Sure, it could be the brokers, and we are likely to take the brunt of the blame.  But the rality is, it's not us.  Brokers were around 10 years ago when foreclosure rates were lower.  I know that there bad brokers out there.  I got swindled by one when I baught my frist house.  They may aggrivate the problem, but are not the source.  In order to find what's making the difference, you have to look for something that has changed.  The differences today are market and mindset.  Rates have risen almost 2% in the last 5 years and that means that any 5yr arm from '02 is coming due.  That's not the broker's fault.  It's just the reality of the market.  This is the first time we, as an industry, are watching what happens when rates even out after historic lows.  Evidently, an increase in foreclosures is part of that evening out.  

    The other culprit is "The American Dream".  People are buying houses beyond their means.  Heck, forget houses.  People are LIVING beyond their means.  Americans are drunk with consumerism and status.  That's the real reason that they can't pay their bills.  They baught stuff that they couldn't afford.  Last year Americans spent more money than they made.  This is the first time that has happened since the Great Depression.  And during the Depression it was justified because nobody was making money.  Today, unemployment is down, pay is up, and we're still spending more than we make.  Is it any wonder people are being foreclosed on?  

 

Abe

 

3 Comments on The Reason for the Rise in Foreclosures is.........

FEB
11
2007
416,352 Points 21 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
I wonder also about the 100% loans.  When someone hasn't made an actual cash investment it seems to me that they are much more willing to walk away.  What do you think?
9:39pm • #1
2 Featured Posts
I agree with you completely.  Still, that's not a product deficiency or broker's fault.  It comes back to the consumer and the strength of their character.  People that walk away from loans without paying on them SHOULD be foreclosed on.  If that's the reason for the increase in foreclosures then I wouldn't call the increase a "problem".  I'd call an increase in irresponsible buyers the problem.  
 What do you think?  
10:27pm • #2
FEB
12
2007
2 Featured Posts

You've nailed this down beautifully, Abe.  COnsumerism is a large part of the problem, especially when added to the instant gratification mentality many seem to have.  It was - wait and save for a 20% down payment; now (and Marchel above nailed it) it's why bother to wait when you can get 100% and even have the closing costs paid.

I know folks will blame lenders, but that's not fair either.  As soon as the first lender offered the program the rest had to in order to stay competitive.  And in fairness, they did penalized those with less than 20% down by requiring MI and higher interest rates, or high rate seconds.  And if the borrower was sub-prime the rate was higher yet and generally only fixed for 2 to 3 years before going to an ARM.  In so doing, the lender was providing impetus for the borrower to clean credit, pay faster, increase equity in order to bring the loan into a standard 80% or less lent configuration.

It's a tough call to say who was at greater risk, the lender or the borrower.  I feel that lenders, by and large, did a decent job of splitting the risk (the high rates were their impetus to do so).  Are lots of those loans the one's we see going into foreclosure - yes.  Did the lenders cause it - no.  Did the brokers cause it - no.  Did title agents cause it - no.  And neither did underwritiers, appraisers, taxation authorities, etc.  By and large foreclosures happens because folks make the decision to spend money on other things and end up missing mortgage payments.  In some case it is unavoidable, in many that's not the story.  Most of these folks never call the lender to ask for help or advice - even though the papers they signed at closing give this option. 

Lenders took a chance on these loans and are being bit in the backside for it.  Just about every lender I work with has therefore tightened up on high LTV loans, requiring more assets, higher credit, better job time, etc. to make the loan.  They have to to continue in business.

 

11:41am • #3

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Abe Loper

Lynchburg, VA

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Abe Loper

Address: Lynchburg, VA, 24504

Cell Phone: (312) 933-4159

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