The media is full of information and reports and statistics and projections and forecasts about the real estate market. And, it can get a little confusing. Is it a crisis or a correction? A meltdown or a slowdown? Is it a good time to buy or a bad time to sell? And, when will we hit "the bottom"?

I just returned from another terrific 2-day real estate seminar with Brian Buffini, and thought I would simply share some of my favorite statistics from the event and let you decide where the real estate market is.  (you fellow Buffini members will already know most of this, of course!)

*About 1-2% of all homes are in foreclosure. Numbers are higher for certain areas (like nearby Stockton). And 30% of all homes are free and clear of any loans.

*The market is currently down about 13%, but it went up about 38% between 2002-04 and then another 17% from 1004-06. So, is this a correction or a freefall?

*It is projected that there will be 4.5-5 million real estate transactions this year, making it one of the top 10 busiest years in history.

*The average homeowner's net worth is $171,000, which is more than 40 times the net worth of the average renter.

*40% of consumers have never run a credit report on themselves. 40% have also never done a monthly budget, and 40% don't pay off their credit cards each month. Are these all the same people?

*In 2000, homeowners took out $26 billion in equity out of their homes. In 2004, that number hit $139 billion. 2005 was $450 billion. And, in 2006, that number made it to $620 billion. 16% of the money taken out of home equity was used to pay consumer debt and another 16% of it was used to buy more consumer goods.

So, what do you think the national numbers mean? And what is happening in your neighborhood? I know the market is still quite strong here in Rockridge and the surrounding areas.
 

6 Comments on My Favorite Real Estate Statistics

MAR
28
2008
Real Estate is so regional national stats are insignificant. In Atlanta facets of the market are ok but it is driven by the medias influence on customer confidence.
7:19pm • #1
MAR
29
2008

Mary,

Now why can't the media report on statistics like that?   I listened to the new tonight and the commentator was talking to several talking heads and was asked which way the economy was turning in one breath he said recession and then in another breath he said it was a bear market.   I try not to listen to these talking heads who just want to hear themselves up on their soap box.   the tragedy is that the media reports everything negative with a spin to boot.   If they would just start giving statistics like you just posted maybe our consumers would start gaining confidence to start spending money and those with loans upside want think the world is falling apart and short selling their homes. 

Great post......sounds like it was a very motivating seminar...

3:24am • #2
APR
03
2008
Localism Sponsor
Mary...great post.  I agree...why can't the press report these figures instead of hurting the market futher by scaring buyers and sellers today!
9:43am • #3
252,237 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Mary,

 Interesting how statistics can be so misconstrued, isn't it?  You'd think the world was coming to end based on the housing forecasts by the media.

4:36pm • #4
APR
06
2008

1-2% of all homes are in foreclosure? Do you know where the number came from? An article at: http://www.venturacountystar.com/news/2008/mar/14/number-of-homes-facing-foreclosure-rises-nearly/ states that:

California had the second-highest foreclosure rate, with one in every 242 households receiving a foreclosure-related notice. It had 53,629 properties on the foreclosure track, the most of any state. The total increased 131 percent from a year earlier, but declined 6 percent from the previous month.

11:47pm • #5
APR
07
2008

Hi Geoff~Thank you for commenting.  I can't find the exact link where I saw that statistic that Brian referenced, but it was on the NAR's Housing Market Facts website, if I remember right.  I think the difference between the statistic I quote and the article you quote is that I am referencing the number of homes that are actually in foreclosure on a national basis, and the AP article is mentioning "foreclosure-related" notices in California.  In the paragraph just before the section you quote in the AP article, it adds: "The number of homes facing foreclosure is still a small percentage of all U.S. homes."--which is the point I'm trying to make.

I was just trying to point out that the deluge of statistics can be confusing and that every region--even every neighborhood--is different.  Here in Berkeley and parts of Oakland, we are still in very competitive multiple offer situations.    Just trying to add a little more perspective!

11:03am • #6

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Mary Smartt--Smartt Moves with Mary Smartt

Berkeley, CA

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Lawton Associates / www.LawtonAssociates.com

Address: 3160 College Ave, Suite 201, Berkeley, CA, 94705

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