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Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – July 2013

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Commercial Real Estate Agent

Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – July 2013

By Michael Setunsky

Commercial Real Estate Absorption Rates for Prince William County are offered as a service of Michael’s Commercial LLC. The monthly absorption rates are categorized by the following Prince William County Zoning Districts:

  • B-1 (General Business District)
  • B-2 (Neighborhood Business District)
  • B-3 (Convenience Retail District
  • O(L) (Office Low-Rise District)
  • O(M) (Office Mid-Rise District)
  • O(H) (Office High-Rise District)
  • O(F) (Office/Flex District)
  • M-1 (Heavy Industrial District)
  • M-2 (Light Industrial District)
  • M/T (Industrial/Transportation District)
  • PBD (Planned Business District)
  • PMD (Planned Mixed Use District)

Commercial Absorption Rates are established by how many properties have sold during a given period of time (e.g., 365, 180, 90 and 30 days). Absorption rates also allow tracking trends in the market for any given number of days, weeks or months. These trends can indicate whether we may be in a Sellers Market, a Neutral Market or a Buyers Market. A monthly absorption rate of 5-6 is usually considered a Neutral Market. Anything below five is regarded as a Sellers Market and anything above six a Buyers Market.

  • Sellers Market                         1-4 Months Supply
  • Neutral Market                        5-6 Months Supply
  • Buyers Market                            7 Plus Months Supply

The following tables reflect the Monthly Commercial Absorption Rates* for respective Zoning Districts in Prince William County ending on July 31, 2013:

 Commercial Absorption Rate 1 07-31-13

Commercial Absorption Rate 2 07-31-13

Commercial Absorption Rate 3 07-31-13

  • Total Number of Properties on Market. The number of properties on the market during the reporting period.
  • Total Number of Sales. The total number of Sold properties during the given reporting period.
  • Monthly Absorption Rate. The rate at which the Sold properties were absorbed in the market on a monthly basis.
  • Inventory. The number of available properties as of the reporting date.
  • Months Supply. The number of months it will take the properties to sell based on the number of properties that have sold during the reporting period.
  • Chance of Selling. The rate at which the properties in the inventory will sell based on the percentage of the total properties on the market and the total number of sales.

The tables above indicate that the commercial real estate market in Prince William County has been minimal during this reporting period. There were two commercial property sales within the last 30 days. Twenty-one commercial properties are currently on the market, a net decrease of five properties listed since last reported. There is currently one property Under Contract, one property Under Contract w/No Kick Out and one property Under Contract w/Kick Out. We are presently in a Buyer’s Market.

  • General Business District – Minimal activity – There was a net decrease of one property during this reporting period. One property is currently Under Contract. One property is Under Contract w/No Kick Out and one property is Under Contract w/Kick Out. No properties have sold during this reporting period. Eighteen properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Neighborhood Business District – No activity –No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Convenience Retail District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Office Low-Rise District – Minimal activity – There was no net increase/decrease in properties during this reporting period. One property is currently in the inventory.
  • Office Mid-Rise District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Office High-Rise District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Office/Flex District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Heavy Industrial District – Minimal activity – There was a net decrease of one property during this reporting period. Two properties have sold during this reporting period. One property is currently in the inventory.
  • Light Industrial District – Minimal activity – There was no net increase/decrease in properties during this reporting period. Two properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Industrial/Transportation District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Planned Business District – Minimal activity – There was no net increase/decrease in properties during this reporting period. Two properties are currently in the inventory.
  • Planned Mixed Use District – No activity – No properties are currently in the inventory.

 

*The data presented here is compiled from information provided by the Metropolitan Regional Information System.

The information provided here is the author’s own interpretation of the Prince William County Commercial Real Estate market and makes no warranty or claim regarding the usefulness or implications from using this information.

Commercial Absorption Rates for Prince William County during the previous 12 months:

Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – June 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – May 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – April 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – March 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – February 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – January 2013
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – December 2012
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – November 2012
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – October 2012
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – September 2012
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – August 2012
Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – July 2012

 

Michael Setunsky is the Broker and owner of Michael's Commercial LLC serving the Northern Virginia commercial real estate market. He has been licensed since 1985 and a Broker since 1990. As a commercial real estate and business broker, he has earned the distinction for being one of the top commercial real estate producers in the Mid-Atlantic Region. He also served on the Mid Atlantic Real Estate Marketing Association's (MAREMA) Board of Directors as the Past President, and is a Commonwealth of Virginia licensed Instructor. He teaches Pre-licensing, Post Licensing Education, Broker's and Continuing Education courses. Visit his company web site at http://michaelscommercial.com/.

©2013 Michael’s Commercial LLC, All Rights Reserved – Commercial Absorption Rates – Prince William County – July 2013 – July 31, 2013

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Comments(18)

Conrad Allen
Re/Max Professional Associates - Webster, MA
Webster, Ma, Realtor

Hi Michael.  You work in a tough market.  Good luck.

Jul 31, 2013 08:49 PM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Conrad: Thanks and thank you for stopping by.

Jul 31, 2013 10:46 PM
Hella Mitschke Rothwell
(831) 626-4000 - Honolulu, HI
Hawaii & California Real Estate Broker

Michael: that is a whole lot of good information about your market's commercial absorption rate, and that it is by district.

Aug 07, 2013 01:41 AM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Hella: Thank you and thank your for the visit.

Aug 07, 2013 02:06 AM
Endre Barath, Jr.
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices California Properties - Beverly Hills, CA
Realtor - Los Angeles Home Sales 310.486.1002

Michael this are some telling numbers, I agree with Conrad!

Aug 07, 2013 11:42 AM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Endre: It is a tough market right now and it will only get better. Thanks for stopping by.

Aug 07, 2013 10:01 PM
Wayne Johnson
Coldwell Banker D'Ann Harper REALTORS® - San Antonio, TX
San Antonio REALTOR, San Antonio Homes For Sale

Michael-That is a information dense post you created. You have a nice historical vault to see trends over an extended period of time.

Aug 08, 2013 12:36 PM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Wayne: Thanks and I appreciate your comment. Thank you for stopping by.

Aug 08, 2013 12:42 PM
Jane Peters
Home Jane Realty - Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles real estate concierge services

Ah yes, a buyers' market.  I remember those days.  You really do provide your consumers with excellent market information, Michael.

Aug 11, 2013 02:18 AM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Jane: Yes, still a buyers market and lagging behind residential real estate. Thanks for the visit.

Aug 11, 2013 02:25 AM
1~Judi Barrett
Integrity Real Estate Services 116 SE AVE N, Idabel, OK 74745 - Idabel, OK
BS Ed, Integrity Real Estate Services -IDABEL OK
Michael, you always have such informative posts for your reads about the commercial absorption rates in northern Virginia!
Aug 13, 2013 12:02 PM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Judi: Thank you very much and thank you for stopping by.

Aug 13, 2013 10:15 PM
Charlottesville Solutions
Charlottesville Solutions - Charlottesville, VA

That is certainly a wealth of information about commercial absorbsion rates in your area.

Hope you are well,

Charles

Aug 13, 2013 11:12 PM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Charles: Glad to hear from you. Hope you are doing well too!

Aug 14, 2013 12:09 AM
Silvia Dukes PA, Broker Associate, CRS, CIPS, SRES
Tropic Shores Realty - Ich spreche Deutsch! - Spring Hill, FL
Florida Waterfront and Country Club Living
Michael, I like how you break out your report by the various zoning districts.
Aug 16, 2013 07:05 AM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Silvia: Thank you and thank your for stopping by.

Aug 16, 2013 07:28 AM
Joni Bailey
101 Main St. Realty - Huntsville, TX
Your Huntsville / Lake Livingston Area REALTOR®

Good Morning Michael! You are the commercial absorption rate king! :))))

Aug 19, 2013 12:46 AM
Michael Setunsky
Woodbridge, VA
Your Commercial Real Estate Link to Northern VA

Joni: Thank you very much! Your comment is much appreciated. Thank your for stopping by.

Aug 19, 2013 12:51 AM