Why "Median Sales Price" Reports Aren't Helpful For Housing Markets

Each month, the Commerce Department and the National Association of REALTORS® release national housing data. 

The former's release is called the New Residential Sales report and the latter's is called the Existing Home Sales report.

Both reports highlight the "median sales price", the point at which half of the homes in the U.S. sold for more, and half sold for less.

Last month, the median sales prices were as follows:

The very definition of "median", however, males this data point useless for national housing statistics. 

If a large amount of homes are sold in regions where home prices are traditionally high, the median sales price will trend higher.

If a large amount of homes are sold in regions where home prices are traditionally low, the median sales price will trend lower.

Again, all that the median sales price tells us is the price point at which half the homes in the country sold for more, and half sold for less.

Real estate is a local phenomenon and so grouping the entire country's supply of homes together makes little sense.  A home in San Francisco has little to do with a home in Omaha.

To get a true gauge of your local market, talk to a real estate agent that knows the local market well.  You'll not only get meaningful statistics about a neighborhood, but you'll get good insights, too.

 

 

2 Comments on Why "Median Sales Price" Reports Aren't Helpful For Housing Markets

Your right, the median home sales price is very biased. It should be broken down into multiple price sections. Up to 225k. Maybe then 225-400k, 400k-600k. 600k-800k etc..

03/27/2008 11:46 AM by Christopher Watters, Realtor - Greater Austin Texas Area (Texas Ranch & Home Realty)


Jeff, I've had a problem with this type of statistic for a long time.  Even if you separate the median sale - or average sale price - into local areas, it still doesn't mean what people think it does.  People think it means that the average price of each home changed by that amount.  It isn't so.  All it means is that the particular homes that sold in that particular month were homes that happened to average at that price.  They weren't necessarily homes that were at all similar to the homes that sold in, say, the previous month.

03/27/2008 11:47 AM by Brian Schulman - Your Lancaster County, PA Real Estate Professional (Coldwell Banker Select Professionals)


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Loan Officer: Jeff Underwood (AmeriFirst Financial, Inc. BK#0013635)
Jeff Underwood
Gilbert, AZ
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