User92162_1_t D. Patrick Lewis
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The February 25th article in Time magazine entitled "Ignore the Headlines" makes a great case for not waiting to buy, stocks or real estate.  There are many home buyers and investors waiting to buy right now because the real estate market is in a slump, they are trying to time the market just right to maximize their profits.  The only problem with that strategy is that it seldom works, especially if your buyers will need financing to complete the transaction.  Interest rates and financing costs will rise as housing sales increase, therefore trying to time the market may not pay off as well as your buyers would like.

For example,  if a buyer purchases a home today for $218,900, putting 20% down and getting a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage at 5.5%, the monthly payment would be $994.31.  However, if a buyer purchases a home in 12 months for $197,010 at an interest rate of 6% on a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage the payments will be $994.94.

Therefore, if you wait to buy, you may get the home for a lesser purchase price but your payments and financing costs will have increased so that any monies you gained in the purchase price are cancelled out by the increase in financing costs.

However, here in Scottsdale, I don't see this being a problem due to the fact that even in a down market Scottsdale and other parts of the Valley still experienced double digit appreciation in the past year. 

 

 

2 Comments on Ignore the Headlines, Thanks Time Magazine

Hi Patrick,

Yes, this is a great article.  In fact my partner and I e-mailed that very same article out to all of our prospective clients, friends, and family.  We also have it posted it on our website as well.

The aspect I like about the article is the opinion is coming from Peter Lynch who in essence is an outsider to the real estate industry.  But he can still recognize buy and sell signals in a market even if it is not in his area of expertise. Which I believe lends the article even more creditbility.  Oftentimes publications will print quotes from industry insiders who have a vested interest in the performance of the market.  So it makes consumers skeptical.  This was good.

03/20/2008 09:52 AM by Jerry Murphy (Windermere Real Estate)


Welcome to Active Rain, Patrick!

I've heard about this article, so I'm thrilled you posted it.  I woke up thinking about creating the comparison of buying now and waiting, just as you've done.  The one other thing that I was thinking about adding in was income tax savings.

03/22/2008 07:09 AM by Dru Bloomfield | Scottsdale AZ Real Estate (John Hall & Associates)


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Real Estate Agent: D. Patrick Lewis (John Hall & Associates)
D. Patrick Lewis
Scottsdale, AZ
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