This morning, an inflationary telling report came out called the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Index. This report is one of the large contributors to determing the Fed Funds Rate movement and it came in at 2.2%, just higher that the 2% the Feds like. Nothing to worry about by itself as it showed more moderation of inflationary pressures.
The problem is another part of the report which measures the spending habits of Americans, called the personal savings rate. This number came out in the "scary" range at a rate of negative 1.0%. WHy is that scary? It is the lowest rate since 1933, during the Great Depression. Something has got to give.
I look at the numbers and all I can say is it clearly shows that Americans need to find themselves a true mortgage planning professional, one that demonstartes their ability an knowledge, and find a way out of the hole people have dug, or are digging for themselves. There are a few here, both certified and not, that I would highly recommend.
For the non-mortgage planning professionals out there, I would suggest you align yourself with someone in your area to provide added value to your clients. By having a true mortgage planning professional that can help your clients own real estate the correct way and use their mortgage as a financial tool, it will reap more business for you.
27 Comments on Americans Just Can't Stop Spending
John...Thank you for your comments. Very well spoken.
Joan...Thank you for your comment. Mortgage planning has been around for years, but only recently has it started to come to the spotlight.
Basically it is a very focused method of financial planning with the focus on how to properly integrate one's mortgage into their overall financial and investment plans. Many "mortgage planners", like myself, started out in the financial planning arena and learned the concepts, most still do offer other financial services (I personally only do mortgages, but keep up with the financial strategies as well).
Yes, I toot my own horn a little, but I really try to educate people, like yourself, that mortgage planning is becoming more of a need and that borrowers should seek properly skilled experts in the mortgage field to ensure success. There are not a lot of "true" mortgage planners out there, so you must do your research to find one you like. AR is a great place to start.
Lauren...It is very scary and thanks for the comment.
Joanne...Yes, a good financial planner/advisor would be in order. You also hit on a very good point, no matter who mentioned it before (probably Broker Bryant though). Using your home as an ATM leads to financial destruction, not to mention to the homeless shelter.
However, when you use your mortgage as a financial tool, combined with a financial plan it can solve most financial problems. I go into more depth in my other posts.
What about the 401k money, the equity investments, the annuities, home equity, etc. that are not included in the savings stats.
Americans just don't dump their money in low interst savings accounts.
We don't do a lot of tradititional savings, but we do a LOT of investing.
Lenn
Rhonda...I encounter some clients that don't have the discipline either. Most of them, after some education, at least attempt to maintain discipline and implement a plan. For those clients, I implement a special program that maintains contact with them monthly and attempts to keep them on track. I have to believe that the report is representative that it is the American Way. Thanks for the contribution.
Lenn...Personal savings is calculated by taking the amount of personal income left after taxes are paid, an amount known as disposable income, and subtracting the amount of spending. Therefore, contributions to 401(k)s and the like are not factored in. Home appreciation is one of the reasons economists feel Americans are doing this, ie using the home as an ATM. They feel Americans have become complacent towards the need to save due to rapid appreciation in their homes. Other reasons are that Americans are trying to maintain their lifestyles despite the reduction in wage gains. On the whole, Americans are not investing or saving, according to the numbers. Thanks for the contributions.
personal savings rate. This number came out in the "scary" range at a rate of negative 1.0%
Does this rate take into account the "untapped equity" in investment properties ? I think that would dramtically impact that negative number.
Brian,
Thanks for visiting. Regarding "untapped equity", the answer would be no as this does not take into account home values and the amount of equity in real estate. That is one reason economists believe that Americans are in this state, meaning they are tapping into their equity and thus spending more than they actually earn. Thanks for the comment.
Very interesting. Where can I go to get more information about the story and a good planner?
John...This is a repeat of what my reply to this question asked by David...
"This is the basic story. Beyond this, you would best be served talking with a mortgage planner to better understand the concepts. Regarding where do you find one, Brian Brady, Karl Christen, Rhonda Porter, myself and some others have shown their qualifications and expertise in this area."
Robert, thanks for a sobering post. While I try to be an "investor" as opposed to a "consumer" it is darn hard. I have my investments, but I can't get away from the kids wanting their things. It took my own children 2 years to get their first iPods, but I finally gave in. It's not easy living in a throwaway society, where clothes get discarded because they're out of fashion, not worn out. Keeping up with the Joneses is an expensive endeavor.
Good work!
Interesting story. I don't know what a mortgage planner does. Don't think I've ever heard of one in my area. Maybe that will be your next blog???
Kaushik...The home piggy bank utilization for consumption is a bad deal for sure and will lead to financial destruction. People need to learn to tap equity only to provide inscreased safety, liquidity, and rate of return. Thanks for adding.
Maggie...Very good point. We are in a "throw away" society. No one will argue about buying things, just how you go about acquiring them and if you are in a position to do so in the first place. Thanks for the contributions.
Diane...You are not alone in not understanding what a mortgage planner does and how we differ. Without going into length, we basically keep up with financial strategies, tax codes as they apply to mortgages, investment startegies, and loan programs available in order to take the mortgage (use of home equity) and use it as a financial tool to achieve true financial freedom faster. Does that sum it up? You can also read some of my other posts for a better understanding and feel free to contact me with any questions. Thanks for the comment.
Very interesting article and a scary one. I've noticed a big difference the last few years at the malls. There never seemed to be soooooo many people, but there they are, milling around and spending money. The comment about how people look at the world the last 2-5 years about wanting everything and wanting it now is also true and scary. Everything is much too expliced, when Justin Timberlain comes out with a song, entitled "Bringing Sexy Back" and it climbs to the top of the charts withing a week, IT's SCARY!! The motto is I want it and I want it NOW!
PatriciaAulson/SEACOAST NH/ME REALTOR URL: www.patricia4realestate.com
That is one reason economists believe that Americans are in this state, meaning they are tapping into their equity and thus spending more than they actually earn
Not to be circular but now seems like a better time than ever to be talking to a mortgage originator about utilizing their "untapped equity" to buy appreciating assets.
Brian,
I couldn't have said it better. People need to find those mortgage planners now while they have time to implement a proper plan. Thanks for bringing it full circle.
I always tell people
who have a fami;ly doctor, a personal atty yet you dont have your own personal mtg consultant?
the right mortgage and person to do that is very important
well written
DOMINICK GACCINO
First Suffolk Mortgage Corp
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