The Market DEPENDS on the Circumstances Doesn't It?

The National News surely depicts an overall picture (so does NAR) of the housing market that is unrealistic. Why? How can anyone believe that this nationwide report will be the same for every state, county, city and neighborhood? It is unrealistic to report that 'nationwide' it is a beautiful market to buy or sell just as it is unrealistic to report that 'nationwide' it is a bad time to buy or sell. It depends on a wide variety of points doesn't it?

How about this?

  • Your Realtor ® will give you a clearer picture of the current market conditions in your specific area. Bad choice to have your loan officer, friends and family pretending they are the Realtor®. Might as well just watch the news right?
  • It depends on your circumstances if you are considering selling your home. Relocation to another state? Downsizing? Tragedy in the family?
  • It depends on your circumstances if you are considering buying a home. Relocation to Hawaii? Benefits of ownership vs. renting? Retiring? Downsizing?
  • It depends on the county, the city & the neighborhood for better market conditions to sell. Your Realtor ® will provide you with a Comparative Market Analysis for these specifics.
  • It depends on the county, the city & the neighborhood for room for negotiations for the buyer. Your Realtor® can give you a breakdown of the areas that you are considering.

 

As of February of 2008 the Oahu Housing Market has slowed down 40% in NUMBER of sales.The Oahu Housing Market has increased in prices since last year BUT ARE NOW STABLE. The table below will show you an increase/decrease in sales and prices to give you a better idea of our market on our Island of Oahu in HONOLULU COUNTY.  (These statistics DO NOT include new home sales)

 

MONTH, YEAR

SINGLE FAMILY / #

CONDO / #

  

February 2008

 

$599,000 / 163

 

$335,000 / 321

January 2008

$600,000 / 228

$324,000 / 324

December 2007

$610,000 / 240

$320,000 / 353

November 2007

$610,000 / 245

$315,000 / 379

October 2007

$655,000 / 265

$322,500 / 423

September 2007

$650,000 / 255

$335,000 / 414

August 2007

$650,000 / 381

$325,000 / 495

July 2007

$640,500 / 339

$335,000 / 457

June 2007

$685,000 / 338

$334,000 / 547

May  2007

$650,000 / 357

$325,000 / 543

April 2007

$665,000 / 342

$325,000 / 527

March 2007

$643,500 / 330

$321,000 / 541

February 2007

$614,500 / 272

$320,000 / 402

  

Statistics: Year-to-Year

  

-2.5% / -40.1%

  

4.7%  / -20.1%

Our inventory on OAHU is still modest due to fewer homes/condos being listed on the market.  For this reason it gives us a positive outlook because the inventory has NOT ballooned as in previous post-boom periods.

Just keep in mind that this too is an overall picture of our market in Honolulu County. (Which is the island of Oahu) and neighborhoods differ as well. For example, the prices for homes/condos in Mililani are stable whereas the prices in Ewa Beach have decreased a little and have a higher inventory overall. The number of Short Sales in Ewa are high whereas there are very few in Mililani. Newer, Older, Sq. Ft., Land Area and so forth are also to be considered.

                                                                                             IT JUST DEPENDS.

More Statistics on Neighborhoods:

FYI:  Honolulu Board of REALTORS® was established in 1922 and is one of the largest of 1,600 boards of REALTORS®.  With over 6,000 members on our island alone the Honolulu Board of Realtors ® is the largest trade organization on Oahu. The above statistics are from the Honolulu Board of Realtors ® and are taken from our Multiple Listing Service site.

 

If you're Relocating to Hawaii (regardless if it's near future or just wanting to be proactive for the future) contact me for a Hawaii Relocation Packet or Military Relocation Hawaii Packet!

                                       

                            Celeste "Sally" Cheeseman, RA, e-PRO / Century 21 Liberty Homes, Mililani, Hawaii

*Across the Ocean to Paradise: Military Relocations Hawaii*

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39 Comments on The Market DEPENDS on the Circumstances Doesn't It?

So true!!! NAR is NOT doing us any favors by spreading this.  We have been in difficult times for a FEW YEARS NOW.  Our sellers are understanding this is true and pricing correctly now.  It is a great time to buy in MI, especially Ann Arbor!  Phew. thank you for letting me get that off my chest.  ;-)

I feel better now.  Thanks.

03/04/2008 03:14 PM by Karen Moorhead Ann Arbor Area Real Estate (Keller Williams Realty)


Karen: To me it would seem like common sense that all markets differ....Jonathan Washburn ranted about this the other day.....the commercial NAR did for 'it's a great time to buy"....as if targeting all markets and buyers. It is in our clinet's best interests to know the facts...so they can decide :)

03/04/2008 03:18 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Well said Sis, I spoke to another prospective client today that cited The Media as their source for Real Estate Info and insight.  I hate to beat a dead horse but people need to start taking some 'News' with a grain of salt.  There is a big difference between 'News' & blatant ploys for ratings.

03/04/2008 03:55 PM by First Choice Equity Group Inc.


Sally- You go! Real estate is micro local! Wonderful post, the way you put it all together.

03/04/2008 03:58 PM by Nestor & Katerina Gasset, Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.)


Jason (lil bro): Ahh...that was to the point and right on target.....I say throw the crap out and get some real info...from real sources.

03/04/2008 03:58 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally- An excellent way to show that your area in Hawaii is different from my area over by Palm Springs, CA,  We aren't similar at all.....so as you said those Media Stories aren't right !!!!!  Hopefully when people  see this, they will give some serious thought into THEIR situation, and where they want to live. Then ask a Professional, like yourself how the Market is.

Wonderful Job....

03/04/2008 04:19 PM by CELLing Realty


Sally - Very wise words and this can not be stress enough..Real estate is local, local. local! What is happening in your market might not be true in mine. Sellers and buyers alike need the services of a local professional REALTOR to give them the up to date information they need to order make informed decisions.

 

03/04/2008 04:26 PM by Guilford Connecticut Real Estate Agent, Sandra Cummings (William Raveis Real Estate)


You're so right Sally.  The national stats are totally unrelated to and provide a false impression of our market. 

Geez.  Most of the stats mix Mont/DC and areas of southern MD or Hagerstown in the same group.

All I want to do is scream, "HEY, HAVE YOU EVER LOOKED AT A MAP?"

03/04/2008 04:57 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Sally - Amen - Stats are great but only if you understand how they were arrived at and what specifically they cover (location, type of property etc). How often we see the same stats used differently depending on the perspective of the person interpreting the stats. Just one more in the list of reasons a professional Realtor is your best source of real time information.

03/04/2008 05:08 PM by Kathy Clulow ASP® SRES® (RE/MAX Scugog Realty Ltd Brokerage)


Hi Sally,

You are a great source of information for consumers, real estate is local! :)

03/04/2008 05:16 PM by Suzanne Sands-Somerset, MA Real Estate (Century 21 Associates Realty)


Woo-Hoo: RIGHT ON!  NAR clumps every state into one pile and they might as well be pulling stats out of their ...well...out of something.    Most states are suffering, to be honest. However, the numbers still vary greatly state to state and in fact, county to county.

OH...and don't get my started on the media with their gloom and doom.Talk about not helping the housing situation. They are clobbering us!

Good post! 

 

03/04/2008 05:51 PM by Kathy "Kat" DeLong, REALTOR (WINDERMERE FINE PROPERTIES/LAKE ARROWHEAD)


Sally,  So true.  We as realtors know that real estate is local.  There are some area of the country that are noting double digit increases in home values while others are at the opposite end of the spectrum.  The media is definitely an issue and something that we will always have to deal with.  It's how we deal with it that counts.

03/04/2008 07:06 PM by Marc Grossman, GRI - Central Florida Real Estate Specialist (Keller Williams Premier Realty)


I couldn't agree more. I heard a mortgage company representative say recently that Illinois was a "declining market" when of course, is the would-be buyer buying property in every single town in Illinois, or in my local market? He needs to do his homework and not generalize an entire state and claim that as "the market"!!

03/04/2008 07:54 PM by Kelly Sibilsky - Lake Zurich, IL RE/MAX Real Estate Agent (RE/MAX Unlimited Northwest)


Kathy: I just irks me to see all this stuff while watching the news....5:30..national news and announcing that "nationwide"....then our local news comes on to clean up that act.....but it's 'island wide' or state wide....in any case...only the Realtor® can give up to date and accurate info to match the individual circumstances and needs of the client.

 

03/04/2008 08:32 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sandra: Local local local!!!!  Ha...that slang "location, location, location" comes to mind ...lol! In any case I know exactly how all of you feel....it is really depressing to watch our own Association buy into that crap and do commercials for ONE market.

03/04/2008 08:34 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Lenn: Even the stats above are island (Our island of Oahu) wide and from one neighborhood to the next are close together.......REAL close together :)  This is the kind of 'crap'...yes, I said 'crap' that do not paint the correct picture or a REAL market for all of us.  Why don't they add to the commercials and news stories to contact their local agent and local lender for proper representation??? 

03/04/2008 08:40 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Kathy: Even some of the stats I see here on AR are so varying for a WHOLE county that they are ridiculous. I could paint a picture of median sales of $350,000 to 3.5 million too...but is that accurate? Neighborhoods, counties and cities differ....even down to complexes and associations!

03/04/2008 08:42 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally, I wonder if the News people got "out in the trenches" to different areas if they would see things differently?  Or maybe saying there are areas that are stable wouldn't sell....

03/04/2008 08:46 PM by Carole Provenzale Owner, Feng Shui Long Island (Feng Shui Long Island)


Hi Suzanne!  It sure is local!  Thanks..hope you're doing well!

Kat; You're funny...you came back swinging all right! Good for you and glad you're doing well with your new life!

 

03/04/2008 09:16 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Marc: I know one thing...I deal with it with more facts...like my post :)  The fact of the matter is....it depends... :)

Kelly: The LO needs to just do his figures ...or else go get his RE licens lol!

03/04/2008 09:18 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Carole: I just think we need better representation in the media sector....so our side will get out there so the consumers go to the right source. I mean....do they go to the kiddie park when they should be at the hospital? 

03/04/2008 09:20 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally what you wrote makes perfect sense, but unfortunately the media has people looking at things on a national scale.  People need to listen to their local Realtor, and turn off the TV set.

03/04/2008 10:04 PM by George Souto (McCue Mortgage Co.)


Well done, Sally. Many of us continue to talk about how the market is so local and looking even regionally can distort, one way or the other, what is actually going on. And it keeps changing as well. Making sweeping generalizations is rather risky, as we all know.  

Jeff 

03/04/2008 10:58 PM by Jeff Dowler ~ Carlsbad Real Estate (RE/MAX Associates)


Applause! Very nice post about your local market. I hope your clients appreciate these details.

03/04/2008 11:47 PM by Lisa Hill (Daytona Beach REALTOR®) (Adams Cameron and Company)


Sally,

What a responsible post, keeping it real, keeping it local, telling it like it is.

Love it!

Audrey 

03/05/2008 12:44 AM by Audrey Hoffman, SimplyStage (SimplyStage)


Sally, you are right on with this analysis!  Now, if only consumers would listen, really listen!

P.S. - I'm watching the Military Relocation contest for some of those awesome Hawaii relo posts you do,  

03/05/2008 09:14 AM by Margaret Woda, Maryland REALTOR (RE/MAX VISION)


George: Yup...and listen to their appropriate professional as well...(i.e. LO, Escrow etc.)

Jeff: Sure is....so why does the media and NAR keep doing it?

03/05/2008 12:43 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Lisa: I thought so too....it's good to give the public insight that not all they see and hear on tv etc. is fact.

Thanks Audrey!

 

03/05/2008 12:44 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Why thank you kind Dan!

Margaret: Been busy the last few days but not to worry....Been working on it....it will be a part 2 if not 3 series :)

03/05/2008 12:45 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


I like your "buttons" on the bottom of your blog!  How did you do that?

03/05/2008 09:51 PM by Pete Castillejos-Hawaii Refinance or Purchase (808 Home Mortgage, Inc.)


Sally -- The new revisions to Article 12 of the Code of Ethics states that Realtors® must project a "true picture" of themselves in the advertising, marketing etc.  I am surprised that the current national commercial made it past Nar's legal team -- it certainly does not paint at "true picture" of the real estate market in many parts of the country.  What is up with that???

03/05/2008 11:10 PM by Joan Whitebook, ABR, e-Pro, CEBA (Buyer's Option Realty Services)


It is ALL ABOUT the LOCAL market!  Even different sides of town (or I suppose the Island) can vary greatly!

03/05/2008 11:30 PM by James Downing - REALTOR® - Washington DC Real Estate (Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage)


Hey Pete...you're cute. Copied and pasted from my website program :)

Joan: Beats me....all I can do is paint the TRUE picture in my own market just like the rest of you. Doesn't it just want you to go 'harumph"?

James: Yes it is!!! Neighborhoods, town, complexes and the like. Bottom line...a Realtor ® can and will give them the correct comps in whatever area.  

03/05/2008 11:49 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally, this is so timely and spot on!  I was just thinking about writing something along these lines.  I'm so tired of broad brush generalizations about real estate.  It is hurting both buyers and sellers and even communities!  By the way, I hope you are doing well!

03/06/2008 01:48 PM by Lake Norman Real Estate ~ Diane Aurit (RE/MAX at the Lake)


Diane: Me too.....it finally got to me enough to write.... Read Jon Washburn's post with the You Tube NAR commercial.

03/06/2008 02:15 PM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


Sally... we both agree on this, that every market is different. It is about local market and you would think NAR would understand this and stop with the national references.

jeff belonger

03/06/2008 11:46 PM by Jeff Belonger -- The FHA Expert.com -- New Jersey mortgage -- FHA mortgages (Infinity Home Mortgage Company, Inc)


Jeff: Because they chime in .,.....again, last night on national news they have an OVERALL foreclosure status of doom.....and that just is not the case all over the country....they need to get it right.

03/07/2008 11:11 AM by Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)


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Real Estate Agent: Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA),  Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation (Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii)
Celeste "SALLY" Cheeseman (RA), Hawaii Real Estate & Hawaii Relocation
Mililani, HI
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Century 21 Liberty Homes -Mililani, Hawaii

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