybe halfway through this. It'll be 2-3 more years before prices turn upward, no matter how deeply the Fed cuts rates or Congress hands out stimulus checks.

The truth isn't pretty, but it is the truth.

The vast majority of the buyers out there with good credit and down payments already know how bad the market is, so this shouldn't be a revelation, except maybe to the sellers out there, with Saint Christophers buried in their yards, who want to believe their house's value didn't really drop 20% and isn't going to drop another 20%.

Good luck to you, the next few years will be tough. 

9:29pm • #36
121,298 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog
The facts are the only things that are important. Interpretation by other people is just that. It's their interpretation. No one knows what the future will hold. 
9:47pm • #37
FEB
06
2008
240,122 Points 21 Featured Posts Outside Blog
It's funny how we talk ourselves into and out of economic conditions. So much of the economy is run on perception.
12:19am • #38
Great points... Thanks for the blog!
11:09am • #39
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Sventlana...I guess that's one way of looking at it!  It's better for the consumer to get some information even if it is second hand than no information.  I suspect that many who do this also cannot resist the temptation to pass off the work as their own though.
2:15pm • #40
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Thanks for you comment Zen.

Denise, I'm glad you found this helpful.

Dick...I think most people who are given the facts know what they need to do.  Thanks for the comment.

2:17pm • #41
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Donna, Thank You for your comment.  You're right that no condition is permanent...however, we must face the realities at hand.
2:20pm • #42
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Robert, I was talking with someone in Europe today.  Their expectation is for prices to drop up to 30% this year in some of the super heated large metropolitan markets.  This is not just a US Crisis.  However, even in my area, the numbers are not uniform.  Some areas are holding their value, some are declining drastically and a few are actually increasing by a few percentage points.  We are living in very interesting times.  Thank you for your insightful comment.
2:23pm • #43
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Christy, while we do not hold any crystal ball for real estate or anything else for that matter, we can learn a lot from the study and observation of trends which is essentially the facts as they present themselves over a period of time.
2:26pm • #44
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Chuck...Perception has a way of creating reality.  Our imaginations are very powerful.  When focused rightly, nothing is impossible.
2:28pm • #45
FEB
08
2008
404,888 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Great post. Real Estate is local and we can see the trend in our neighborhood before the media reports it. We have received more calls recently and it seems to be picking up.
4:48am • #46
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Great Post Lola, our market has not been hit as badly as other areas, and it is neighborhood specific at the moment
7:09am • #47
FEB
11
2008
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Gita, that's great to hear.
12:32pm • #48
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Anne, That's what is happening in a lot of communities...definitely descriptive of the Grand Rapids area. Some neighborhoods have been OK wheras others have really had a hard time. Local expertise is critical.
12:33pm • #49
1 Featured Post

AAAAAh, the psychology of recession...it is kind of like the lemmings following the leader off of the cliff!!!  If one, just one, started running in a different direction, it would save the whole group!

Keep up the GREAT WORK of running in a different direction, I'm with YOU!

Thanks for the post, Loved IT!

Live good. Be happy.

-Mimi

Mimi Osterdahl / The Muljat Group Realtors / Bellingham, Washington

2008 President, Northwest Washington Women's Council of Realtors

12:56pm • #50
293,061 Points 100 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Mimi...just got back from a visit to your blog!  Keep up the good work.  Thanks for stopping by to read and comment on this post.
1:36pm • #51

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Lola Audu~Real Estate Broker/Owner Grand Rapids, Michigan Real Estate

Grand Rapids, MI

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Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate

Address: 3659 Alpine NW, Suite 102, Grand Rapids, MI, 49321

Office Phone: (616) 791-0511

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Grand Rapids, Michigan real estate information including houses for sale, rent and home buyer/seller tips. Also includes wisdom and insights from Lola Audu, CRS Associate Broker.

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