What's with the Fed's Securities Lending Program?

 

I did this restaurant's website years ago.  If you look really close at the bottom of the tomato you'll see my name! Very early this morning the Fed's announced they are increasing their Securities Lending Program by $200 billion.  Before the market opened, all financial stocks were up dramatically.

"So what is this Securities Lending Program and why should I care?"

Good question.  The buzzword you are going to hear is liquidity

In this we are talking specifically about the ability of big lenders to borrow money from somewhere (as in the secondary mortgage market), and lend money to somewhere (that would be you and me - the homeowner)

The Fed deals in Treasury dollars.  The Lenders deal in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS).  Remember that lenders sell pools of mortgages to investors packaged as Mortgage Backed Securities.  The prices investors pay for those pools determines what that lender can do or not do in the future.  If the investor dollars have stopped buying what your selling you might have an issue. 

I grow tomatoes in the summertime.  I love Heirloom Tomatoes and they dominate my garden every year.  Let's assume times are tough in the mortgage business.  Yeah right!

I decide to go into the tomato business.  I box all my tomatoes as they ripen and sell them to the local grocery store down the street.  The prices that the grocer will pay me fluctuate due to the demand, but overall I should make a pretty good return. 

It's the heat of summer, and I walk in with my prized Purple Cherokee's, Black Crims, and Green Zebras.  Sam, the grocer says he isn't buying, neither is Joe down the street, or Luigi across town!  They tell me that some FDA report came out saying tomatoes might cause excessive eyebrow hair growth.

heirlooms - YUM! Oh no!  What am I going to do with all these tomatoes?  My garden is wall to wall tomatoes!How am I going to pay my water bill if I don't get cash for all these damn tomatoes?

I have a liquidity problem.  That's where Lenders are right now.

The Securities Lending Program allows "primary dealers" (big lenders) to exchange mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and other debt instruments for Treasury securities. 

Going back to my tomatoes.  Although the market for my tomatoes has dried up today, we all know it'll come back someday in the future (we hope).  The Feds have a program that allows big Tomato Dealers like me, who's market has dried up, to trade in some of those bushels in exchange for something else (let's say, apples). 

Now follow along, we're going to move quickly here...

Luckily the water company accepts apples as payment.  I exchange some of my boxes of tomatoes for apples.  I then pay the water company and keep the water flowing to my garden.  My existing tomato plants don't shrivel up and die.  The news comes out that the FDA story was incorrect and heirloom tomatoes actually increase a certain part of the male anatomy.  Suddenly Sam, Joe, and Luigi are all calling me for my Tomatoes! 

That's what the feds hope will happen with the mortgage market.

Wow!

(all puns intended)

 


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37 Comments on The Fed's Securities Lending Program and my Tomatoes

MAR
11
2008
133,815 Points 10 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Here's to keepin' the water turned on (and hoping PIMCO was right yesterday when they said to expect buyers in the MBS market in the next couple of weeks)... 
10:44am • #1
1 Featured Post
Wow - thanks for the tuturial, much appreciated! 
10:44am • #2
102,567 Points
Great explanation and analogy of this move by the Feds Mike. Hopefully this move will stimulate the housing market, which in turn will stimulate the ecomony as a whole.  My wife used to live in Walnut Creek, beautiful little town.  We'll get this thing back on track. A nice steady market would be great for everyone.
10:51am • #3
218,123 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eleanor - You betcha!

Tiffany - My pleasure.

Jerry - Thanks for the kind words.  WC seems so big to me now (I grew up here).  Funny, I also do business with another Murphy with your name... Geri Murphy

Interestingly the feds just said they could increase the size of this program at any point in the future.

 

 

11:13am • #4
3 Featured Posts
Mike, well said and easy to understand, now if we can keep the Tomatos from going bad before the market improves
11:22am • #5
167,315 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Mike, This is one of the best explinations I have seen if not the best one!.. Keep'em coming
11:39am • #6
135,718 Points Localism Sponsor
The 200B certainly helped the stock market, hope now it helps the RE market
12:29pm • #7

Hope all of the items in this stimilus basket are not like fruit.  Thanks for the analogy and still we wait.

 

 

1:15pm • #8
356,837 Points 11 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Great analogy.  Tomatoes I understand!  Good blog.
1:31pm • #9
107,178 Points 8 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Hit Router

Mike, you have given us the best explanation of this mess yet.  Thanks!

1:40pm • #10
170,562 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Mike,  Love your analogy!  Think it will work?  I understand the concept, but...
1:41pm • #11
382,808 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Hey Mike, thanks for that Economics lesson for today and for the new education which I've received. Do you believe the $200 Billion will help? Personally, it doesn't sund like enough money.

Sean Allen

1:42pm • #12
594,813 Points 34 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Good explanation.  I guess my tomato sauce diet is helping and hurting me...

Or not.  

1:57pm • #13
279,678 Points 29 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
GREAT analogy...it really makes everything quite clear and easy to understand.  It will be interesting to watch this in action
2:02pm • #14
191,954 Points 11 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Mike, You explained that so, so well. I am watching this very closely. Keep us updated, if you please, with your great explanation and analogy.
2:12pm • #15
1 Featured Post
Yeah, now what happens when those souring mortgage backed securities continue to default in the FED's hands, the 200 billion is all spent up, our money becomes virtually worthless, and the appetites of our nations investors still shy away from MBS? Further devaluation of our currency at the same time that we are struggling with inflation, losses of jobs, and stagnant wages... I know that everyone thinks its a great idea today, but that will pass when the reality sets in.
5:30pm • #16
1 Featured Post

I think the government should explain it exactly like your last paragraph!  Let me buy some Levitra stock beforehand...;)

Great post, I learned enough to help certain clients better understand how this mortgage mess may play out...

5:48pm • #17
303,385 Points 15 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Mike,
Tomatoes, apples...just bring me hungry clients.  LOL
8:51pm • #19
480,278 Points 151 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Mike... I agree with Matt Blum... not only was it a great explanation, but the analogy was awesome. Talk about an easy explanation and something that most consumers could understand without getting lost. Now, the question would be, could I turn in the tomatoes and apples for box seats to the Eagles games for the season?  lol    Seriously, awesome job... I enjoyed it. Now get back to your tomato garden, we need to keep the mortgage business flowing...

jeff belonger
8:57pm • #20
149,727 Points 7 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Can you send me a box of them maters?

 

9:19pm • #21
Mike:  I think what the Feds were saying through example by using the MBS as collateral to borrow money is that they are good collateral.  The MBS have been much maligned (and some one is making a ton of money off the bad press).  One third of all the homes are "paid OFF".  We are still only talking about 1.5 - 2% of the (2/3) of homes that have mortgages.  It is an over reaction in the market place and perhaps we will see much later that it was an orchestrated move by some market movers.  It becomes a problem when "fear" drives the engine.  Ben did the right thing, it had gotten to the point that banks didn't want to loan money to other banks.  Great post.  Patti - California
9:56pm • #22
362,844 Points 9 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Very interesting.  Your tomato analogy was great.  I didn't understand the significance and now I see what you are talking about.  Perhaps the economy could use some viagra.
10:31pm • #23
266,173 Points 59 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Mike - I'll come back and make my 'real' comment.  From what I see, you still remain one of the best contributors from our side of the Real Estate Industry I've saw and read.  Like a Poor Man's Arnold, "I'll be back..."
10:52pm • #24
277,600 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
Mike, very informative and an interesting analogy.  It also illustrates how fickle markets  can get, sometimes for silly reasons.
11:27pm • #25
MAR
12
2008
Great explanation of this move by the Fed. (And I thought the Fed Reserve defied ALL reason)
1:23am • #26

Gosh, I hope this isn't a dumb question but isn't it the MBS that are at risk - if bankruptcy judges can modify the terms of a loan, and the government can order lenders to modify or reduce rates or fix rates that were adjustable, etc etc - doesn't that have a signifigant impact on the value of the MBS?

On a much, much simpler level - I loan money to homeowners that need a small cash infusion to reinstate their mortgage.  The homeowner and I agree on rate & terms.  I would have to add another element of risk (in lending) if it were possible for the government or a judge to come along and say this homeowner doesn't owe me as much as he agreed to pay. 

So, am I understanding that the Feds are increasing the Securities Lending Program on one hand but, on the other hand, while looking for ways to forestall the foreclosure tidal wave, they are undermining the value of MBS?

 

 

7:19am • #27
P.S.  Love your tomato analogy!
7:19am • #28
224,760 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
What an excellent post---I wish I was your neighbor to share those tomatoes. 
7:23am • #29
218,123 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Joe Adams - Keep them cool and dark but never in the Fridge. 

Matthew J Blum - My pleasure, thanks!

Richard Lecinski - it all depends on the percieved and real liquidity.  You did see that the Feds also came out and said, "We've got more if we need to!"?

Roger, Barabara, Michelle - You are welcome. 

Marc Grossman  Sean Allen - I hope so.  Only time will tell.

Lane - You too?  LOL

Diane, Mana - Thanks for your kind words.

Christopher - That's a good question.  It's compounded by the fact that the Lenders are not actually selling the MBS but using them as collateral.  I heard from somewhere that they are able to value the MBS at 100% face value fully knowing they will not perform anywhere near that.  

However, the issue in this is liquidity or lack of it.  The Feds have very little in the toolbox.  Fed Funds rate is one, this is another.  I have no problem with this if it helps.  It isn't going to fix it all, but if it helps - good.

Joe Hayden - Thanks.  Maybe it's just all those late night commercials I watch (oh and the 300 spam messages I get daily)

Ann Cummings - Me too.  I can't wait.  I've been saving up plastic gallon milk jugs (they become little hot houses for seedlings)

Cynthia Tilghman - I have plenty of hungry clients, the problem we have as loan officers is that we go to the cupboard and the cupboard is bare.  Liquidity allows the Lenders to send the programs we need to market.  It's those programs that stock our cupboards.

 

 

7:32am • #30
218,123 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Jeff Belonger - You bet.  Thanks for the compliment.

Tom Burris - You bet.  I suggest the assorted case unless you have a specific dish in mind.

Patti Geib - Thanks.  Yes the MBS is used as collateral in this instance.  Did Ben do the right thing? Only time will tell.  But we do need liquidity.

Joan Whitebook - Viagra, Cialis, or Livitra.  Isn't it great to have a conversation about the Feds, Tomatoes, and Wiener drugs all at the same time?  LOL

Jason Sardi - I know you will. 

Brian Schulman - Thanks!

Angela Graviss - Unfortunately, Transparency and the Fed don't go together well.

Wendy Smith - In answer to your question, yes it would.  I'll see what I can find out (if I have time) about the valuation model of the MBA in this transaction but as I said in an earlier comment I heard that the lenders get to value them at face value. 

If that's true that means the feds are taking somewhat a risk.  It's like lending a homeless person $100 bucks for a week because they told you they were going to sell their shopping cart to Toothless McGee next Monday for $200.  In that situation - who's taking the risk?

Not that the Lender is akin to a homeless person, and not that you are the Fed, but the idea is the same.  We lend the money to them in the hope that he does sell the cart for $200.  In the meantime we've given him liquidity.  Maybe he has enough liquidity to go out and get a job and get off the street.

Diane Bell - Thanks!  I have some neighbors that do not like Tomatoes at all.  Then I have others that'll take everything I have.  I'm not sure which ones I like better.  LOL

 

8:00am • #31
244,417 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Mike,

Thanks for making it simple for us simple people. I actually get it!

Mike, when do you see a rebound in the California market? I ask that because the rest of the country follows California a short time later!

9:52am • #32
218,123 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Mike - I'm just a simple Tomato Farmer.  What do I know?  

You don't want to try and peer into my crystal ball.  It's all murky and muddy in there. 

 

9:59am • #33
121,298 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog
LOL....hmmmm....a certain part? That was a great analogy. I followed along easily! Thanks for explaining. I wish I could pay my water bill with apples...hehe
12:15pm • #34
266,173 Points 59 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Mike - Bravo to you!  Great explanation of how things work with what is going on and a simple one at that.  My gut guess is this will help, at least a little.  Time is the only teller though. 

On another note, luckily I don't like tomatoes, so I can avoid the excessive eyebrow hair growth thing going round;-)

12:56pm • #35
164,128 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router
Great analogy--I understand better when I can picture it in my mind.  Just thinking though...what about marketing purple ketchup?
8:32pm • #36
212,994 Points 39 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Good one Mike. Of course the "real" lender liquidity problem is that what is there and available (street level) is no longer liquid because it is frozen by fear. Someone with more reach than I borrowed my premise of "Fearcession" instead of recession. That $200,000,000,000? Since it is available on discount T auction to the highest level lenders it probably won't do much good on the street unless we increase domestic demand because of two things: It is available in 28 day loans to international banks who operate on the Euro - and today $200b is worth $129b in Euros - hmmm). So we made available $129b Euros to international prime dealers to hold at treasury rate for 28 days and accepted what as collateral? Oh, GSE issued mortgage pools! Oh I am just loving this time in our industry. Yes, Ben did the best thing they could think of to do - will it have the desired interim effect? I wait and watch ... lest we forget the MI companies and their pain. 
11:52pm • #37

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