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Mortgage Rate Update 5-1-13: Trends Projections & Today's Best Rates

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

The ADP Employment Change was unveiled today showing that although the economy added 119K jobs last month, we are well below forecasts.  Mortgage Backed Security prices have moved a bit higher this morning after losing ground yesterday afternoon.

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back nearly 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze!

Jason E. Gordon - Mortgage Rate Update - www.jasongordon.net

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Wednesday 5-1-2013 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Tuesday with a WORSENING to pricing.  Tuesday's WORSENING netted a change of 6 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

 Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows a summary of today's activity:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com 

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

 Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry)

FNMA 30-Year:
2.5 Coupon: Open 101.4375 Change 0.2500
3.0 Coupon: Open 104.7500 Change 0.1719
3.5 Coupon: Open 106.5938 Change 0.0625

 

Treasuries:
5 Year: Open 99.8516 Change 0.1094 Yield 0.6650
10 Year: Open 103.2188 Change 0.2813 Yield 1.6430
30 Year: Open 105.5315 Change 0.6563 Yield 2.8480

 

Key Economic Data
EUR/USD: Open 1.3220 Change 0.0056
GBP/USD: Open 1.5583 Change 0.0052
USD/JPY: Open 97.160 Change -0.270
Oil: Open 91.44

 

Key Economic Data:
ADP national employment for Apr: Actual 119.0k, Consensus 150k, Last 158k, Revised 131k.
Markit Mfg PMI Final for Apr: Actual 52.1, Last 52.0.
7:00: Construction spending for Mar: Consensus 0.7%, Last 1.2%.
7:00: ISM Manufacturing for Apr
PMI: Consensus 50.9, Last 51.3.
Prices paid: Consensus 53.0, Last 54.5.
Employment: Last 54.2.
New Orders: Last 51.4.
11:00: Fed policy decision:

 

Advice:
The ADP numbers helped the market this morning, but watch out for the Fed policy decision coming out at 11:00.

 

My position on MBS stays Neutral.

 

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch)

Here is the link to today's video:

 

 

"Houston, we have lift off". The economic pieces are now beginning to tell a different story. One of pockets of struggles and weakness. Weakness, in spite of 1 TRILLION dollars per YEAR of stimulus. Can you imagine what things would like without the gasoline being poured on this weak little campfire? I see clear sailing to 105. Hopefully a small correction and then a big move to all time interest rate lows. Buckle up and dont get greedy!

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasongordon.net or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's best mortgage rates