THE REAL PROBLEM IS THE ECONOMY, BUT, MOST OF ALL, THE HOUSING MARKET, STUPID!!
Many articles are being written stating that the stimulus package may have the “unintended” consequence of raising mortgage rates. Let's get it over with and move forward... this is slow torture.
Higher mortgage rates would make it even harder to get rid of the high inventories and existing homes in the market. This will delay any housing recovery.
Bill Gross is proposing that the FHA provide mortgages with a subsidized interest rate of say 4-5 percent and minimize, if not eliminate, the down payments. This way people would be able afford to buy not only a new home but an existing home... one that's already on the market... which we have a'plenty. Since it would be an FHA loan, a government agency would be overseeing the buyers. I think this is a marvelous idea and the only good idea I've heard to date.
Again, let me say, THE REAL PROBLEM IS THE ECONOMY BUT, MOST OF ALL, THE HOUSING MARKET, STUPID! I keep yelling hoping that someone high up in government will hear me.
Everyone has called for the government to intervene but does this intervention help the housing market which is the biggest problem that Americans have right now. We are seeing a sharp decline in housing. If it continues upwards to 20 percent, it will turn into a serious development. If it reaches the 20% mark, we haven’t witnessed anything like it in since the Great Depression in the 1930s. The government, so far, just doesn’t get it.
The Fed has lowered interest rates and will continue to probably do more and that helps out existing homeowners who have adjustable rate mortgages… if they don't have to adjust upwards and can begin to adjust downwards. It doesn't help the rest of the housing market.
Bond guru Bill Gross says we need more than a stimulus package. In a recent interview he is quoted as saying… “You could make an argument that the $500 or $1,000 rebate check would be spent to make mortgage payments. I can't dispute that, but for the most part, that program is a consumption-oriented program. [Taxpayers] will pay down credit cards, use it for gas, and that 30-year mortgage payment is just going to have to wait. It's OK as an emergency stopgap thing, but the real problem is in the housing market, and that's where Washington should be really focused. I get the sense they're beginning to get it.”
He has one of the best ideas I have read lately on what the government can do to help the housing market out. Again, the housing market is our biggest problem right now... we don't need the government sending us money, we need some real help... this really makes me furious with the government. Do they think we are stupid? Obviously, they do. They're throwing us a life preserver and we need a life boat. Too many people are in trouble.
So it's necessary for the government to essentially subsidize mortgages? “You need an interest rate below existing interest rates. Let's not get ridiculous, but with a 4.5 or 4 percent interest rate and 0 percent down for people who have demonstrated good credit and a willingness to pay on time. Let's get it over with and move forward. Otherwise, nobody knows for sure, but the futures market is projecting another close-to-10-percent decline in housing prices. If that's correct, we're really in trouble. We need to do something.”
The stimulus package is putting a band-aid on a serious problem that if not dealt with now will have serious repercussions in 12-14 months. The United States government is spending like a drunken sailor, and our children and grandchildren that are going to have to settle the tab. If they are going to spend, they need to learn to spend more wisely. Would Subsidized Mortgages help? I think it's a great idea.

Well there is another point too jan. I understand that small business owners like us will not be receiving a "rebate" while others who have not paid tax will in fact be getting this "rebate". But let's start by calling it what it actually is - WELFARE.
Secondly, this will help nothing. Substantial cuts in income tax are what is required and at the same time that is going on, substantial cuts in Government spending. As you rightly say, this is a bandaid on an amputation.