Surprise, Surprise, The Senate Pass Their Version of the Economic Stimulus Package!!!

Surprise, Surprise.   The Senate approved a nearly identical stimulus package as the one passed by the House last week with an 81-16 vote. The $150 billion economic stimulus package is designed to provide a timely, but targeted boost to our floundering economy by improving liquidity and providing support for our housing market, one of the main casualties of the current credit crunch. A compromise version is expected quickly and the bill is likely to be sent to President Bush for his signature by this weekend. The plan gives a $1,200 tax rebate for households ($600/individual), with $300 more for each child. The full rebates would be sent to families with incomes under $150,000, including seniors and the disabled. The plan would also cut business investment taxes by $44 billion.

More important to us lenders and real estate professionals in general, especially in high cost areas like the California's San Francisco Bay Area, is the stimulus package contains provisions for a one-year (till 12/31/2008) increase to the current conforming and FHA limits.  Conforming and FHA limits will increase to $625,000 nationwide and up to $729,000 in high-cost areas.  By increasing these loan limits, congress hopes to improve liquidity in the mortgage market and raise homebuyer confidence, which, in turn, will increase home sales, home refinancing, and economic activity in general.  This change has the potential to save some homeowners between $3,000 to $5,000 a year who either purchase or refinance a home with mortgage above $417,000 but below $729,000 instead of a Jumbo loan after the bill is signed.

CONGRESS STILL HAS TO WORK OUT A COMPROMISED BILL AND THE PRESIDENT MUST SIGN IT. 

 

 

Alan ‘AJ' Nisen, a Contra Costa California Mortgage Loan professional on ActiveRain.com

 

5 Comments on Surprise, Surprise, The Senate Pass Their Version of the Economic Stimulus Package!!!

I guess they won't like me but I am going to put mine in the bank.

02/07/2008 06:14 PM by John Walters (Specialized Real Estate)


My understanding is that there's still a chance Senate dems will try to ammend the bill to include tax rebates for housholds that don't pay taxes. I understand everyone would like to have an extra wad of cash to spend, but it's called a "tax rebate" not a gift to anyone with a pulse.

02/07/2008 06:45 PM by Sharon Roark A Home Staging Realtor in Lexington KY (Remax Premier)


Hello AJ,

Help me understand how the $300 to $1,200 tax rebate check would help the economy? If people worry about economic recession, they are more like to bank the checks rather than spending them. I think national spending is also psychological (consumer confidence?). Not sure if the extra check will do the trick of turning the ship around.

 

02/07/2008 06:47 PM by Steve Wong - Queens New York Real Estate (Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage)


Steve,
the $1,200 per family plus $300 per child will help the economy becasue not all families can bank this money.  I suspect most either must or will spend this money on goods and services.  Then in turn, those vendors will use that income to buy more raw materials, provide more income to their workers, etc whoc again will spend this money on more goods and services and so on.  This economic stimulus will have a mulitply affect to the economy and also stimulate new jobs, goods, and services.  I am not sure what the mulitply factor will be but I suspect that for every dollar injected, there will be at least $5 dollars in economic activity.  You will have to talk to a economist for a better explaination on the mulitplier affect. 

As you pointed out, this, in a general way, will help boost consumer confidence.  There is the old sayng about a self fullfilling prophecy.  The more doom and gloom, the more we will spiral downward because that is the expectation.  The more positive the news, the more confidence, the more we are willing to invest in the future. 

I have to  say that I agree with the Bill and what it is doing.  But there are other factors in play that affect long term rates, liquidity, etc.  Go to Matt Heaton's blogs.  Here is a URL for his latest take on the financial market.

Bond market puts the smackdown on the US Treasury - Rates up

 

02/07/2008 07:15 PM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


Sharon,
I personally believe that there is a lot of pressure from the president to get a bill out.  One thing about big government, you have to make a broad stroke with the paint brush, and in doing so, will probably either include a group that would rather have missed or miss a group that you should have included.  Hopefully, if they include a group that gets a rebate that for one reason or another some say they shouldn't, it is a very small group so the "lose" is small.  But in any case, for the people that get the rebate whether deserving or not, they will send their money on goods and services.  As I stated in a comment earlier, there is a multiplier effect to the economy that goes way beyond the money injected.  AJ

02/07/2008 07:23 PM by Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)


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Loan Officer: Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer (A Large Bank in America)
Alan 'AJ' Nisen California Contra Costa Mortgage Officer
Lafayette, CA
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A Large Bank in America

Office Phone: (925) 688-3820
Cell Phone: (925) 963-5836
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AJ, as part of the Active Rain family, uses this forum to discuss issues that affect the Real Estate market, all aspects of Mortgages, Loans and refinancing, to build working relationships and friendships. AJ’s conversations include such topics as, the sub prime lending fallout, mortgage market changes, and localism (revitalizing downtowns, business growth, community volunteerism and events)



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