Federal Funds Rate Drop v.s. 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

 One of the biggest misconceptions in the mortgage and Real Estate industries is the fact that the when the Federal Funds Rate is dropped that it also means there will be a corresponding rate drop in 30 year fixed rate mortgages. People wake up - It does NOT! In fact many times the exact opposite occurs.

I can't even tell you the number of times I have been hearing lately people making the comment "Hey the Fed is thinking of dropping the rates again...Mortgage rates should be heading down". What can be even more shocking is when Realtors don't realize how things work either! A good Real Estate agent should have at least a basic understanding of how the mortgage market works - Many do not!

The underlying belief is that lower 30 year fixed rates stimulate sales. This of course is true but there is a disconnect between this happening when the government cuts the Federal Funds Rate.

Since January the Federal Funds Rate has been cut a number of times. In January, 30 year fixed rate mortgages stood at around 5.5%. In March they been moving around between 6.25% and 6.5%. So since January when the Federal Funds Rate was cut longer term interest rates have moved up between 3/4% to 1%. This is the perfect illustration of why there is no connection.

The Federal Funds Rate helps determine what banks charge each other for over night loans. Long term rates (30 year fixed) are mostly tied to the ten year treasury yield which is determined by bond traders. Inflation drives long term mortgage rates.  When bond traders demand higher long term rates it drives up long term mortgage rates too.

There is a much bigger correlation between The Federal Funds Rate and short term mortgage vehicles know as adjustable rate mortgages (ARMS).

These rates tend to move closer in step to the Federal Funds Rate. The adjustable rate mortgage market is influenced by a number of measures including the one year treasury yield and the International Libor.

So the next time you hear "The Fed is dropping rates" Do not assume that 30 year fixed rates will also drop!

___________________________________________________________________________________________________________

The above information regarding mortgage rates was provided by Bill Gassett, the team leader for the #2 RE/MAXRE/MAX Executive Realty Hopkinton MA Team in Massachusetts in 2006.

Bill can be reached via email at billgassett@remaxexec.com or by phone at 508-435-5356. Bill has helped people move in and out of Hopkinton Massachusetts and other Metrowest towns for the last 22 Years. Bill's office is conveniently located in the center of Hopkinton MA at 77 Main Street.

I have a passion for Real Estate and love to share my marketing expertise! I would welcome the opportunity to earn your business.

Selling your home in Metrowest Massachusetts see Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate. Want to have MLS access to beat other buyers to your dream home? Sign up with no obligation at my MLS Property Finder Site.

I service the following towns in Metrowest MA: Hopkinton, Milford, Upton, Southboro, Westboro, Ashland, Holliston, Mendon, Hopedale, Medway, Grafton, Northbridge, Uxbridge, and Framingham MA.

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55 Comments on Federal Funds Rate Drop v.s. 30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

Hi Bill. As a REALTOR of 10+ years, I must admit that I just learned this a few weeks ago from a mortgage broker friend of mine. Glad you saw to post it as I think I'm not alone.

03/25/2008 06:40 PM by Link Moser


BILL - I flagged this for a feature.  This is something that I deal with regularly with buyers, and I'm sure that many agents are unaware of how the rates work.  Many agents don't take the time to learn basic mortgage knowledge, and then they misinform the public with their opinions that are not based on fact.  Great post, Bill!

03/25/2008 06:41 PM by Adam Waldman - Long Island Real Estate (RE/MAX)


Bill - I love this post, Wish I could print it out and hand it to buyers. I just again explained this to another client...so many consumers do not understand this. Adam is right this should be feature. I'm flagging it also.

 

03/25/2008 06:45 PM by Guilford Connecticut Real Estate Agent, Sandra Cummings (William Raveis Real Estate)


Link it just came to my attention recently how few people really know how the mortgage market works. I have always been interested in finances and the stock market so it was something I have been aware of for a long time.

03/25/2008 06:47 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Adam - Thanks for the flag I really appreciate it! It does make you wonder how some people can be in the Real Estate industry and not take the time to understand the basics. I ahve had to correct quite a few Realtors who have made misleading comments about this subject.

03/25/2008 06:50 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Sandra - Thanks! You can print it out :) Why not make your own post. I am sure your readers would appreciate it. There are so many that don't realize how things really work in the mortgage market!

03/25/2008 06:52 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill, great post. I know this info but have a tough time trying to explain it in the best terms - I like how you have done that! I would love to post a link to this from my outside blog.

03/25/2008 07:01 PM by Jo Soss | Bremerton WA Real Estate (Skyline Properties, Inc.)


Thanks Jo! I have  no problem if you want to link to it from your other blog - that would be great!

03/25/2008 07:11 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Hi Bill,

Great info as usual on your part. And truthfully it's easy to understand why this is so confusing for consumers. They just hear something like this on the news and expect it to impact their loan application.

03/25/2008 08:45 PM by Orange Co. Real Estate~Lynda Eisenmann, Broker-Owner, Brea, CA (Preferred Home Brokers)


Bill, I hear it too, which just goes to show that most consumers don't understand the mortage business and it is prudent for lenders to explain very carefully all terms and conditions.

03/25/2008 08:52 PM by Missy Caulk Ann Arbor Real Estate (Keller Williams Ann Arbor, Michigan)


Lynda - Thanks. I think it is perfectly understandable that a consumer might not know but a Realtor should! It is our job as professionals to provide accurate knowledge. This is basic mortgage information that anyone that has been in the business for a few years should know. I wrote about this topic because I have heard so many Realtors speaking about this without a clue what they were talking about.

Missy - Agreed but as professional Realtors we should also be educating consumers. 

03/25/2008 08:58 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill- We should have some knowledge in mortgages because then we know when our clients are being taken for a ride:) and can warn them. I have many times.

03/25/2008 09:40 PM by Nestor & Katerina Gasset, Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.)


Katerina - You are so right! This is another topic we should all be familiar with. Having a good trustworthy mortgage rep to refer your clients to is really important.

03/25/2008 09:46 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill, when I started in real estate I actually had a few agents tell me not to really get involved with the financing end of the transaction...that's why we do what we do, and the mortgage people do what they do. Boy, they were sure wrong!! I think it's imperative to know the mortgage industry. I think we should learn whatever we need to so we can be a more responsible REALTOR for our clients.

I agree with Adam..this needs to be featured and I will send a flag as well.

03/25/2008 09:46 PM by Linda Scanlan (The Real Estate Referral Company)


Linda all of us Realtors should have at least a basic understanding of mortgages. We don't need to know mortgages like a mortgage broker does but we should be able to educate and answer our clients questions accurately. Thanks for your vote on a feature...it would be nice :)

03/25/2008 10:00 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill,

This is one of the clearest explanations I've seen! I think it's very important that Lenders and REALTOR®'s alike understand this information. After all, consumers look to us for confidence in handling their transactions. If we don't know and understand what we're doing, how are they to feel confident? 

Best,


03/26/2008 04:20 AM by Ricardo Bueno - Los Angeles, CA (World Wide Credit Corporation)


Bill, that gold star sure looks good on you!   Congrats on your feature!   :-)

03/26/2008 05:13 AM by Linda Scanlan (The Real Estate Referral Company)


Excellent excshplanation of this confusing topic. Very succinct. Well-posted. Well done! :-)

03/26/2008 05:18 AM by Mara Hawks, REALTOR®, Auburn Alabama Real Estate - Lee County (FIRST REALTY)


Bill It is so true, but even some real estate professionals think it does.  I did a post a while back and I had a real estate professional tell me I was wrong!

03/26/2008 06:11 AM by Russ Ravary-- Michigan Homes for sale-- Your local Real estate & Mortgage person (Remerica Hometown One)


Bill,

It's just another smoke screen so the consumer thinks the mortgage rates are dropping...so far since they announced the last few...I haven't seen too much light at the end of the tunnel.

03/26/2008 06:18 AM by Neal Bloom-Realtor ® Assoc.-CRS-Weston FL (RE/MAX Premier Associates)


Great blog.  So many folks don't know this and it's tough to get folks to understand the concept!

03/26/2008 06:18 AM by Cree Quaker - Ulster County Real Estate (Barqua Real Estate & Design, LLC)


Ricardo thanks I am glad the explanation for easy to understand as I am I will be able to help a few consumers understand how things really work.

Linda - Thanks for your support,,,much appreciated :)

Mara - Thank you Thank you!

Sandra - Thanks a million for your support and marking for feature.

03/26/2008 06:45 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


You said it perfectly, in fact I have just booked marked this post! This is hard to explain to clients and I want to be able to send them to your post!

Nice work my friend

03/26/2008 06:46 AM by Charles McDonald / Your Trusted Agent for Charlottesville Real Estate (RE/MAX Assured Properties)


Russ I am not surprised a Realtor told you you were wrong at all. I was listening to multiple Realtors making comments that were completely false. It does really make you stop and think about all the mistakes that Real Estate agents make when they speak about things that they are not 100% sure about. Sometimes it is better to be a good listener.

03/26/2008 06:48 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Neal that is one of the most frustrating parts of it all. I have had some of my seller clients actually resist making a price change because they hear on the news that the fed is dropping the rate and assume incorrectly that long term mortgage rates are coming down too.

Cree - Thanks. It can be challenging at times because people hear things from so many different sources and don't know what to believe. It is our job as professionals to keep them informed about what the truth is.

Charles - Thanks! Feel free to make a post and link to it if you like :)

03/26/2008 06:53 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Excellent information Bill. I'm glad this is featured so hopefully more agents will get to see it...obviously there are some misconceptions out there.

03/26/2008 07:29 AM by Monika McGillicuddy~ N.H. Real Estate Broker & Trainer (Prudential Verani Realty/Hampstead)


Bill, it's important that this type of information gets disseminated to the housebuying public.  I cringe every time a client tells me "The Fed just lowered rates so I should be able to get a great mortgage rate."

03/26/2008 08:14 AM by Brian Block -- Northern Virginia & D.C. Real Estate (RE/MAX Allegiance)


So true! This is a popular misconception about the 30 year fixed rates. Very helpful blog! Thanks!

03/26/2008 08:28 AM by Kirk Westervelt - Greenville, SC Realtor (Keller Williams)


Bill - I was among those who shared that misconception. I've gotten to learn quite a bit through this changing market.

03/26/2008 08:36 AM by Tom Plant - Murrieta Real Estate Expert - Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage (Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage)


Monika thanks there sure are misunderstandings about how the mortgage market works.

Brian - I hear the same thing all the time as well. It seems I have to explain this misconception all the time.

03/26/2008 08:36 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Great info Bill, So many people say oh fed cut rates interest should go down, uh no. You are so right us as realtors need to know this information. We are there to help our clients understand if we are feeding them the wrong information what justice are we doing for them.  GREAT POST !!!

03/26/2008 08:44 AM by Shannon Whitley RE/MAX OAK CREST REALTY (RE/MAX OAK CREST REALTY)


I just wrote a newsletter about this subject.  It's a little difficult for buyers and sellers to comprehend how mortgage rates function.

03/26/2008 08:45 AM by Diane Bell, Hilton Head Real Estate, Bluffton (Charter 1 Real Estate, Hilton Head, Bluffton, SC)


I have been explaining this to clients the last few months. Everytime I see a rate cut, I cringe.

03/26/2008 09:11 AM by Jennifer Kirby (Exit Realty Eden Prairie)


Bill - When I read the first half of your post I thought to myself that you are a mortgage professional and I was pleased with the way that you worded the post. As a mortgage professional I know that what you say here is true and I personally cringe when I hear that the FED is cutting the FED Funds rate. I know that immediately after there will be a couple of dozen calls from people mentioning that they just heard that the FED cut interest rates and expecting me to give them some kind of a miracle rate. When I read the second half of your post I realized that you are a Realtor® and I was again pleased that a Realtor® has such a good working knowledge on some of the stuff that affects us mortgage pro's on a day to day basis. I could not agree with you more when you stated that all Realtor's® should have a working knowledge of the mortgage industry and how it works. Good post... I hope everyone in the world reads it and stops begging me for a 4% rate and scoffing when I tell them that they qualify for a 6.25%.

03/26/2008 09:14 AM by Christopher Ohlsen (Lake City Mortgage)


I couldn't agree more.  I know it is complicated, but all real estate agents should an understanding of the how the mortgage industry works.  As far as the public goes, it is shocking to me that some very smart people don't get this either.  

03/26/2008 09:18 AM by Michael Taylor (Rebate Real Estate)


Great post, Bill.

What's just as sad is when the Fed lowers its Federal Funds rate, the local news is just as confused as most other people.  It's a constant education process in explaining to people how it all works.

03/26/2008 09:59 AM by


Great post, Bill.

What's just as sad is when the Fed lowers its Federal Funds rate, the local news is just as confused as most other people.  It's a constant education process in explaining to people how it all works.

03/26/2008 10:01 AM by Dan Weis Cincinnati Ohio Real Estate (RE/MAX Unlimited)


AMEN!  Now how do we get this info out to the public?  Would any newspapers or television news networks pick it up? 

03/26/2008 10:02 AM by Tony Fantis, Realtor , ABR, Associate Broker - Salt Lake City (RE/MAX Associates - Fantis Group)


Kirk - Thanks I appreciate it.

Tom - Well I am surprised to hear that. I know you are big on Real Estate education.

Shannon, Diane, & Jennifer - Every Realtor should have the basics down when it comes to mortgages and how the markets operate. This is a subject where there is always misconceptions.

03/26/2008 10:51 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Chris I can see where this would create a dilema for you as well. Unfortunately many home sellers believe the same thing. They hear the fed is dropping the fed rate and expect that long term rates will drop creating more demand for their properties.

03/26/2008 10:55 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Mike agreed. We don't need to have the same in depth knowledge as a banker but we should know the basics.

03/26/2008 10:57 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Thanks for the input. Sometimes information like this slips away or is never learned. Keep on trucking! 

03/26/2008 08:29 PM by Alan Robinson (PTE REAL ESTATE GROUP)


Your welcome... thanks for dropping in and adding your comment Mike.

03/26/2008 09:16 PM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Hi Bill, I have had a lot of people say the same thing about mortgage rates will be going down because the fed is dropping the rate. Good post.

03/26/2008 09:45 PM by Megan McGonigal - Cecil County, MD & Harford County, MD real estate (RE/MAX Integrity)


Megan it really is a wide spread misconception amongst the general public. We just need to continue to educate.

03/27/2008 06:30 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Hey Bill,

Yes real estate agents do need to have basic information about real estate motgages. I meet many who do not  know about any type of product

03/27/2008 08:05 AM by Anne


Anne you are correct. Realtors should have a basic understanding of how things work but unfortunately many do not.

03/27/2008 08:16 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Excellent information.  There are a lot of misconceptions out there.  I have a difficult time keeping up and I prefer to refer my clients to a good mortgage specialist as opposed to try and know all the ins and outs myself.

03/27/2008 09:58 AM by Lake Wallenpaupack Pike County PA Real Estate | Karen E Rice (WEICHERT, REALTORS® Paupack Group )


This is excellent. I must admit I never quite understood the difference between the federal funds rate and actually mortgage rates. This clears things up for me. Great concise work!

03/27/2008 04:06 PM by Brad Rivers


Only if they advertised this on TV.

03/27/2008 06:35 PM by Ronell D. Moore (TM Holdings Group)


Brad thank you! I appreciate you stopping by and commenting.

Ronnell you are right it would make a lot so sense for this to get more exposure on tv.

03/28/2008 06:36 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill, good explanation. Now perhaps, everyone will understand 30 year fixed rates and how they are determined.

04/01/2008 12:08 AM by Sacramento Real Estate and Luxury Homes, Assoc. Real Estate Broker,Gena Riede (Remax Gold, Assoc Broker)


Gena - Thanks. I am sure this misconception will hang around. It would be great if the media explained things better! Why don't you ever hear the truth on TV about this subject?

04/01/2008 07:37 AM by Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)


Bill, great explanation of how the drop in Fed rates "really" works! ;-)

Pepper

 

04/08/2008 04:14 PM by Mesa, Arizona Real Estate *** Teri Ellis, Broker, ABR,CRS,GRI,ePRO,MRE (Homes Arizona Real Estate LLC)


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Real Estate Agent: Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate (RE/MAX Executive Realty)
Bill Gassett Metrowest Massachusetts Real Estate
Hopkinton, MA
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Metrowest MA Real Estate - Realtor specializing in home sales in Hopkinton, Milford, Holliston, Ashland, Southboro, Westboro, Upton, Mendon, Hopedale, Grafton, Medway, Northbridge, and Framingham MA. Includes Real Estate home sellling & buying tips , Homes for sale in and around Metrowest, Metrowest MA Market reports.


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