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Mortgage Rate Update 9-3-13: Trends Projections & Today's Best Rates

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

Since the US did not launch a military strike in Syria over the weekend, investors have partially reversed flight to safety trading. This action has helped stocks, but hurt bonds. The end result to mortgage rates this morning was a significant worsening of roughly 0.500 - 0.625 worsening in points/credits. We have slightly improved since this morning's extreme movements. See below charts for details.

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back over 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze...share this report with those whom you care about!

Jason E. Gordon - Mortgage Rate Update - www.jasongordon.net

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Thursday 8-29-2013 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Wednesday with a WORSENING to pricing.  Wednesday's WORSENING netted a change of 6 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

 Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows the activity thus far for today:

 Today's Best Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 Today's Best Mortgage Rates - Jason E Gordon - www.JasonGordon.info

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

 Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trennery)

FNMA 30-Year:
3.0 Coupon: Open 95.8281 Change 0.0938
3.5 Coupon: Open 99.9531 Change 0.1094
4.0 Coupon: Open 103.2969 Change 0.0781
 
Treasuries:
5 Year: Open 99.5234 Change 0.0547 Yield 1.5980
10 Year: Open 97.7344 Change -0.0000 Yield 2.7620
30 Year: Open 99.3906 Change -0.0156 Yield 3.7140
 
Key Economic Data
EUR/USD: Open 1.3218 Change -0.0022
GBP/USD: Open 1.5484 Change -0.0020
USD/JPY: Open 98.190 Change -0.150
Oil: Open 107.88
 
Key Economic Data:
PCE for Jul
Personal consump: Actual 0.00%, Last 0.1%, revised 0.2%.
Personal Income: Actual 0.1%, Consensus 0.2%, Last 0.3%.
Consumption adjusted: Actual 0.1%, Consensus 0.3%, Last 0.5%, Revised 0.6%.
Core PCE price index yy: Actual 1.2%, Last 1.2%.
Core PCE price index mm: Actual 0.1%, Consensus 0.2%, Last 0.2%.
PCE price index yy: Actual 1.4%, Last 1.3%
PCE price index mm: Actual 0.1%, Last 0.4%.
6:45: Chicago PMI for Aug: Consensus 53.0, Last 52.3.
6:55; Univ of Mich Final for Aug
Sentiment: Consensus 80.5, Last 80.0
Condition: Consensus 91.0, Last 91.0.
Expectation: Actual 72.9, Last 72.9.
7:30: ECRI weekly index: Last 131.1.
 
Advice:
 
Treasuries headed a fourth monthly decline, the longest losing streak in more than two years, as signs the U.S. economy is recovering backed the case for the Federal Reserve to reduce stimulus. This weeks five- and seven-year note auctions attracted the least demand in four years before reports today that economists said will show consumer spending and business activity both increased. Treasuries trimmed their monthly decline this week as investors weighed the prospect of U.S. military action against Syria. The data has been pretty decent, said Allan von Mehren, chief analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. We have seen some safe-haven flows on the conflict in Syria but the Fed tapering story is still there. We still believe we are on track for tapering in September.
 
My position on MBS stays Neutral.

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch)

Some good economic news both here and internationally has caused an unpleasant opening for bonds. I would expect things to get a bit worse and that we will go back down to test the previous lows. :-(
 
I dont think we are seeing the full effect of these higher rates in many of the recent indicators. Things are also very ugly in Greece...both of these items still lead me toward a mid and longer term bullish sentiment.
Here is today's video:
 

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasongordon.net or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

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